A Share Ups And Downs, Where Is The Way Of Investment?
A shares have been ups and downs, and many investors have no direction. Let me tell you a few things:
Rally: trend indicators were slightly lower before the holiday, but I still believe that the current adjustment is "step back", that is, the rally has not ended.
Statistics on the August 16th to the pre holiday super shares, fell more than 20% of the stock has 14, fell more than 15% of the stock has 66, no larger decline in stocks, obviously, August 16th to the present is a short-term overfall category.
Check out the 66 stocks that have fallen by more than 15%, and there is hardly any stock of "dragon bottom" signal. Shenlong hunters are the weak stock selection technology of Shuanglong war tactics. So far, the oversold stocks in August 16th are not disadvantaged stocks.
Warehouse position
The total position of the rally is greater than that of the half warehouse, and the opposite is the reverse. The total position of the drop should be less than half of the warehouse.
When I hunted the bottom in May 18th, I emphasized that "bottom Cang Zhi is at Gao Yuan, this is not a short line, but not a super short line", so the bottom storehouse in May 18th has been sticking to the present. Despite the twists and turns, our bottom storehouse has never been sold.
Strategy: the rise and fall is the general strategy of the rally. Once the rally is formed, it will continue. The continuation is based on the trend. Therefore, we have recently adjusted our focus to the trend strategy. The trend strategy is the right side trading. The advantage of the trend is that we do not make any mistakes in principle. The lack of points is lagging behind and easy to sell at the low point of the false break.
Left trading also has advantages and disadvantages. Don't superstition any technology, there are standards.
As long as we have principles, we are not afraid of anything.
Investment
As long as there are standards, there is nothing to fear.
Head sign, the 2968 point is the 20 week moving average position, and there will be fierce fighting in the 20 week position, because its gains and losses mean the middle line direction; from the angle of the daily line, the 90 antenna has always been a heavy support line, and it is now at 2974 place, which is close to the 20 week average line 2968. Therefore, we think 2960--2980 is next week's decisive battle belt, broken midline is empty, not broken into the box finishing; 5 days 10 days, 20 day lines are arranged and diverged downward, next Monday the pressure point is 3026, while the supporting point is 2971. Due to the gap in the gap on Monday, it was rather bad. From the perspective of the weekly line, it formed a short term.
rebound
。
In my opinion, the recent fall and fall is terrible, but in fact, it is playing down the space for the end of the year eating market. For the article hints, according to the blog guide, the investors who escaped from the top are now digging down the hole well. The deeper the pit is, the more abundant the dinner market will be at the end of this year.
In terms of short-term trend, the probability of continuous market killing is relatively small. After the holiday, A shares are expected to stabilize and fill the gap with investors' wait-and-see sentiment.
Summary: at present, it is still a trend of increase. It is suggested that the total position is larger than half a warehouse, and that the general strategy of insisting on rising or falling will be more important.
The adjustment of pre holiday led to a slight breakdown of the trend, and the position should be returned to 6. But the nature still belongs to the step back of the rally. After the festival, it is a big probability event to welcome the rebound, and 6 of the stock holdings remain quiet.
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