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    Stock Market Crash 4 Edition: Investors Should Leave The Stock Market As Soon As Possible.

    2016/9/19 15:49:00 23

    Stock Market CrashInvestorsStock Market Hedging

    During the Mid Autumn Festival holiday, WeChat group was almost surrounded by the controversy of "poverty". It seemed that the sky was bad. Many people predicted that after the festival, the stock market would jump to 3000 below, triggering the 4 version of the stock market crash. Investors should leave the stock market as soon as possible.

    At present, the market is only supported by 120 antennas and 2976 points, and is pressed by 60 antennas 3027 points (6 points) and five week average lines 3048 points, leaving a gap gap at 3040--3078 point above, and still in the short market.

    The main task of the market is to build a bottom. First, it can close above 3030 points, then gradually repair and stabilize the five week moving average, and then fill the gap.

    But in this process, the stock market will still be very active.

    The market situation is not very pessimistic.

    It is the master who can seize the opportunity of stocks in a small bear market.

    Looking up, there are a lot of good things during long holidays.

    First, MSCI will push 20 new indexes at the end of the month, or bring more than ten billion yuan to A shares.

    MSCI, the US index supplier, announced on Tuesday night that it will launch 20 new indexes by the end of September to reflect the potential impact of the 5% part of China's A shares on the MSCI emerging market index.

    This means that A shares will be included in the MSCI exercise stage.

    Once the A share is incorporated into the MSCI, there will be a large number of international value investors entering the market and driving the market out of a certain level of market.

    Second, the growth of the main financial data is beyond expectations, which will help ease the tight funding situation in the three quarter.

    RMB loans increased by 948 billion 700 million yuan in August, an increase of 139 billion 100 million yuan compared with the same period last year.

    Real estate boom, demand for housing loans, residents plus leverage, making money and credit supermarket expected.

    At the end of 8, the narrow money (M1) grew by 24%, and the current savings reached 45 trillion and 450 billion yuan, an increase of 1 trillion and 150 billion compared with last month. The balance of broad money (M2) was 151 trillion and 100 billion yuan, an increase of 11.4% over the same period last year. The growth rate was 1.2 percentage points higher than the end of last month, and the scissors gap was narrowed slightly.

    It shows that money supply is still in a relatively stable range, which is also an important factor for the stock market to resist falling.

    Third, macroeconomic fundamentals are stable and better, and monetary policy and fiscal policy have greater room to play.

    In August, the official PMI index rose sharply to 50.4%, the highest in 22 months.

    CPI ring down while PPI accelerated faster than the market, so that the market is right.

    monetary policy

    There is a certain expectation that the fiscal policy will play a larger role.

    According to foreign media reports, there will be 3 trillion and 400 billion yuan of financial and private funds to participate in the PPP project, providing a solid foundation for steady growth.

    Fourthly, Goldman Sachs increased the investment rating of China's stock market to "super matching", and foreign media sang more A shares.

    Goldman Sachs Group raised its investment rating in China's stock market to "super matching (buying)" in September 12th.

    The reasons include that the Chinese government's economic stimulus measures may promote the improvement of fixed assets investment, the performance of enterprises is becoming more stable, and because the United States will not rush to raise interest rates, the capital will continue to flow into the stock market of emerging market easily.

    Subsequently, many international options investors began to sing more A shares from the technical level.

    Data show that compared to put options, Shanghai 50 call option price is close to the highest level in the year.

      

    Fifthly, banks are allowed to participate.

    equity investment

    The national team's super VC came on the scene.

    In September 14th, Shang Fulin, chairman of the CBRC, said that conditional banks should be allowed to set up subsidiaries to engage in equity investment in scientific and technological innovation, and through hedging the risk of losses through investment income.

    This statement may mean that "venture capital national team" is about to debut.

    The industry generally agreed that allowing banks to engage in technology innovation equity investment, as a system dividend, will help commercial banks to pform their business and enhance their profitability.

    Six of them, about 85% of economists expect the US Federal Reserve to hold back in September. There will be a clear conclusion in 9.22. During the long holidays, the rise of us and European stock markets and Hongkong stock market is a harbinger.

    Seventh, sunshine insurance put up the brand Erie, Erie suspension reorganization.

    That means venture capital participation.

    Listed company

    The policy of mergers and acquisitions has not changed. Mergers and acquisitions, restructuring of state assets, reorganization of assets, and backdoor listing are still the preferred varieties of investors and investors in a depressed market, and are expected to further activate the stock market.

    It can be said that the above series of positive advantages have temporarily overwhelmed the poverty alleviation, resulting in unexpected jumping 3 points this morning, and opening up at 3005 points and going all the way.

    The highest 3026 points, 3021 points before noon.

    The four index rose 0.61%, 0.92%, 0.86%, 0.97%.

    The rise and fall ratio is 909:1501410:223.

    The yellow line is still on the top and the white line is on the bottom, indicating that the morning market does not rely on the ten big bodies to pull the heavy weights.

    It is the rational judgement and choice of the market.

    25 stock trading, no limit.

    The turnover is 199 billion, which shrank by 15 billion compared with the previous day, indicating that the 3000 point platform that has closed for 39 days will continue to bottom up. At least the closing number can not be less than 53 days after the 2900 point platform is received.


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