The Domestic Real Economy Keeps Sending Out Auspicious Signs, But The Stock Market Will Not Keep On Going Well.
Since entering the three quarter, the domestic real economy has continuously issued a good signal, especially the producer price index has reversed the trend of continuous decline for several years, and began to turn from negative to positive, indicating that the demand for efficiency has rebounded.
Obviously, this helps to improve the anticipation of the future economic trend.
Against this background, the prices of upstream resources represented by coal have risen sharply, thus pushing up the market of "coal flying color dance" in the stock market.
Just before November, people were more concerned about events such as the US general election and waited for a wait-and-see mood. Therefore, although the stock market itself was rising, it was more restrained.
But once
US general election
When the dust settles, the rising kinetic energy can not be suppressed, and once it breaks out, it will inevitably be shown more powerful, which has led to the continuous rise of stock index in the recent stage.
Since entering November, the stock market trend has undergone relatively large changes. The original trend of cross border adjustment has evolved to a certain slope rising trend. In November 8th, the Shanghai Composite Index stood at 3140 points, which achieved a breakthrough in the previous high point. Since then, the market has shown a strong trend, and it quickly stands on 3200 points, which is the new high since January 6th this year.
The rise of the stock market has touched the hearts of investors. Many investors have been frustrated by last year's stock market crash and the four day of the two day of January. Facing the current market situation, they are revive again. There are many voices in the market.
So, is the market really going well, and it has opened up a big rise? This is indeed a question worth studying.
What's interesting is that we all expected.
European and American Stock Markets
It will drop, but in fact it is rising, and this rise has also affected the domestic market, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market has also risen, and broke through the pre finishing box, forming a trend of upside.
Why is this seemingly unbelievable situation? Perhaps it is a turn from the European and American market to Trump's recognition. Moreover, in the past month or so before the US general election, the European and American stock markets were in the horizontal arrangement, while the domestic stock market's adjustment time was longer, which, to a certain extent, had already released the influence of the bad news more fully, and once the profits were realized, it became more profitable.
However, looking back, although the real economy has improved, its degree is limited, and many indicators will be repeated.
Especially in the face of the rise in real estate prices, the state has adopted some
Regulation policy
Deleveraging and preventing asset bubbles have become a hot topic nowadays.
Against this background, the further rise of stock market, namely lack of basic support, can not get financial aid.
In addition, the coal plate, which serves as the market leader, has also been regulated in the commodity market.
Therefore, the possibility of further drastically increasing is not large.
Therefore, there is no basic condition for entering the Daniu market on the basis of the stock market.
In this sense, the major pattern of the market has not changed radically before. It is still in a box, but the box is enlarged.
It is also necessary to mention that what will be the policy adopted after the new US president is officially in power? Will there be serious trade frictions between China and the US?
In view of this, the uncertainty of stock market operation still exists, although there are still some favorable conditions in the latter market, there are also many negative factors.
Therefore, the stock market will not go up unilaterally, but there will still be shocks. The current market sawing near the 3200 point indicates this point.
Even after the market has laid a solid foundation and has chosen to go upstream again, there will be no room for space. The so-called big bull market is unlikely to emerge at this stage.
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