Inflation Will Be Trump'S First Challenge. Where Is The Turning Point Of The US Economy?

If you want to emigrate to the United States as a new immigrant, you'd better choose a relatively open and tolerant city to live in.

You have to avoid the Trump vote much better than Hilary's state and county; you should try to choose the victorious Hilary along Haizhou County, of course, the prices of these counties are obviously higher.

Is the US economic turning point coming? Is the US economic turning point coming? After the tumultuous presidential election, the street people in the Gulf of California in the United States seem to be all the same.

In recent months, I have been traveling and experiencing life in the United States.

Frankly speaking, the general commodities here are not expensive, and some are very cheap, but once the labor is involved, the prices of related services will go up.

The above scene is a miniature.

These days, everyone is talking about the impact of Trump's victory on the United States and the world.

Trump has been yelling tax cuts, and I don't know how much he will reduce to the public.

But as far as I can see, the rest is not to say. If Trump's economic policy is advancing as planned, inflation, especially the rising price of services, will be the first challenge for him.

Trump's most famous campaign Manifesto is to substantially increase tariffs on goods from China; to build a separation wall, to expel about 10000000 illegal immigrants.

All along, the affordable products made in China have become an indispensable part of many American citizens' lives.

If a substantial increase in tariffs, it means that many of the United States in the sale of goods prices will rise, the cost of living of ordinary people will also rise.

At the same time, as you know, labor prices are also affected by supply and demand.

However, because of the tolerance of the United States, a large number of illegal immigrants in the United States have increased the supply of labor and reduced the price of labor.

They can't vote for welfare. They have to work hard to survive.

In a sense, their moderate existence is a hidden benefit to the American people and the US economy.

Apart from legality, this logic is analogous to the contribution of a large number of migrant laborers without registered permanent residence in big cities of China.

They may not have old-age insurance, medical insurance, low wages, and even occasionally trigger some security incidents, but they are an important force in urban construction and development.

Just imagine, in which city, if these migrant workers leave in large numbers, what will be the consequences?

Similar logic can consider temporary workers in some local government departments.

They have low wages, low welfare, and do the same work or the most difficult and tiring job.

If they are dismissed, even if they pay a formal salary, they will still cry.

This Trump victory explains that many Americans seem to remember only the Chinese goods and the negative effects of the moderate inclusion of illegal immigrants, and forget the benefits they bring.

Public information display, including those involving Chinese imports, illegal immigrants and so on, Trump's many public statements are obviously contrary to globalization, openness, tolerance and fraternity.

He complained that the United States paid too much for taxpayers because of economic globalization, openness and commitment to world affairs.

Next, he said, the United States should focus on the interests of the Americans themselves.

However, economic globalization is actually benefiting the whole human society.

It can enable people to pcend national boundaries and carry out division of labor and cooperation worldwide so as to achieve the progressive Pareto of social resource allocation efficiency.

Americans should not only see a large number of Chinese goods entering their supermarkets. They should also see countless Chinese students studying in the US. There are so many Chinese tourists going to the outlets to queue up for shopping. So many Chinese are queuing up to invest in EB-5.

As we all know, contrary to Trump's argument, as the first economic power, the United States is in fact the biggest beneficiary of economic globalization in the long run.

In particular, when you see some tourists coming to the United States to travel back home, you should take away a iPhone, several MK and Kate spade bags, more than 10 pairs of Nike shoes, or even dozens of "made in China" Tommy Hilfiger clothing and so on, and you will be more convinced when the parcel is overweight.

Market economy has an important core logic: first, profit first.

Bread master gets up early in the morning to make bread and make the bread as tasty and beautiful as possible.

Then he has his own income.

In life, if a person is not tolerant enough, he often complains others, cares about gains and losses, emphasizes his own efforts, neglects his own gains, and often divides responsibility into others. He often becomes isolated and uncooperative. He tends to become a weak person in his work and life.

That is to say, if you serve others well and benefit others, you will benefit yourself.

This logic tells us that we should not narrowly focus our attention on our own interests and our immediate interests.

Sometimes, it is also our own interest to think in another dimension and benefit others.

There is no contradiction between philanthropy, equality and benefit, and economic development.

In fact, the same is true in a country.

An economy, if stuck to its immediate interests, does not seek to be tolerant and open, and may gain short-term prosperity. But in the long run, it is doomed to decline.

For a long time, the United States is strong by openness, tolerance, freedom and fraternity. Without that, the United States will be nothing.

No wonder Trump's argument and his victory have made many American elites and mainstream American media crazy.

Lev Tolstoy once said: "people are just like rivers, sometimes clear, sometimes muddy, sometimes cold, sometimes warm; sometimes show this kind of human nature, sometimes show that kind of human nature, people often become completely different, but in fact he himself".

This is also true of individuals in an economy.

Perhaps, because of the dual nature of human nature and the capricious nature, a country always twists and turns.

Perhaps because of the "Turbid" nature of human nature, Trump, who emphasized the immediate interests of the Americans, has won a lot of sympathy from the grassroots and has more support from the public.

For the time being, there are no countries in the world that can replace the global role of the United States.

But, as you know, no economy in the world is the oldest.

I don't know whether this election is a small episode on the road of American economic development, or is it the turning point of its economy? I don't know whether it means that China's opportunity is coming. Anyway, in today's economic globalization, people from all over the world are closely related. I would rather hope that this is just Trump's campaign strategy, and I hope he will say something about it.

In the past few months in the United States, the election of the United States has naturally been a focus of my concern.

However, contrary to the current general election results, I have long thought that this is a campaign without suspense, and I think Hilary will win.

Because when I thumbed through the mainstream newspapers in America, I often saw articles supporting Hilary and even taunting Trump.

In addition, many economists openly support Hilary; many excellent business leaders support Hilary; Harvard University freshmen poll shows that only 6.2% of people support Trump.

Later, on social media, I saw many articles supporting Trump's "God logic".

I do not know the truthfulness of such articles, nor do I know the wide spread of them.

I remember the last week of the campaign, especially after the FBI Bureau of the United States considered the restart of Hilary's mail door survey. There are many articles supporting Trump in social media.

But I still think Hilary will win.

One day before the election, I also read a report in a newspaper that a university surveyed 100 newspapers in the United States to understand their support for the two candidates.

Only 2 of them supported Trump, and 57 of them supported Hilary.

However, the final result of the campaign shows that newspapers have gradually lost their role in guiding public opinion, and social media has become very powerful.

What is the biggest difference between human beings? It is not the difference in physical quality, nor the height, but the difference in the group of beliefs held.

What is worrying is that social media is a relatively closed, point to point, viral pmission mode.

In this model, people who approve your article will continue to recognize it.

Those who do not approve may begin to curse at the beginning; most likely, they simply can not see your article.

We often find that resentment and fear are more infectious than love and tolerance, and are more likely to be spread and collective fanaticism.

At the same time, people only seek and pay attention to people who have similar ideas with themselves, and read more about their own articles.

As a result, information is fragmented and communication between people of different values is cut off.

The elite and the grass roots live in their respective worlds, separate from each other and speak silly.

What is even more worrying is that the pmission of values of equality, fraternity, inclusiveness and economic globalization seems to be blocked by social media, which is obviously needed to be vigilant.

I don't know where it will lead the world. But at least it is certain that if you want to emigrate to the United States as a new immigrant, you'd better choose a relatively open and tolerant city to live in.

You have to avoid the Trump vote much better than Hilary's state and county; you should try to choose the victorious Hilary along Haizhou County, of course, the prices of these counties are obviously higher.