Textile Bosses Need To Be Vigilant. "Price War" Is Beginning To Show Signs. Do Not Blindly Stock Up!
Since last year, along with the promotion of environmental protection and supply side reform, the textile industry has started to shut down the tide, and a large number of water looms have been launched. market 。 From the perspective of the elimination of the elimination work, it is mainly concentrated in two regions of Jiaxing and Wujiang. According to statistics, in 2017, Xiuzhou and Wujiang eliminated more than 73000 water jet looms. In 2018 and 2019, there will be more than 30 thousand looms per year (excluding Xiuzhou District).
The number of loom looms in the central region has increased significantly, causing an impact on Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets.
In the process of "Tenglong bird changing", it should have been the pattern of industrial transformation and resource integration. However, many manufacturers that had been eliminated in the Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces would transfer their capacity to northern Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Hubei and other places. In addition, some manufacturers feel that the production costs are lower than those in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, and are not subject to environmental restrictions.
According to the investigation by relevant agencies, in 2011, the number of local loom looms was around 1000 units. Since the beginning of this year, the number of looms has increased to more than 10000 units at a time, with an alarming number. At present, some enterprises in the central part of China have not yet been put into production, but many enterprises have already entered the normal mode of production.
From the point of time, most of the factories that had previously gone out of the leasing plant began to put into production in the middle of the year, while the factories that bought the land and built factories concentrated on the production at the end of the year.
Although weaving manufacturers in Anhui had received environmental protection notice, they had limited impact on the overall capacity. It is predicted that by the end of the year, at least 80% of the newly eliminated capacity will be re entered the market, and there will be more grey cloth entering the Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces. The impact can be imagined. Low end goods return, market supply and demand again imbalance, price war or will open.
In the second half of the year, polyester fabrics such as polyester and taffeta will suffer.
In the golden three silver four period, when the Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces vigorously eliminated backward looms, the conventional low-end products ushered in quotations of "one cloth difficult to demand", and many of the manufacturers and traders who had the goods were earning a full pot. It is tempting to ask: will the market be so popular in the second half of the year? The answer may be disappointing to some people.
Whether it is the past or the newly built factories, there is a problem. It is the lack of experienced skilled workers and managers. Therefore, at the very beginning, we can only start with a kind of low-end fabrics, such as the simplest taffeta, spring Asian spinning, and so on. It is understood that the vast majority of enterprises in the central region are producing polyester taffeta and spring sub fabric, and the output of these varieties is relatively high, and the capacity is further expanded. It can be imagined that in the second half of the year, the market of polyester taffeta and spring Asian textile is very difficult to appear again.
New capacity will pour into the market, and trade and Commerce will be cautious.
According to China's first quarter of 2017 and 2018 clothing The growth rate of home textile consumption shows a marked improvement compared with that in 2016, which indicates that the demand for terminal goods has warmed up.
Before the "ten year rare encounter" market, in addition to the terminal demand warming, there are also factors of traders hoarding goods. Under the impetus of buying up and buying down, many traders began to hoard goods. Especially in the off-season, many traders are prepared to hoard a lot of goods, and then sell them at a high price during the peak season, thereby making a big profit.
For the current weaving Market, can downstream demand be digested? market The new capacity will undoubtedly become a problem for the second half of the year. The production capacity of the grey fabric is expanding continuously. If it can not be digested in the downstream, the market will probably fall. All textile bosses should always pay attention to the productivity of the central part of the country. It is best not to blindly store up goods, especially to guard against low-end fabrics such as polyester taffeta and spring Asian spinning.
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