March: Output Rebounded And Sales Dropped Slightly.
"China Keqiao textile index" in March 2019, the total prosperity index closed at 1214.14 points, a rise of 0.01%, an increase of 0.01% compared with the beginning of the year, down 15.80% compared with the same period last year.
Circulation link down slightly
Circulation index fell slightly
In March 2019, the total market circulation index closed at 1110.86 points, down 0.04%. In March, the manufacturers and markets of the Spring Festival were more optimistic about the market outlook, and the producers' enthusiasm was good. Traders also had stockpiling operations, but the market demand did not achieve the expected effect. The textile market was slightly lower, and the demand for domestic products was shrinking. In the spring, the spot sale of products is decreasing, while the fabric orders and delivery in summer are lower than that in the downlink. The order delivery of the public fabrics is decreasing, and the local marketing has dropped.
1, the circulation efficiency index fell. In March, the market circulation efficiency index closed at 1659.94 points, down 0.03%. Because of the decline in the traditional market, the number of consumers in the north and south of China has been decreasing. The traditional marketing scale is down than the downward trend. The volume of spot sales in spring has been shrinking, and the distribution of orders for local fabrics in the summer has decreased. The demand for domestic textile market in the textile industry has been lower than ever, resulting in a decline in the circulation efficiency index in March.
2, the circulation of gross margin index fell. In March, the market circulation gross margin index closed at 1223.16 points, down 6.10%. Because the downstream demand of the public dyeing and printing products decreased, the volume of turnover in the circulation market decreased, and the profit margin of the products decreased compared with the downward trend in the sales volume, resulting in a decline in the gross profit margin of the circulation index in March.
3, the market profitability index is down. In March, the market profitability index closed at 969.24 points, down 0.74%. Circulation market mass fabric order delivery ring down, part of the small and medium-sized businesses, mass product spot trading volume and order delivery volume decreased, domestic demand order ratio fell, running volume product price decreased. Volkswagen product small batch, multi varieties, middle volume transactions and large volume transactions showed a certain downward trend, thereby stimulating the profitability of the market index index fell.
4, circulation confidence index fell. In March, the confidence index of the circulation market closed at 978.81 points, down 0.65%. The market demand index index fell: in March, the market demand index closed at 948.60 points, down 0.92% compared with the central market. 2. Circulation business outlook index index fell: in March, the circulation market to the business position judgement index closed at 1008.66 points, down 0.39%.
Enterprise orders rebounded
Production boom
In March 2019, the total business climate index closed at 1290.15 points, rising by 0.76%. Enterprise production orders rebounded, in March, some textile printing and dyeing enterprises began to pick up locally, production and sales increased, and the output of some enterprises in Binhai printing and dyeing gathering area increased. The production boom index is rising.
The textile market has been stable throughout the recent years, and most of the orders are concentrated in large and medium-sized textile enterprises, and small and micro enterprises have not improved because of the low production varieties. Only a few good sellers have made good delivery, and the sale of low-end varieties has not improved. Especially in the case of tight funds, the spinning factories and traders are more inclined to sell fast and fast. As long as the settlement price of the cash can be discussed, the ordering and shipment is preferred, and the cash settlement will be strong. It is still a matter of observation for some time before the sales rebound of textile enterprises can be determined. But for now, there is a rebound in the sales of enterprises, which has brought a sign of warming to the market.
1, the output of innovative products increased, and the scale index increased. In March, the size index of manufacturing enterprises closed at 1665.06 points, rising by 0.50%. The output of innovative products in textile production enterprises is increasing, which is accompanied by fashion elements. The order of creative products is increasing, and the demand for domestic products has rebounded. In the spring of March, the output of innovative production enterprises increased, the order of creative products in summer increased, the scale of production enterprises rebounded, and the scale index of production enterprises increased.
2, the order of production enterprises rebounded, and the efficiency index increased. Increased by 1.21%, weaving and dyeing and printing enterprises domestic demand order rebounded, foreign trade market orders increased, innovative fabric orders increased, weaving, knitting, warp knitted fabric output rebounded, cotton, linen, other chemical fiber raw materials and natural fiber grey cloth, chemical fiber grey fabric and pure cotton, polyester wool, cotton, viscose fabric and household textile home textile products orders increased a certain degree of growth trend, profit growth, inventory rate decreased; because of spring and summer gray fabric and reactive dyed, digital printing innovative clothing fabrics and creative home textiles products orders increased, the spring and summer new style products orders increased, resulting in an increase in business efficiency index. In March, the benefit index closed at 1348.84 points.
3, corporate confidence index is rising. The confidence index in production boom closed at 885.89 points, rising 0.92%. Among them, the production enterprises' judgement index for the business prospects of the enterprises closed at 865.96 points, rising by 2.08%. Due to the increase in the demand for innovative products, the orders for the new products in the spring are higher than that for the production enterprises. The output of the new style products in spring is higher than that in the summer, and the output of creative products in the summer has increased, the spot sales have increased by a small margin, and the delivery of orders has been growing. The number of creative digital printing fabrics and the reactive dyed fabrics has been growing more and more. Fashion color fabrics have been increasing, and the added value of the products has been increased. This has stimulated the current production enterprises to increase their business prospects.
Next total prosperity index forecast
In April 2019, it was estimated that the textile industry in Keqiao District of Shaoxing city showed a trend of rising slightly. From April 1, 2019, China's value-added tax reduction policy will be formally implemented, and the value-added tax rate of manufacturing industry will be reduced from 16% to 13%. Textile market continues to be in the period of "loose supply and cost support", and the market is mainly demand oriented. By reducing taxes, the downstream sector, especially the textile and printing industry, has a short-term profit growth. Every change in the textile industry may lead to the butterfly effect, especially for dyeing and finishing industry, which is an important part of textile value-added. The peak time of printing and dyeing enterprises is relatively concentrated, basically concentrated in the first half of the year, printing and dyeing factories also have the gold three silver four argument. In April, with the increase of air temperature in China's Textile City, the customers from all over the country will increase in frequency. After the market is restrained, the processing condition will be improved, the external processing will increase, the imports of spring and summer fabrics will increase, and the conventional varieties and the new spot will increase in summer.
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