In 2020, The Intention Of Planting Cotton In China Dropped By 7.86%.

In December 2019, the cotton growers association of China Cotton Association conducted the first survey of cotton planting intentions in 2020 for 2511 designated farmers in 12 provinces and municipalities in the mainland and in Xinjiang autonomous region. The survey results showed that the cotton planting area in China was 44 million 542 thousand and 200 mu, a decrease of 7.5% over the same period last year. Among them, the cotton planting intention of Xinjiang cotton farmers decreased by 7.68%, and the intention of the Yellow River basin and Yangtze River Basin decreased by 8.12% and 5.30% respectively. Because of the decline in cotton production in 2019, the purchase price of seed cotton is low, and cotton growers are not enthusiastic in cotton planting.


Among the surveyed households, cotton farmers accounted for 9% of the total surveyed cotton planting area, 2.67% of the cotton growers were prepared to increase, 61.29% of those who were on the same level last year, and 27.04% of the farmers were still hanging around. Since the Cotton Subsidy in Xinjiang has not been put into practice in 2019, the subsidy rules are not clear in 2020, and the Cotton Subsidy Policy in the mainland is being further improved, so the farmers have more wait-and-see attitude.


In 2019, the meteorological conditions in Xinjiang were suitable for cotton harvesting. The cotton area and yield decreased, the purchase price was low, the picking period was concentrated, and a number of cotton quality indicators decreased. As the Spring Festival approaches, most cotton farmers have not yet received the subsidy, and the intention of planting cotton depends on the final income. According to the survey, the average cotton planting area in Xinjiang in 2020 was 34 million 42 thousand and 800 mu, 7.68% less than that in 2019, and 3.38% of the total households surveyed were less cotton planting area. 1.76% of the total surveyed households were prepared to increase the area. 91.19% of the total households surveyed last year accounted for 3.67% of the total households surveyed. Among them, the area dropped by 3.63%, and the Corps declined by 10.90%. The main reasons for the decrease are three points: 1. In 2019, the purchase price of seed cotton in Xinjiang decreased by 1-2 yuan / kg compared with last year; 2, the land contract fee continued to increase, and the financial pressure of farmers was great; 3, the policy was unknown, and the farmers were confused.


The cotton planting area in the Yangtze River Valley is decreasing year by year because of the older cotton growers, scattered plots and unsatisfactory returns. The cotton growers reflected that the cotton yield per unit area was not high in 2019, the price was low, and the overall income was not ideal. At present, the Cotton Subsidy Policy in the mainland is still not clear. Whether we continue to grow cotton depends on the trend of cotton price and Cotton Subsidy Policy in the late stage. The survey shows that more than 50% of the survey households are still on the sidelines. The basin is preparing to reduce cotton planting area by 4.35% of the total survey households, 1.46% of the total survey households will be prepared to increase the area, 40.97% of the total surveyed cotton households last year, and 53.22% of the total households surveyed. The planned cotton planting area in 2020 is 4 million 677 thousand and 900 Mu, a decrease of 5.30% over the same period last year.


Cotton sales in the the Yellow River River Valley just passed 80%, and most cotton growers lack confidence in planting cotton in 2020. 20% of the survey households are still on the sidelines and are unable to determine the intention of planting cotton. Among the survey households, 16.01% of the total surveyed households were prepared to reduce cotton planting area, 3.92% of the total surveyed households were prepared to increase their area, 58.96% of the total surveyed cotton households last year, and 21.11% of the total households surveyed. The cotton planting area in the Yellow River basin was 5 million 437 thousand and 100 mu in 2020, a decrease of 8.12% compared with the same period last year.