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Negative Filament Around Polyester Filament Continues To Decline.

2020/3/3 11:23:00 0

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Although downstream and terminal plant enterprises have resumed work in succession, the overall load increase is relatively slow. At this time, there is a certain stock of raw materials, there is no obvious intention to continue to make up the warehouse. In addition, the price of PX and polyester raw materials has been falling continuously, and the mentality of wait-and-see in the field is obvious. The production and sales data of polyester filament factory are relatively light, and the market is still in a slow preheating period.

Table 1 Comparison of mainstream market prices of domestic polyester filament before and after Spring Festival

Unit: yuan / ton

Model / date	Two 17 June	Two 24 June	Three 2 June
POY150D/48F	Seven thousand one hundred and fifty	Seven thousand and one hundred	Six thousand and six hundred
FDY150D/96F	Seven thousand four hundred and twenty-five	Seven thousand three hundred and fifty	Six thousand nine hundred and fifty
DTY150D/48F	Eight thousand seven hundred and twenty-five	Eight thousand six hundred and fifty	Eight thousand and three hundred

Source: lung Chung

At present, most of the polyester filament factories are officially started to sell, but are subject to the demand for thin spots. At this time, orders for internal demand are relatively slow, and there are many uncertainties in the late foreign trade orders. Weak demand is expected. The polyester filament factory started preferential sales in the middle and late last week, and continuous preferential sales promotion made the focus of polyester filament discussion continued. However, under the pessimistic expectations, the production and marketing scale is limited. Only a few factory production and marketing are flat, and the overall production and sales are 2-3.

Table 2 operation statistics of domestic polyester filament device before and after Spring Festival

Unit: 10000 tons / year

factory	Involving capacity	repair time	Estimated restart time
Jiangyin three lane	Four	Two thousand and twenty November 13th 2013	Undetermined
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Twenty-four	Eleven On June 13, production was cut down one after another.	Undetermined
Wuxi Huaya	Four	Two thousand and twenty November 11th 2013	Undetermined
New Feng Ming	Sixty-five	Twelve On June 5, production was cut down one after another.	Undetermined
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Forty	Two thousand and twenty December 11th 2013	Undetermined
Ningbo Da wo	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty December 20th 2013	Undetermined
Fujian Bai Hong	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty January 1st 2013	Undetermined
Xiaoshan Lian Da	Five	Two thousand and twenty January 2nd 2013	Undetermined
Zhejiang Tiansheng	Forty	Two thousand and twenty January 4th 2013	Undetermined
Taicang Shen Jiu	Forty	Two thousand and twenty January 8th 2013	Two thousand and twenty Restart 200 thousand tons in from February 24th to 25th
New Feng Ming	Thirty	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013	Undetermined
Zhangjiagang Xinxin	Fifteen	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013	Delayed restart
Ningbo Zhuo Cheng	Seven	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013	Undetermined
Wu Jiangxinmin	Ten	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013	Undetermined
Shaoxing No. 1 Factory	Ten	Two thousand and twenty January 10th 2013	Undetermined
Fujian latitude and longitude	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty January 11th 2013	Undetermined
Wujiang Eagle Xiang	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty January 13th 2013	Undetermined
Wu Jiangxinmin	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty January 13th 2013	Undetermined
Zhejiang Jiabao	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty January 15th 2013	Two Restart 200 thousand tons on 20 February
Xiaoshan No. 1 Factory	Ten	Two thousand and twenty January 16th 2013	Undetermined
Xiaoshan No. 1 Factory	Ten	Two thousand and twenty January 17th 2013	Undetermined
Wuxi Huaya	Thirty	Two thousand and twenty January 22nd 2013	Undetermined
Xiaoshan No. 1 Factory	Eight	Two thousand and twenty January 23rd 2013	Undetermined
A big factory in Tongxiang	One hundred and twenty-six	One On June 26, production was cut down one after another.	Undetermined
Ningbo Da wo	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty January 31st 2013	Undetermined
Tong Kun Heng Tong	Forty	Two On June 2, production was cut down one after another.	Two thousand and twenty End of February
Shaoxing Tiansheng	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty February 2nd 2013	Undetermined
New materials from Southeast China	Thirty	Two thousand and twenty February 2nd 2013	Undetermined
Tianlong new material	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty February 2nd 2013	Undetermined
Zhangjiagang Xinxin	Fifteen	Two thousand and twenty February 3rd 2013	Delayed restart
Zhejiang green	Ten	Two thousand and twenty February 4th 2013	Undetermined
Xiaoshan Lian Da	Thirteen	Two thousand and twenty February 6th 2013	Undetermined
Fujian nylon	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty February 6th 2013	Undetermined
Another big factory in Tongxiang	Ten	Two 3 -7	Two thousand and twenty The load increased in mid February of this year, and some of the production lines are still running at low load.
Macro production	Twenty	Two thousand and twenty February 6th 2013	Undetermined
Zhangjiagang Xinxin	Ten	Two thousand and twenty February 10th 2013	Two thousand and twenty March 1st 2013
Hua Xiang high fiber	Six	Two thousand and twenty February 16th 2013	Undetermined
Taicang Yi Feng	Twenty-five	Two thousand and twenty February 27th 2013	Undetermined
Shaoxing ancient Silk Road	Twenty	2020/2/24-25	Undetermined
Total		Eight hundred and eighty-seven

Source: lung Chung

According to long Zhong data statistics: as of press release, the current domestic melt direct spinning polyester filament repair involves a total capacity of 8 million 870 thousand tons (excluding the restart device). Recently, Suqian Haixin, Dongtai Hongtai, Taicang Zhen Hui, Shaoxing Jin Xin and other devices gradually started to warm up, the polyester filament industry started 69.25%, 4.87% higher than last Monday.

Downstream industry status: the overall boot rate of the projectile in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces is near the level of 27%, up by 7 hundred points. During the week, Taicang, Changshu, Cixi, Changxin and other areas increased the number of bullet factory resumption, but the resumption rate of enterprises was generally dissatisfied, basically 5 below the level. The main reasons are: the low rate of workers arriving at posts, insufficient supply of paper and paperboard for auxiliary materials, and low operation rate of weaving and dyeing. In March, the booting rate will gradually move upward, and most enterprises will resume operation before mid March.

Main raw material PTA: at present, the Hon Bang device in Jiangyin is restarted, and Hua Bin Petrochemical is expected to restart. The PTA device continues to increase slightly and is at a relatively high level. Downstream polyester enterprises will gradually resume work, and demand will gradually improve. A few days ago, the growth of shale oil in the United States slowed down, which offset the market's concerns about the demand for crude oil, and the recent rise in crude oil was a good support for the cost and mentality of chemical products. However, it is understood that Saudi Arabia and Russia have greater disagreement over the reduction in production. In addition, the number of us oil drilling has increased for three consecutive weeks, and international oil prices have fallen, dragging down the PTA market atmosphere and accumulative storehouse exceeding expectations.

In the late stage, overseas public health incidents continued to ferment, crude oil storage continued to decline, and PTA and ethylene glycol polyester and terminal weaving load increased relatively slowly, next week or will be weak and shock. On the supply side, in order to control the finished product inventory, polyester filament factory will slow down its load lifting speed, but there is no substantial improvement in domestic demand at this time, weaving workers. Factory new single transaction is limited, and foreign trade, public health events make the late foreign trade demand has certain uncertainty, demand side has no obvious positive. Therefore, it is expected that the later polyester filament factory will still take preferential delivery and reduce inventory policy.