Cost Side Support Weakened PTA Year-On-Year Decline Of Over 50%
According to the price monitoring of business associations, the price of domestic PTA spot market fell sharply in April 22nd, and the average price of the market was 3068 yuan / ton, down 4.99% from the previous trading day, down 53.54% from the same period last year. Futures market PTA main futures (2009) closed to the limit, closing to the main futures closed at 3128, compared with the previous trading day fell 200, or 6.01%.
The spot market is fragmentary, and the factory starts at a high level of over 92%. In terms of installations, Ningbo Yisheng 2 million ton PTA plant has been suspended for a short period of 4 days. Shanghai Jinshan Petrochemical's annual output of 400 thousand tons PTA plant is scheduled to be overhauled in May 6th and planned to be overhauled for 28 days. At present, the stock market is above 3 million tons, and the supply pressure is still large.
manufacturing enterprise | Unit capacity (10000 tons / year) | Device operation dynamics |
Ningbo Yisheng | Two hundred | Plan to stop for 4 days. |
Ningbo Yisheng | Two hundred and twenty | Postponed maintenance until May |
Shanghai Jinshan Petrochemical | Forty | The plan is scheduled to be overhauled in May 6th and scheduled for 28 days. |
Tianjin petrochemical | Thirty-four | It was overhauled in April 17th and planned to be overhauled for 1 months. |
Hon Bang petrochemical | Sixty | Warming up at the end of last week. |
Oriental Petrochemical | Fifty | Parking inspection and maintenance from April 20th to July |
Fossilization | Ninety | Parking in March 9th, planned to restart in July |
China and Thailand petrochemical | One hundred and twenty | Car maintenance in March 31st, planned for discharging at the end of month. |
Jialong Petrochemical Company | Sixty | Car maintenance in August 2nd, restart time to be determined |
The crude oil market is affected by the pressure of supply and demand, the remaining capacity is insufficient, and prices continue to fall. The Asian PX market closed for 21 days at 446 US dollars / ton FOB Korea and 466 US dollars / ton CFR China, down 10 US dollars / ton compared with the previous trading day. Downstream cautiously wait-and-see sentiment, polyester market turnover continued to fall, production and marketing has cooled, load started near 83%, the market sentiment is strong. The overall turnover of polyester filament market has continued to be light. The price of mainstream polyester factories in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces is still falling steadily. The current polyester POY (150D/48F) reported 49100-5050 yuan / ton. The improvement of terminal weaving order is limited, and the enthusiasm of purchasing is not high. The comprehensive start-up rate of Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms is reduced to about 48%.
In the past 7 days, the average price of polyester market has dropped.
product | 2020-3-15 | 2020-3-22 | Ups and downs | Year on year rise and fall |
Polyester POY (150D/48F) | Five thousand two hundred and seventy-four | Five thousand and four | -5.12% | -44.18% |
Polyester FDY (150D/96F) | Five thousand seven hundred and eighty-one | Five thousand four hundred and eighty-one | -5.19% | -41.88% |
Polyester DTY (150D/48F low elastic) | Seven thousand one hundred and twenty-seven | Six thousand eight hundred and eighty-eight | -3.35% | -34.48% |
Polyester staple fiber (1.4D*38MM) | Six thousand nine hundred and eighty-five | Seven thousand and ten | -0.36% | -21.89 |
Xia Ting, a business analyst, believes that the weakening of the stock market support will weaken the trading atmosphere of the PTA spot market. The market will be dominated by long-term transactions. The downstream demand will be dull and the supply will continue to increase. There is a possibility of further downgrading in the terminal weaving process. In the short term, there is no major positive stimulus, and the price of PTA will remain the main shock.
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