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    Guangdong: Fight Hard And Fight Hard Battle

    2010/5/20 10:16:00 36

    Guangdong GDP


    The mist fogs away, the plane slowly descends, and the south Guangdong land after rain is quiet and verdant.


    When the gloom of the international financial crisis dispersed over the Pearl River Delta, people found that Guangdong, located in the center of the storm eye, did not appear embarrassed or embarrassed by the outside world. On the contrary, it was more confident and calm after the baptism.


    In 2009, Guangdong's GDP grew by 9.5%, and the total economic output ranked twentieth "champion" in every province for a continuous period of time.

    Even more pleasing is the "first":


    The quality competitiveness index of manufacturing industry ranks first in China.


    The overall scale of the financial services industry is the first in the country, surpassing Hongkong for the first time.


    For the first time, the number and amount of invention patents ranked first in the country.


    In order to ensure growth and pfer, Guangdong achieved "green breakout".


    This high-speed flight of the Chinese economy for the past 30 years has been focused on the growth and growth of GDP, while paying more attention to the composition and quality of GDP.


    The crisis is an opportunity. The forced mechanism is to force opportunities.


    Guangdong can not turn, not slow.


    There are two numbers, which are confused by Cantonese.


    First, the dependence on foreign trade reached 160% at the highest level, 2.7 times the national average level; the first one was 3.9 processing enterprises with OEM production, accounting for 40% of the total.


    Relying on the advantages of neighboring Hong Kong and Macao, the first step and the low cost, Guangdong has created the Pearl River Delta mode, which is "two out of doors, big in and out". These figures once represented development and glory.

    However, when the international financial crisis hits, they represent a loophole that has not been patched up: the high degree of dependence on foreign trade brings about the high risk of "the same heat" with the international market, and the uncertain factors of instability are more; but in the billowing financial tsunami, the OEM enterprises without their own "brains" and "hearts" are more likely to "sink".

    Strengths have become short boards, and Guangdong's economic growth rate has fallen to the lowest point since reform and opening up to 5.8%.


    "The impact of the international financial crisis on China's economy, on the surface, is the impact on the speed of economic growth, in essence, is the impact on the way of economic development".

    The financial turmoil, the vanity, and the bare ones are the problems in the traditional economic development mode of Guangdong's high degree of dependence on foreign trade, low industrial level, and weak ability of independent innovation.


    Guangdong was not awakened by a crisis.

    As early as March 2008, Wang Yang, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Secretary of the Guangdong provincial Party committee, pointed out acutely: "if we do not actively adjust the industrial structure today, we will be adjusted by the industrial structure tomorrow."

    Rather than accurate prediction, this widely quoted motto is Guangdong's vivid portrayal of the pformation of development mode before the crisis.


    In the past 30 years of reform and opening up, Guangdong's economy has increased by 13.6% annually, equivalent to four times the average growth rate in the world over the same period. It can be described as "one step in the world and four steps in Guangdong".

    At the same time, it has also formed the traditional mode of development such as the PRD mode.

    Such a way of development will encounter "ceiling" even if it does not encounter "natural disasters".


    Governor Huang Huahua analyzed the "three unsustainable" ways of Guangdong's traditional development mode: the highly dependent development mode of the international market is difficult to continue in the complex and changeable world economic environment; the production mode which is large and not strong in technology and economy and lacks core competitiveness is difficult to continue in the increasingly fierce international competition; the extensive development mode, which has long been formed mainly relying on material input and extension, is difficult to continue in the situation of resource constraints such as energy and land, and partial bearing capacity of the urban environment.


    "A calm lake can not make a strong sailor, and a comfortable environment can not make heroes of the times."

    The slogan of a company in Guangzhou reveals the voice of Cantonese: crisis is an opportunity, and the forced mechanism is to force opportunities.


    "The financial crisis has helped us a lot, and we must not waste the crisis," said Liu Zhigeng, Secretary of the Dongguan municipal Party committee. Since the reform and opening up, Dongguan's economy has been growing by an average annual growth rate of 18%.

    They were in peace and danger and put forward economic pformation in 2006.

    "I've made an analogy. It's like a high-speed train running for 30 years. You don't slow down and speed up the inspection and give it a boost. How can we continue to accelerate development?"

    However, because of the prosperity of Dongguan's economy at that time, the idea was criticized.

    In the wake of the crisis, more than 1000 low-end enterprises in Dongguan, whose dependence on foreign trade reached 253%, went bankrupt and Dongguan people suddenly realized.

    Last year, although the speed of Dongguan's economy slowed down, its benefits increased: the growth rate of GDP per capita exceeded GDP for the first time, and the proportion of the third industry exceeded second industries for the first time.


    "This financial crisis is the last time window to change the way of development", "the danger of traditional development mode and the way of scientific development mode".

    Guangdong's "machine" dancing is appearing on the stage with a more vigorous posture.


    We need to "change the cage for birds" and "enlarge the cage birds".


    Double pfer dual promotion to promote dual solution


    In Guangdong, such two "Qingyuan stories" are intriguing.


    The per capita GDP in Guangzhou and Shenzhen has exceeded 10 thousand US dollars, but the GDP in Qingyuan mountainous area, which is only 30 kilometers away from Guangzhou, is still hovering at 2000 US dollars.

    Qingyuan's famous brand sneakers in the world, which sell around us $100 a pair in the US, and Qingyuan manufacturers can only get 2 dollars.


    The story of Qingyuan is a reflection of Guangdong's long-standing problems.

    "One of the biggest problems in Guangdong's economic development pattern is imbalance in regional development. First, the overall competitiveness of the industry is not high."

    Li Luyun, deputy director of the provincial Development Research Center, hit the nail on the head.


    The area accounts for 10% of the Pearl River Delta in the whole province. The total economic volume is 5 times the mountainous area in northern Guangdong, 4 times the East and West wings, and the imbalance of regional development has always been the "internal injury" of Guangdong.

    In the "U" curve of international industrial division, Guangdong stays at the bottom of the curve for a long time, wandering in the middle and low end of the international industrial chain, has strong manufacturing capability, but has no strong core technology, there are many products, but there are not many independent brands.

    The "U" curve is known as the "smile curve", but Guangdong cannot smile.


    How can Guangdong change its way of economic development?


    The strategy of "double pfer" was born: guiding the labor intensive industries in the Pearl River Delta to the less developed areas such as northern Guangdong and the East and West wings, leaving resources and space to attract advanced manufacturing and high-end service industries; and guiding the less developed areas to pfer to the local two or three industries and the developed areas of the Pearl River Delta.


    Some people call this strategy the "genius idea" of Guangdong pformation, but this "idea" was not successful at the beginning.


    "" cage for birds ", drive sparrows, can attract gold phoenix?

    "Will it not be acclimatized to the mountainous areas of northern Guangdong and the East and West wings?"

    "Under the financial crisis, it is difficult for enterprises to survive. How can they" double pfer "?

    In this regard, Guangdong's policy makers are very determined.

    When the pressure is greatest, the provincial leaders insist: "double pfer" is not omnipotent, but at least it is not poison.


    "Double pfer" is firmly advancing.

    Foshan's Ceramic Industrial Park has been pferred to Qingyuan. Zhongshan torch high tech Zone has ignited another torch in Yangxi County, which is 200 kilometers away.

    On the circular radiation belt from 100 to 300 kilometers away from the hinterland of the Pearl River Delta, 33 provincial industrial pfer parks are distributed. Last year, the total industrial output value was 90 billion 718 million yuan, and the labor force was 392 thousand people.


    "North of Guangdong" cold pole "becomes" hot earth "and" the next ten years look at western Guangdong ".

    Driven by the industrial pfer park, the mountainous areas of northern Guangdong and the East and West wings are steaming, and the growth of various economic indicators is generally higher than that of the Pearl River Delta.

    Last year, the difference coefficient of regional development in Guangdong province dropped to 0.743, the lowest in nearly five years.


    At the same time, the Pearl River delta industry is no longer the "Pearl River water, Guangdong food, Dongguan shoes and socks go square" appearance, the labor intensive industry share decreased significantly, the world's advanced manufacturing industry and modern service industry came in.


    "The Guangzhou development zone is the most direct beneficiary of the" double pfer "strategy. Xue Xiaofeng, director of the Guangzhou Municipal Committee and director of the Guangzhou Development Zone Management Committee, told the story: the Kowloon Industrial Park pferred more than 20 projects with a density of less than 100 yuan per square meter, and introduced seven or eight new projects with a investment density of 700 US dollars, and the" rice production "increased by 50 times at a time.

    "Guangdong wants to" cage for birds ", we self pressurize, put forward to" cage Ceng Phoenix ".

    Last year, the Guangzhou Development Zone "got the best harvest in the worst year". The six index is the first in the country, becoming the largest and best economic development zone in China.


    If the "double pfer" strategy is "changing the cage and changing birds", then the "double promotion" strategy put forward by Guangdong is "expanding the strong birds": enhancing the competitiveness of the industry and enhancing the capability of independent innovation.


    In addition to promoting the pformation and upgrading of traditional industries and optimizing the stock, we should also develop the modern industrial system and use the incremental dilution stock.

    "Incremental dilution of stock can be said to be an experience of our reform and development", Wang Yang said. "In a sense, this hand is more important, which determines the direction, stamina and competitiveness of Guangdong's industry."


    The modern service industry is surging.

    "With the development of a number of major service industries such as Foshan financial hi tech Zone, American flag logistics and Sanshui brand discount stores, Foshan's service industry investment accounted for 60% of the total investment last year."

    Chen Yunxian, Secretary of the Foshan Municipal Committee who was chairman of GF Securities, said excitedly.


    Emerging strategic industries suddenly rise.

    Guangdong's emerging display devices, new energy sources, new light sources, and new generation broadband wireless mobile communications have become the "star of industry".


    Another upgrade - "enhancing the capability of independent innovation" has become the buzzword in Guangdong:


    "To compete with others in the international arena, we need to practice muscles and strength.

    The process of training muscles and practicing strength is the process of enhancing independent innovation capability and enhancing core competitiveness of enterprises.


    "Independent innovation, Guangdong should be" sharp knife ", and Shenzhen should strive to be" knife tip ".


    "The core technology is the backbone, the enterprise can not always have no backbone" - enterprises say so.


    China's regional innovation capability report published by the Ministry of science and technology shows that Guangdong's regional innovation capability has ranked second in the country, the number of R & D personnel is the first in the country, the patent licensing volume is the first in the country, the innovation economic performance and the enterprise innovation ability are the first in the country, the high technology output value and the product export are the first in the country.


    "Double pfer" and "double promotion" bring about the coordination of regional development, the upgrading of industrial pformation and the improvement of comprehensive competitiveness.

    As a result, the two major problems of Guangdong's economic development mode have begun to be "double cracked".


    Behind the "long push hard turn"


    Get rid of the misunderstanding of "unwilling to turn", and create "continuous pfer" system and mechanism.


    Policymakers in Guangdong often ask themselves:


    Why do many people realize the importance and urgency of accelerating pformation? But in practice, they are still used to following the same old rules, seeking speed, assembling scale and spreading stalls.


    Why, after years of hard work, Guangdong's economic development is still "unhappy"?


    "Long push hard to turn" is due to "unwilling to turn" in mind.

    In the past few years, the argument that "do not want to change" or "fear to turn" was once in a great clamour in Guangdong.


    Looking back to the beginning of reform and opening up, Cantonese have not enough food to eat, but they can think differently. The mayor and village branch of the Pearl River Delta are scrambling to invest in Hongkong merchants.

    Now, the total economic volume of Guangdong has surpassed the "Little Dragons" of Singapore, Hongkong and Taiwan, accounting for 1/8 of the whole country.

    It is the root of "unwilling to turn" that small wealth and immediate security, traditional path dependence and the maintenance of existing interests pattern.


    Guangdong has the right remedy and has lifted the banner of "emancipating the mind".

    To go to East China to study and learn; invite experts to give lectures; organize the propaganda group to go deep into the grass-roots level.

    The provincial Party committee and the provincial government also invited netizens to "Irrigate" and "clap bricks". More than 30 thousand suggestions and more than 500 articles were flying like snowflakes.

    As a result, the consensus of the whole province is continuously condensed.


    Because of the lack of institutional mechanisms, we can not "continue to turn".

    Zhang Guangning, member of the Standing Committee of the Guangdong Provincial Committee and Secretary of the Guangzhou municipal Party committee, said that if the performance appraisal is still "GDP only on heroes", then the local government will be very competitive on the surface. In fact, it may still focus on speed and scale.

    Guangdong began to change the baton of performance appraisal.


    The "Zengcheng model" is refreshing.

    According to different resource endowments, Zengcheng has divided the whole city into three main functional areas.

    The south is located in a new industrial zone with a focus on development; the central part is a cultural living area with optimized development; the northern mountainous area is an eco industrial zone that is restricted by development, and more than 1000 square kilometers of land is determined not to develop industry.


    Compared with industrial projects with quick results and high returns, ecological benefits are gradually emerging. How can we mobilize the enthusiasm of local cadres?

    "We have set up a classification assessment mechanism, the South focuses on the assessment of industrial output value and independent innovation capacity, the North focuses on assessing tourism and agricultural output value and does not assess industry," said Zhu Zejun, Secretary of the Zengcheng municipal Party committee. "Last year, the southern Xintang Town, although the industrial output value was close to 90 billion yuan, was not high enough for the growth of residents' income, but only 100 million yuan in the North was awarded the outstanding award."


    It is impossible to turn the way into one service.

    How to solve the problem of insufficient talents and scientific and technological resources in Guangdong?

    How to improve the "soft environment" of government and social pformation?

    How to achieve "good scar not forget pain" and prevent the return of traditional development mode?

    Guangdong is still exploring.


    30 years ago, Guangdong had "killed a way out" for China's reform and opening up. Today, Guangdong is trying to "break through a new path" in the trade-off between economic development mode and the constant choice, the trade-off and the trade-off between advance and retreat.

    Cantonese are well aware that being a good leader is not only a leading indicator of development, but also a way forward.


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