Prices Will Continue To Develop Steadily Throughout The Year.

National Bureau of Statistics spokesman Sheng Lai Yun 11, said that the current price trend has certain uncertainties, both to promote prices upward, but also inhibit.

He also said that the statistics department is improving the price statistics system and changed the original area of idle real estate to the target area for sale, but it is difficult to accurately predict the housing vacancy rate.

Food prices push CPI up

The latest figures show that the consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.3% in July, a record high in the past 21 months.

Sheng Lai Yun believes that we should first see the influence of the tail factor. In July, the percentage of CPI3.3% rose by 2.2 percentage points, and the remaining 1.1 percentage points were driven by the new price increase factor.

In July, prices of vegetables, grains, eggs and other foodstuffs increased greatly, and pork prices also increased considerably. The contribution of food prices to the new price increase was about 70%.

There is a certain uncertainty in the trend of late prices.

Sheng said that the price of agricultural products is uncertain in the future. Especially with the reduction of international wheat grain production, the rise of international grain prices will stimulate the domestic market.

In addition, wage costs and

Sheng Lai Yun said that after August, the impact of price warping will be weakened.

Taking all these factors into consideration, the impact of price uptrend may be greater than that of driving up prices, and prices remain basically stable throughout the year.

Vacancy rate is difficult to accurately count

For the current hot vacancy rate of housing, Sheng Yun Yun frankly is difficult to calculate accurately.

He said that statistics departments are actively improving the relevant statistical system of real estate, and will announce the area of real estate enterprises to be sold in the future to replace the original idle area index.

However, it is difficult to calculate the vacancy rate accurately.

Sheng Lai Yun said that housing vacancy is a new problem arising from the development of real estate in recent years, and the statistical system has not yet been reflected.

The qualitative description of vacancy rate is relatively simple, but it is difficult to calculate objectively.

It is difficult to give a standard for the definition time and state of vacant housing, which is also an international problem.

If we want to really find out the housing area and structure, we must place our hope on the housing census.

For real estate prices, statistics show that in July, the prices of the 70 large and medium-sized cities were flat, which failed to continue the downward trend in June.

In this regard, Sheng Lai Yun believes that this situation is consistent with the current real estate market prices stable volume drop reality.

At present, real estate regulation has achieved positive results, and the biggest achievement is that the housing price rising momentum in some cities has been initially curbed.

In most of the first tier cities in July, the housing price ratio fell, with 5 cities in Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou, Guangzhou and Shenzhen falling at 0.5%-0.6%.

Housing prices in the two or three tier cities have increased since they were relatively low.

On the whole, the national real estate prices are flat.

In July, in the eight categories of products that constituted CPI, the price of living class rose by 4.8% compared with the same period last year, rising by 0.1%.

In this regard, the statistical department explained that the main reason is that the rent rose relatively fast, the month rent prices rose 7.6% over the same period, stimulating the rise in housing prices.