Cotton Field Is Becoming Less And Less &Nbsp; Where Is The Development Of Textile Industry?

Nowadays, cotton planting has become a belief and habit in seven Li Ying Town, Xinxiang County, Henan province.

The past has changed.

In September 2nd, Li Xiuli, a farmer breeding expert, told the "China Times" reporter that the 600 acres of experimental plots were planted by him. Besides him, the cotton planting area in the area had been very few.

"Probably the whole county of Xinxiang has a maximum of thousands of Mu!" Li Xiuli said that he planted cotton more a professional habit, and the ideal of cotton breeding, "if we only consider the economic benefits of cotton seed, we will not grow hundreds of acres of cotton."

Li Xiuli's company at present

In this case, the young Li Xiuli may not be able to imagine, the local

The statue of Mao Zedong not far from the Li Xiuli experimental field is the best witness. In 1958, Xinxiang cotton was famous throughout the country. Mao Zedong visited and praised the cotton planting well. The local memorial was specially built for Mao Zedong.

The change of the seven Li Ying Town is just like the epitome of the cotton industry. Henan is one of the main cotton producing areas in China. The cotton planting area in the whole province has reached 10 million mu at the most, and now it is only 2 million ~300 mu.

In fact, the cotton planting area in the whole country is decreasing. Before 1984, the cotton planting area in the whole country once reached 120 million mu. In recent years, the cotton planting area has been reduced year by year, and now it is reduced to about 75 million mu.

After the continuous reduction of cotton planting area, the downstream industries began to change.

Since the second half of last year, cotton prices have continued to rise, which has broken through the historical highs of 2003. Textile enterprises are beginning to feel the pressure of rising cotton prices.

First textile network chief editor Wang Qian told reporters that perhaps this pressure has just begun. He believes that 30% of the domestic cotton shortfall has reached the critical point. If the cotton planting area continues to decrease, it will probably affect the safety of cotton in the textile industry, and the textile industry may have to usher in the era of high cotton prices.

The industry believes that cotton planting area in more than 80 million acres is considered to be within the safety zone.

Cotton is not planted this year.

Wang's judgment is not good news for the textile industry, but it can reflect the current situation of cotton planting.

Cotton prices have skyrocketed since the end of last year, and cotton growers' enthusiasm for cotton planting has not been aroused.

Li Xiuli's cotton planting area in Xinxiang county is still decreasing, and another cotton producing county in Henan is more obvious in Fugou.

Liu Yulan, who lived in Fugou County, Zhoukou, Henan Province, has been 60 years old. Planting cotton has been a part of her life for many years. But last year, she finally decided to stop growing cotton under the persuasion of her children.

Fugou county is located in the central part of Henan province. It is the national high quality cotton production base county. It has many years of cotton cultivation history, the arable land area is about 1 million 100 thousand mu, and the cotton planting area is 700 thousand mu.

But in recent years, the cotton planting area in Fugou has been decreasing year by year. In 2007, the cotton planting area in the county was 560 thousand mu, but the planting area in recent two years has dropped to less than 200 thousand mu, of which 199 thousand Mu was in 2009 and 193 thousand and 500 mu this year.

Nevertheless, the cotton planting area in Fugou still ranks first in Henan province.

In Fugou, Taikang and other cotton counties, planting area is decreasing.

The glorious history of cotton in Henan, the main cotton producing area, is being rolled over by one page.

Internet Xinxiang County Cotton Association's telephone call to local supply and marketing cooperatives, the phone even did not know who the cotton association should be contacted, the people in charge of the Association told reporters that the local industry pfer, the cotton association has no one.

Li Xiuli told reporters that the cotton association might exist, but because there was no business, the staff were disbanded.

There were also some cotton related businesses in the seven Li Ying Town, which had been answered by nobody in the Seven Mile Camp Town. Li Xiuli also told reporters that there were two ginning plants in the town. At present, the factory was still there, but there was no business and the staff were scattered.

The phone that the reporter retrieves the cotton cooperative, cotton association and other units in Hebi, Mengzhou, Yanjin and other places on the Internet, after calling, it is found that these calls have been turned into family phones.

Not only Henan, Shandong, Jiangsu, Anhui and other major cotton producing areas, cotton planting area is also decreasing.

According to the statistics of Shandong Provincial Department of agriculture, the cotton planting area in 2008 was 13 million 320 thousand mu, which dropped to 12 million mu in 2009, and further reduced to 11 million 700 thousand mu in 2010.

In Xinjiang, which accounts for about 30% of cotton production, the planting area is also decreasing. Yang Cuihong, a researcher at the center for scientific research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences engaged in cotton research, told reporters that some major cotton producing areas in Xinjiang even supported industrial pfer under the support of the government.

According to the data of China Cotton Association, in 2007-2009 years, the cotton planting area in China was 88 million 891 thousand and 500 mu, 86 million 311 thousand and 500 mu and 74 million 250 thousand mu in succession.

Why abandoned

Planting cotton is time-consuming and laborious and the yield is not high. It is almost everyone's reason for not growing cotton.

The head of the Xinxiang county supply and Marketing Association Association told the newspaper reporter that the benefits of planting cotton were not good enough.

In Fugou, the first cotton producing county in 2008, the sharp decline in cotton prices provided stronger support for this argument.

First, when cotton was planted in the first half of the year, the total price of seeds, fertilizers and pesticides increased by an average of 40%. Until the cotton harvest in the second half of the year, although the output was not bad, cotton prices declined all the way down shortly after the launch of new cotton. At the lowest level, only 2 yuan per kg of Zi cotton.

At this price, not only a year's labor is in vain, but also the money is lost. Liu Yulan accepted the advice of his children in that year and decided not to grow cotton. In those years, she had not sold the cotton that was hard to sell to the purchaser at a low price, but made eight quilts for her son to marry.

The old man told reporters that in fact, his son was not in a hurry to get married.

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In those days, the enthusiasm of cotton growers in Fugou was severely hit, and the cotton planting area in second years was greatly reduced. It is said that the cotton planting area in 2009 has been reduced by half compared with that in 2008, and Liu Yulan felt that there were hardly any cotton seeds around her.

In this regard, the Farmers Daily has given a rational explanation: "because of the rising cost and falling prices in the year, farmers' cotton planting is seriously losing money, and cotton production enthusiasm has been frustrated."

The extreme market triggered by the economic crisis in 2008 may only aggravate the trend of decreasing cotton planting area. In fact, cotton planting area has been decreasing in recent years because of the decrease in the comparative income of cotton seed.

"Cotton is difficult to serve. From April to October every year, when fertilizer and medicine are not stopped, it takes time and effort, and it doesn't earn much money."

Farmers' simple logic outlines the path of continuous reduction in cotton planting area.

Planting wheat, corn and rice is relatively simple. With the improvement of mechanization level and the rise of grain prices, the cotton comparative advantage of time and effort is lost.

In the past, the price ratio of cotton and grain was between 12 and 1 to 8: 1. During this interval, farmers were willing to grow cotton. For example, the price of wheat is now 1 yuan per catty, according to the lowest cotton price of 8: 1, the cotton price should be about 8 yuan per catty, but now only 4 yuan is up and down, and the cotton grain price ratio is seriously unbalanced.

Another reason is that the role of state support policy, because for wheat, rice, corn and other staple food, the state subsidies are relatively more and there are protective price acquisitions, farmers' income is guaranteed, and cotton only has 15 yuan per mu subsidy, and no protection price acquisition, market prices rise and fall, cotton farmers only bear their own risk.

"Although the price of cotton is so high this year, after deducting the cost, there are not enough money left in the pocket, and I don't know what the price will be next year."

Liu Yulan said.

Textile industry crisis

With the decline of income and risk, most farmers are gradually away from cotton, and the textile industry with cotton as raw material gradually feels the pressure of rising raw materials.

"This year, some cotton mills are sitting on the floor and starting a price once a month or even a few days, which is very stressful for us downstream users.

Some of the previous long bills even appeared 7%-8% losses.

Zhou Xiaonan, deputy general manager of Ningbo Huamei line Co., Ltd.

The rise in raw material prices is hard to pass downstream.

Zhong Haosen, assistant general manager of Guangdong textile import and export Limited by Share Ltd, told an interview with our reporter that raw material price growth is now the most influential factor to the export of enterprises. Cloth has risen by 30%-35% from the beginning of this year to the present, but the terminal price has never been followed up. The decline in corporate profits has become a problem for enterprises to face.

The cost pressure faced by textile enterprises has made the industry pay more attention to the cotton production in the upper reaches. Wang Qian, an interview with reporters, said that although the rise of cotton prices has limited impact on the downstream textile industry, we can not help but see the long-term changes in the reduction of cotton planting area.

Wang Qianjin said that at present, China's cotton consumption is about 10 million tons, production volume is 7 million tons, and the gap between supply and demand is 30%. It is the largest consumer and importer in the world.

He believes that 30% of the supply and demand gap has reached a critical point. China, as the largest cotton importer, has a very significant impact on the international cotton price. The increase in supply and demand gap may further uplift cotton prices, and the safety of cotton in the textile industry is likely to be threatened.

Economist Lang Xianping pointed out at the end of 2009 that the change of China's cotton industry was behind the "conspiracy of the United States". According to Lang Xianping's data, China's cotton planting area, unit area and cotton quality all dropped by more than 10% in 2009.

After China's entry into the WTO in 2001, its cotton market was gradually opened, but the United States has been subsidizing its cotton industry.

As a result, from 2001 to 2004, subsidized cheap American cotton poured into China, and China's imports of American cotton increased 21 times. This resulted in a sharp decline in domestic cotton prices, and domestic cotton growers lost their way in the market, and China's cotton planting area began to decrease rapidly.

As for the problem of decreasing cotton planting area and increasing cotton prices, an expert from the Cotton Research Institute of the Academy of Agricultural Sciences told reporters that the problem is very sensitive and of no less importance than grain.

Yang Cuihong, a researcher at the center for scientific research of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in cotton research, believes that cotton is similar to iron ore in some sense. If China's cotton supply and demand gap is too large, it is likely to be controlled like the iron and steel industry.