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    The Futures Market Is Finally Coming To Spring.

    2010/12/20 18:01:00 66

    Futures Market

       In 2010, the stock market seemed to be a flash in the pan. The relatively dull futures market in the past has brought more surprises to investors this year. The reporter got information from the head of a Futures Company. So far, the futures investors of island city have made money in 2010. It is rare to achieve such a result in a zero sum market.


    This year, most of the futures varieties are the main theme. rubber There has been a surge in sugar futures and so on. Therefore, for investors who are in the right direction, they can earn double or even several times of earnings in a short time.


    General situation


    The futures market is booming.


    In 2010, under the premise of steady economic development, the futures market futures Varieties have also experienced a round of gains, especially agricultural and sideline products, from the beginning of the year, "garlic you are ruthless, you play, ginger your army". To the later "cotton palm, sugar Gao Zong". Futures, as the vane of price, are most vividly displayed.


    Liu Qiang, an analyst at the Qingdao Sales Department of the League of nations futures, said that in 2010 cotton prices were from 17000 yuan to 33000 yuan per ton, and from 5500 yuan to 7500 yuan per ton of sugar. The price was constantly creating new heights, and it was also subverting people's original price concept. It was also deducing one after another myth of creating wealth. In industrial products, the performance of natural rubber in the second half of the year is no less inferior to that of other varieties. From September 30th to November 11th, prices rose from 27000 yuan / ton to 39000 yuan / ton in 25 short trading days. In contrast, the metals belonging to industrial products are not so crazy. Although copper also hit a high level of 70 thousand yuan / ton in November 11th, it still had a distance from 80 thousand yuan / ton in 2006. Generally speaking, the futures market in 2010 can be described by "a hundred schools of thought contend, and a hundred flowers bloom".


    Cotton


    2 months, 100 thousand yuan to 600 thousand.


    In 2010, the overall trend of futures varieties rose, and many varieties even reached a record high. Jingyi futures Zhou Yan, an analyst at the Qingdao business department, said that Zhengzhou cotton was the most aggressive trend among the futures varieties. In the early days of the domestic production reduction, cotton launched a unilateral huge increase since the beginning of September, and the internal and external markets rose side by side. During the period when the price rose to around 28000 yuan / ton, a series of control measures had been issued, but the effect was not obvious. The price continued to rise to 33600 yuan / ton. After the harsh policy of central control of inflation was suppressed, it fell back to 24000 yuan / ton with other commodities.


    Many investors in the island city seized the opportunity to raise cotton and made a good profit. "I built around 20000 yuan / ton to build multi storehouses. At that time, I didn't buy much, about 5 hands. During the period, there was an appropriate addition, and then the market went up all the way to 27000 yuan / ton, and there were nearly 5 times the profits." Investor Sun said that he did not invest much money, only about 100 thousand yuan, but made 5 times on cotton and became 600 thousand after more than 2 months.


    Zhou Yan said that this year's market is relatively simple, many investors have gained more income than in previous years, but there are many examples of futures investment losses. "In this surge, many spot traders hedging operations will produce some losses, but these are what they expect, and future losses will be washed away in the profits of spot prices."


    Sales Department


    A number of futures business department to seize the island city


    In 2006, only about 10 futures business departments in Qingdao were small, investors were not recognized, and talent was relatively scarce. By the end of 2010, the number of Futures Company in Qingdao had reached 28. Chongqing first financial futures, times futures, COFCO futures, Donghai futures, Beijing futures and other futures have been settled in the island city. It is understood that Wanda futures has been in the process of approval and will become the twenty-ninth futures business department of the island city.


    The number of business units doubled, which is not the most important. The most important thing is that the talent level of the futures Department of the island city and the operation level of investors have been greatly improved. Sui Xiaoguang, director of research and development of Galaxy futures Qingdao business department, said that in 2009 and 2010, Qingdao futures investors were generally profitable. "The futures market is a zero sum market. Before 2008, the island city was in general deficit. In 2009 and 2010, it was profitable for two consecutive years, indicating that the investment level of the island city has been greatly improved."


    Among these new sales offices in the island city, COFCO futures and Beijing intermediate futures are big Futures Company with background of state-owned enterprises or background of securities companies. The chief executive of COFCO futures Qingdao business department, Qu Tao, said that the more Futures Company can increase competition, further enhance the overall level of the island futures industry, and provide investors with more professional and high-level guidance, which is a good thing for the development of the industry.


    Margin deposit


    Play more than single company over 600 million


    Futures are risky in the eyes of ordinary people, so many investors are afraid of them. But investors with some experience know that as long as the positions are strictly controlled, the risk of futures investment can be effectively controlled. If we study and analyze the market properly, we can control investment risks and gain considerable profits. "Opportunity and risk are reciprocal. This year, I opened a household in a Futures Company under the introduction of my friends. I made a couple of times, making profits and paying losses, and I find it very interesting." Investors, Mr. Sun said that futures investment risks and opportunities are great. As long as we have enough time to study the economy, we need to pay more attention to discipline and make money.


    "The number of futures investors in Qingdao has increased significantly this year. The total margin of Futures Company futures in Qingdao is more than 3 billion yuan, and some single Futures Company margin exceeds 600 million yuan, which is not in the past." Qu Tao said. According to the reporter's interview, the number of futures investors has almost doubled this year. "The level of investment in Qingdao futures has gradually been recognized, and many foreign investors are also coming to Qingdao to open up futures." Qu Tao said.


    Prediction


    Most varieties are liable to rise and fall.


    Recalling the current situation, what will be the performance of all varieties? Zhou Yan believes that from the first half of the year, garlic and mung beans, which were the first to be heard in the first half of the year, came to the cotton production in the second half of the year due to the unexpected increase in Russia's drought, including cotton, sugar and soybeans. Commodities, especially agricultural products, were in turn.


    Some experts believe that gold is still on the rise channel, rebar after iron ore price increase has also increased pressure. In the context of the new round of quantitative easing monetary policy and the increase of disposable income of residents in the major economies of the world, the price rise of agricultural products seems to be logical. In addition, the disastrous climate will still occur frequently. This is also a potential booster for the future prices of agricultural products, so the price of agricultural products will continue to show a tendency to rise and fall next year. Reporter Xiao Lianghua


    Link


    Futures market brewing again threshold {page_break}


    Petty cash is feared to be expelled.


    After the abolition of fee concessions, restrictions on the number of open hands and the raising of margin ratio, the major futures exchanges have learned that regulators are brewing new initiatives to increase speculation in futures trading contracts, while agricultural futures are the main targets.


    "At present, the specific details of improving the trading unit are under study, and the date of its issuance is not yet determined." Reporters learned from the Dalian commodity exchange that the Zhengzhou commodity exchange and the Shanghai futures exchange are also studying the specific rules of the policy and need approval by regulatory authorities.


    At present, the trading volume of corn, soybean and soybean oil is 10 tons / hand. "After the expansion of trading units, soybeans may be transferred to 60 tons / hand, soybean oil will be transferred to 30 tons / hand." According to Mr. Yang, a futures broker of Beijing Futures Limited, according to the margin ratio of 10%, taking the closing price of 3945 yuan in December 15th as an example, this means that the purchase of single soybeans will rise from 23670 yuan to 23670 yuan before the withdrawal of many retail investors with insufficient funds from the market.

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