Domestic Lint Turnover Was Partially Warmer But Overall Remained Depressed.
Main points:
1.
Domestic price and index: 129 level 28758 (+47) yuan / ton; 229 level 28204 (+35) yuan / ton; 328 level 27447 (+64) yuan / ton; 428 26669 (+70) yuan / ton.
A few years ago, some stocks were expected to soar!
Quotation
In the near future, there will be a reversal of the institutional capital flow. Great changes have taken place. The main funds are plotting new layout.
2.
International cotton index: SM index 177.93 (+3.47), M index 176.76 (+3.49).
3.
Substitute price: polyester staple fiber 12620 (+0) yuan / ton, viscose staple fiber 25480 (+0) yuan / ton.
4.
Cotton spot: domestic stock market prices continue to warm up, but the paction is still low.
The number of small batch pactions has increased in some areas, but the overall sales situation has not improved significantly.
By the end of the year, the number of enquiries in textile enterprises increased. However, because of the less high-grade lint this year, cotton traders have been hoarding cotton for sale.
6.
International cotton: in December 17th, the price of China's main port of imported cotton rebounded sharply, with an overall increase of 1-4 cents.
Although international cotton prices have been rising and falling frequently, and with the rebound in prices, China's foreign cotton purchases have been significantly reduced, but the supply of cotton varieties of various varieties is difficult to meet the needs of China's textile mills, which makes foreign businessmen continue to look forward to next year's import prospects.
7.
Policy control: controlling price level is more important in economic work next year, and regulation will become the norm.
8.ICE cotton: in December 17th, grain and soft commodities in the United States generally rose.
ICE cotton
Futures continued to strengthen under the impetus of speculative buying, and the volume of contracts was enlarged in March.
Summary:
although
American cotton
But the domestic macro environment and the cotton market are different from that of the United States and cotton. Therefore, we should not attach too much importance to American cotton.
Although the domestic cotton trade has been partially recovered, the overall situation is still in the doldrums.
But we must pay attention to the downstream situation is not satisfactory, the whole industry chain price pmission is not smooth, there is no good foundation, the rise is not sustainable.
And the government's control of prices will become the focus of economic work, and the regulatory atmosphere will not dissipate.
Under the premise of control of positions, it is recommended to go short.
The 28500 point pressure is obvious, it can be emptied in the 27500-28000 interval and added in the 28000-28500 interval.
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