• <abbr id="ck0wi"><source id="ck0wi"></source></abbr>
    <li id="ck0wi"></li>
  • <li id="ck0wi"><dl id="ck0wi"></dl></li><button id="ck0wi"><input id="ck0wi"></input></button>
  • <abbr id="ck0wi"></abbr>
  • <li id="ck0wi"><dl id="ck0wi"></dl></li>
  • Home >

    Ni Jin Jie: After GDP Surpasses Japan, We Should Be Vigilant To Repeat Its Mistakes.

    2011/2/15 11:55:00 66

    Ni Jin Festival GDP Repeating Its Mistakes

    With the announcement of Japan's economic data, China's GDP scale has officially jumped to no doubt.

    World second

    Once, GDP is the basic guarantee for improving people's lives and increasing their employment level.

    However, in the past more than 10 years, with the extensive growth of GDP, it is becoming increasingly difficult for us to feel the simultaneous improvement of the sense of happiness brought about by economic growth.


    In fact, as long as we dissected the classification data of GDP, we can clearly feel that this "rush day" is of little significance.

    According to the data of IMF, the per capita GDP in China is only $4300, and the per capita GDP is only 10% in Japan and the United States, excluding the 100 in the world. So far, there are still 40 million people who have not come out of poverty.

    Moreover, the old people over 60 account for 12.5% of the total population of the country.

    At the same time, the concentration of wealth is quite high, and the Gini coefficient has already exceeded the theoretical warning line, which makes the risk of China's economy falling into the "middle income trap".


    In the past ten years,

    China GDP

    In the period of explosive growth, it has been accumulated extensively in the scale of "one year five trillion".

    Just 5 years ago, China's GDP was only 2 trillion and 300 billion dollars, only half of Japan's.

    In just a few years, China has doubled its economic scale, but we need to soberly realize how this growth has come.


    Last year, the total GDP in China was nearly 40 trillion, the scale of fixed assets investment was as high as 27 trillion, and the investment GDP ratio was as high as 70%.

    On the other side of the coin, private investment is in the doldrums, and the industrial heart has disappeared. More private capital is willing to drift away from the asset market in the form of hot money.


    Doubling with GDP, the real estate bubble has spread to the most remote small town.

    It can be imagined that without the credit blowout of the banking system and the enthusiasm of the local government to "generate money from the land", the Chinese economy will never exceed Japan in the short term.


    So far, China is still at the lowest end of the global industrial chain. The consumption of resources and manpower in exports is much larger than that in the export. The energy resources consumed by the unit GDP are still at a high level, and the optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure will take a long time.


    After becoming the world's second largest economy, the Chinese economy should be more vigilant and repeat the mistakes of the Japanese economy.

    Indeed, the economies of China and Japan share too much common ground.

    To some extent, China has succeeded in replicating the economic development pattern of Japan. Export oriented and government led are the two magic weapons that Japan has rapidly emerged after World War II.

    However, these two points also became the main institutional reasons for Japan's economic recession in the late 80s.


    Although China has extremely rich factors such as population, land and energy, as well as low level of urbanization development, China's economy has a "stronger anti foam" capability, but now China's economy has long been contradictory, and all kinds of potential hazards are beginning to be exposed.


    Today, the story of GDP accumulation and currency development is always the same, while inflation and bubbles are getting closer and closer to us.

    All of these remind us that after the total economic volume becomes the so-called world second, we need to complete the biggest structural adjustment in 30 years from the root. If we are still obsessed with the existing mode, we should take "the"

    Cardiac acupuncture

    "Stimulus policy as normal, then I am afraid that it will stop at the trap of" middle income "to meet the bubble burst and long-term stagnation.


    This is not alarmist talk, but a simple logic of economic history.


    Ni Jinjie (Visiting Fellow of the China Institute of human capital)

    • Related reading

    China'S GDP Total Second Is Not Worth Surprises.

    Expert commentary
    |
    2011/2/15 11:50:00
    58

    Liu Ligang: Accelerating RMB Appreciation

    Expert commentary
    |
    2011/2/15 9:47:00
    57

    Wang Wen: Why Does China Not Have A Decent Luxury Clothing Brand?

    Expert commentary
    |
    2011/2/15 8:59:00
    92

    Hongyuan Futures: Zheng Cotton Will Be Limited In Recent Months.

    Expert commentary
    |
    2011/2/14 17:07:00
    52

    Ye Tan: Labor Shortage Is A Good Thing.

    Expert commentary
    |
    2011/2/14 15:39:00
    37
    Read the next article

    Vietnam'S Shield Depreciated &Nbsp; China'S Textile Exports Will Be Affected.

    The Vietnamese central bank explained on its website 11 days ago that the government promulgated the guiding opinions on implementing the 2011 economic and social development plan in January 9th, which required the central bank to adjust its exchange rate actively, flexibly and appropriately according to market demand.

    主站蜘蛛池模板: 亚洲av无码成人精品区狼人影院 | 最近中文字幕无吗免费高清| 女人与zozo| 免费看特级毛片| 中文在线观看视频| 美女被免费网站在线视频免费| 日本三区四区免费高清不卡 | 97色在线视频观看香蕉| 特级毛片在线播放| 天天射天天干天天插| 伊人热热久久原色播放www| www.亚洲色图| 狠狠色综合网站久久久久久久高清| 婷婷五月综合激情| 人妻精品久久久久中文字幕一冢本 | 国产视频你懂得| 日韩免费高清一级毛片在线| 国产成人av一区二区三区在线 | 本道久久综合无码中文字幕| 国产欧美日韩另类精彩视频| 久青草国产97香蕉在线视频| 高清成人爽a毛片免费网站| 日本三级香港三级人妇99| 国产一级毛片在线| 三级极精品电影| 男女一对一免费视频| 在线中文字幕有码中文| 亚洲成熟人网站| 国产激情视频在线观看首页| 日本少妇高潮喷水xxxxxxx| 国产91热爆ts人妖在线| 一级一片一a一片| 波多野结衣作品大全| 国产精品大片天天看片| 久久综合色视频| 色噜噜噜噜亚洲第一| 好吊日在线观看| 亚洲最大色视频| 麻豆果冻国产91在线极品| 成在人线AV无码免费| 人人爽人人爽人人爽|