Many Property Prices In The Country Are Getting Warmer And The Prices Are Not Loose &Nbsp; The Regulatory Effect Is Not Yet Apparent.
In the medium to long term, regulation can not always stand on the opposite side of the market, and we must focus on the long term and fundamentally solve the problem.
The property market in May seems to have entered a time window, with new progress in the market and regulation. Shenzhen reappears housing source is hot grab, part of the place Property market Trading volume and average price also showed signs of recovery. Many people worry that unprecedented stringent regulation can not curb the real estate market continues to "crazy."
However, many experts told reporters that the current real estate market did not appear irrational rebound or warmer, do not need to further introduce more stringent. Regulation Measures.
Is panic buying a case or a sign?
The holiday property market, which is seen as a barometer of the property market, is being held at the 2011 spring exhibition of real estate in Shanghai. Although there are more exhibitors and visitors in the "Shanghai spring" exhibitions in March, the housing price that people care most about is still no surprise.
2, Cade landed a field sales staff told our reporter that since the opening of its property prices have been relatively stable, at present there will be no adjustment. Reporters at the entire housing exhibition site asked a number of project sales personnel, the other side said, there is no discount or promotional activities.
According to statistics from Soufangwang data monitoring center, only 20% of the visitors expressed a definite intention to purchase the house. 45% of respondents said they had no intention of buying a house, and another 35% said they would decide according to the situation. SouFun analysts believe that high prices are still deterred by most people, as prices are not showing signs of real decline.
Just as most people are still waiting and waiting, in April 30th, "in Shenzhen," Rush to buy "Many people have begun to worry about whether the market has been warming up and whether prices are difficult to adjust.
At 10 a.m. on April 30th, China real estate launched a total of 1349 sets of "limited price housing", attracting nearly 5000 people to the housing selection. As of 2 p.m., all the houses were sold out.
In Guangzhou, more than 300 villas in the spring garden of the country garden were purchased by thousands of people during the May 1 period. They were called to buy villas such as cabbage. It is obvious that the property market is booming.
But Chen Sheng, vice president of the China Index Research Institute, told reporters that this is only a case because house prices are down, so buyers are more enthusiastic. It is reported that the sale price of Zhonghai real estate starts at 9680 yuan / square meter, and the average price of all houses is around 11000 yuan / square meter.
Does the volume rebound pick up?
However, the overall housing price in Shenzhen has not declined. On the 1 day, the Shenzhen municipal planning and Land Commission released data that in April, the new commercial housing in Shenzhen decreased by nearly 30%, although the area and number of transactions were reduced by nearly 30%. However, the average transaction price was 4.4% higher than that in March, and it was 20295 yuan / square meter again.
Nanjing's April commercial housing transaction data also showed that although sales fell sharply compared with last year, the volume of daily turnover in late April increased gradually.
In fact, many cities in the country have shown signs of a warmer turnover.
The CREIS index data of SouFun net showed that the number of residential transactions and transaction areas in Beijing, Tianjin, Shenzhen, Shanghai, Chongqing and Chengdu all rose during the period from April 18th to April 24th. Among them, the number of transactions in Beijing residential week rose 59.6%, and the residential area in Chongqing rose by 37.8%.
Chen Sheng told reporters that the rise of volume in some cities is not a rebound or rebound, and it should be a normal recovery compared with the downturn in January. "Every city has a reasonable volume, like Shanghai may be 500 sets, and Beijing Guangzhou is 400 and 300 sets." Chen Sheng said.
Yang Shaofeng, managing director of Beijing Sifang alliance agency, also told our reporter that April was the period when the property market was concentrated. Therefore, there will be a marked increase in volume. This is reasonable. "I don't think the real estate market has rebounded." Yang Shaofeng said.
Does regulation need to be stricter?
Although the decline in volume reflects the effectiveness of this "most stringent" market regulation policy, the core issue of regulation, housing prices, has not yet declined significantly.
Now, will the rise in volume in some regions bring about price increases?
Chen Sheng said that housing prices will not rise with volume recovery, "governments around the country will take various means to do well in regulation and control."
The director of Beijing Research Institute of Housing Research Association, Jian Jian Qiang, told reporters that although short-term regulation measures have the advantages of quick results, they may not be conducive to the long-term and stable development of real estate. In the medium to long term, regulation can not always stand on the opposite side of the market. To fundamentally solve the problem, one is to solve the problem of land finance; the two is to promote the property tax policy decisively to the deep water area, to achieve a game of stock housing and incremental housing, and to collect taxes as a whole; three, to ensure that the housing construction should be started practically, and the supply will be effectively formed, so as to alleviate the pressure of market demand.
On May 1st, Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council visited the construction workers in Beijing's affordable housing construction site, saying that the central government's determination to keep the real estate prices basically stable and promote the healthy development of the real estate industry is unwavering.
"People's Daily" also issued a document recently, because inflation expectations are still strong, hot money continues to enter the country, housing rigid demand is still strong, housing prices still have a strong upward impulse. At this time, if blindly optimistic or even relaxed real estate regulation, it is hard to avoid housing prices rising again, and the limited control effect will be wasted.
From May 1st onwards, the sale of commercial housing marked price, a set of price measures began to implement. It is reported that the national development and Reform Commission and the price authorities will conduct extensive inspections nationwide. The NDRC has even said that it is studying the implementation of anti profits regulations in the field of commodity housing so as to keep house prices at a reasonable level, including reasonable costs, reasonable profits and reasonable prices.
Yang Shaofeng said that the current regulation has been very strict, and there is no need to continue to introduce new policies. The main task should be laid on how policies fall to the ground.
He believes that once the policy is in place, the effect of regulation will be very obvious. "I believe that in the three quarter of this year, the real estate market will make a clear response to this round of regulation and control."
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