The Domestic Cotton Market Will Be A Policy Oriented Market.
The new cotton year has begun, cotton and cotton spinning in the new cotton year.
Operation situation
How to develop the national cotton regulation and control policy in the new year and how to operate it under the comprehensive environment will be the most important issue before the cotton related units.
For the relevant government departments, how to ensure the smooth operation of the new cotton year and prevent the ups and downs of the market from affecting the industry economy should be the main content of the regulation.
There are many problems, such as preventing the sharp fluctuation of cotton prices, preventing the fluctuation of cotton planting area in the coming year, and preventing fluctuations in the domestic and export markets of textiles.
Market regulation
The main objectives.
For enterprises, under the background of macro regulation and control of the government, how to take the initiative to make a difference in the cotton market and create better returns, the purchase of target raw materials, the coordination of product terminal markets, the reasonable liquidity structure and the precaution of fund safety should be an important concern for cotton enterprises.
In the new cotton year, under the game of various market players, the cotton market is surging or surging, but it will never fail.
Undercurrent
Surging.
First, on the whole, combined with the relevant policies, the new cotton market will be a policy oriented market.
Since the marketization of China's cotton market, the shadow of policy led market is still everywhere, but it is more obvious at a special moment. The sharp fluctuation of cotton market in the past year seems to reflect the market economy, but from a certain perspective, it is also a manifestation of policy regulation and control can not be filled in time.
The ups and downs of the cotton market are very harmful to the healthy development of the industry, which puts forward higher requirements for the relevant departments and markets.
The relevant government departments, intermediary organizations and enterprises should reflect in time. Not only should there be more plans, but also the policies should be more pparent and predictable.
Foresight
。
Two. The restoration of the supply and demand structure of the new cotton market and the adjustment of the market order will form a resultant force for the operation of the Chinese market.
The substantial increase of global cotton supply and the comparative advantage of the textile processing market, such as India and Pakistan, will make the operation environment of China's textile industry more complicated.
China's textile industry
industry chain
The advantages will be seriously challenged.
The buyer's market position in the cotton market will determine the price of imported cotton will be lower than domestic prices for a long time.
There are two aspects: first, the global cotton market price caused by the average cost of cotton planting in the world and the subsidy policy of large product countries is extremely unfavorable to China's cotton production. Domestic cotton prices can not be substantially improved. This year's standard cotton grade to 19800 yuan per ton of storage and storage has greatly increased the cotton planting area in the international market. Two, China's textile production share accounts for a larger proportion of the global market, and China is also the largest cotton producing country and importing country.
The advantage of China's textile processing industry chain is prominent under the premise that the price difference between domestic and international raw materials is not large, but if the price difference of raw materials is too large, combined with the current import and export policy, the textile enterprises will be in a predicament.
At the same time, the countries with peripheral comparative advantages will seize the domestic gauze Market.
That is to say, the comparative advantage will lead to a large number of imported gauze in China, and the trend of RMB appreciation will also play a catalytic role.
The pressure on the front market of China's textile industry is increasing.
Three. The sudden impact of the global economic environment on the domestic market can not be ignored.
The external dependence of textile market is gradually decreasing, but the proportion is still large.
The critical moment may also play a leverage role in accelerating market volatility.
The financial tsunami triggered by the "subprime mortgage crisis" in 2008 finally caused a deep impact on the real economy.
China's financial stimulus policy has also left many hidden dangers to the domestic economic development.
The global economic environment is still fragile.
The market turbulence caused by the credit rating downgrading of the US sovereign debt in the long past shows that the international market is very fragile and the balance of the international economic order is being rebuilt.
The textile and textile markets are sensitive to these changes.
For domestic, unexpected events trigger the fluctuation of trade prices of commodities. The longer-term market restoration will cause market demand to decrease and affect the prices of industrial products. The export market caused by unexpected events is unstable, which is extremely unfavorable for the production and operation of enterprises.
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