Export Is Severe, And Foreign Trade Policy Should Be Stable.
In 2012, the world economic situation is more severe and complex. Global economic growth and world trade will continue to decelerate and domestic comprehensive costs will rise. These will have a great impact on the development of our foreign oriented economy.
One is developed.
Economics
Deep down in debt, the world's economic downside risks are increasing.
The International Monetary Fund (micro-blog), the world bank and the United Nations (micro-blog) three major international agencies have recently lowered their expectations for world economic growth in 2012, to 3.3%, 2.5% and 2.6% respectively, and the growth rate of world trade is expected to slow to 4.7%.
The two is international.
demand
Enterprises are weak in hand orders.
Affected by the economic downturn in Europe and the United States, the external demand continues to slump, our foreign trade enterprises from 2011 to the first half of the year did not dare to pick up, turning to the fourth quarter after the lack of orders.
Three, the cost of production factors will continue to rise, and the export power of enterprises will gradually be insufficient.
From the trend of recent years, China's labor costs, energy prices, raw material prices, financing, logistics costs and RMB exchange rate will continue to rise, and the comprehensive operating costs of foreign trade enterprises will continue to rise, resulting in the reduction of corporate profits, and export enterprises are generally in a state of small profits or losses. Especially small and micro foreign trade enterprises, bargaining power is very limited, and production and operation is more difficult.
Four, the rise of protectionism in international trade has led to an increase in trade frictions.
To alleviate the persistent high unemployment rate and solve the problem of macroeconomic imbalance, the world's major economies are trying to revive the manufacturing industry, which has led to the widespread prevalence of trade protectionism around the world since the international financial crisis. Trade frictions have extended from labor intensive areas to technology and capital intensive areas, from developed countries to emerging market countries.
The increasingly serious trade barrier against "made in China" makes China the biggest victim and the first target country, which seriously weakens the competitive advantage of China's export enterprises and neighboring countries.
Therefore, China should appropriately maintain and stabilize the foreign trade and economic cooperation.
policy
。
Specifically, in the following four aspects:
First, maintain the relative stability of the RMB exchange rate.
Since the people's Bank of China announced further reform in June 19, 2010, the yuan appreciated by 8% against the US dollar at the end of 2011.
In 2012, foreign trade exports are still facing complex and changeable economic environment at home and abroad. In order to avoid large fluctuations in foreign trade exports, it is suggested that the floating rate of RMB exchange rate should not be too large, within 3% of the year, and slow appreciation, so that exporters can have time to digest the impact of exchange rate.
The two is to maintain the stability of the export tax rebate policy.
It is suggested that the state should maintain a stable export tax rebate policy, try not to substantially reduce or partially cancel the export tax rebate rate of export commodities, and fine tune only a small amount of high energy consumption, high pollution and resource products.
If we want to adjust the tax rebate rate of some commodities, the rate of reduction should not be too large, and within 1 percentage points in the year.
The proportion of export commodities involved in lowering or partially abolishing the export tax rebate rate is generally below 3%.
The three is to maintain the stability of the policy of processing trade.
The sustained and healthy development of processing trade has played an important role in stimulating the rapid development of the national economy, promoting the continuous optimization of the structure of industries and enterprises, promoting the continuous progress of science and technology, and supporting the development of supporting industries.
Once the major adjustment of the processing trade policy has been made, it is superimposed with all kinds of unfavorable factors, and the enterprises will not be able to bear in the short term, which will not only affect the smooth development of the processing trade, but also be unfavorable to the solid progress of the pformation and upgrading of the processing trade.
The four is to maintain the stability of export credit insurance policy.
Export credit insurance is conducive to preventing and controlling international trade risks and expanding exports. It is beneficial for the government to flexibly implement foreign trade and industrial policies, improve export trade structure and promote market diversification strategy.
Financing under credit insurance provides a good financing platform for export enterprises, widens the financing channels and promotes the virtuous circle of enterprises.
To maintain the stability of export credit insurance policy and expand the support for enterprises to use export credit insurance to implement "going global" on this basis, it will help enterprises to cope with the current difficulties and challenges.
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