Refined Oil Price Adjustment Entered A Sensitive Period Of &Nbsp; Middlemen Hoarding Goods "Gamble Up Price".
Refined oil price adjustment enters sensitive period, middleman hoarding goods "gambling price rises".
According to the latest domestic
product oil
The price adjustment was more than a month ago, and the international oil price's surge led to the re opening of the domestic oil price adjustment theory window.
Market research institutions generally calculated that the timing of domestic oil price adjustment was officially opened in March 8th, taking into account the time interval.
With the high international oil prices, the current three places crude oil price change rate has far exceeded 4% of the price adjustment reference red line, and even has reached more than 10%.
As of March 15th, the three crude oil price change rate of the energy monitoring system was 10.88%, and the East oil and gas network monitoring data also reached 10.507%.
In the current market, the price adjustment of refined oil is expected to be strong.
The reason for hoarding oil is because traders are betting on rising prices. They buy oil at a low price and expect to sell at high prices after the latter domestic oil price rises.
Shen Tao, JOYOU's information products oil analyst, told reporters that traders in the market are expecting stronger price adjustment. Since February 20th, the market has started to replenish stocks. By the beginning of March, traders had basically finished stockpiling.
In the recent 2012 China Petroleum (601857) market situation and the North South supply and demand conference, refineries and traders from all over the country paid great attention to the price adjustment.
A North China gas station chain operator told reporters that the recent domestic refined oil price adjustment is more likely, most participants in the market have already purchased oil products in advance.
At present, the company's 50 thousand cubic meter oil depot is in a high storage state.
Affected by market sentiment, although the price adjustment has not yet started, the wholesale price of diesel has risen by more than 70 yuan / ton in a month.
Owners fear rising, refineries look forward to rising price adjustment dilemma
In February 8th this year, China first welcomed the first increase in refined oil prices during the year, and the maximum retail price of gasoline and diesel rose by 300 yuan / ton respectively.
After the price rise, China's gasoline and diesel prices returned to the highest historical prices.
If the recent domestic oil price rise again, this means that domestic gasoline and diesel prices will once again refresh the highest record.
After the price adjustment in February 8th, the retail price of Shanghai No. 93 gasoline reached 7.79 yuan / liter, the retail price of Beijing 93 gasoline reached 7.85 yuan / liter, and the retail price of Guangzhou 93 gasoline reached 7.89 yuan / liter.
If the price of refined oil is raised again in the near future, the price of gasoline will go into the "8 Yuan era".
oil price
Getting higher and higher is causing distress to owners, especially taxi groups running along the road all day.
Shanghai taxi master Mei master has been driving a taxi for 6 years.
Master Mei told reporters that the cost of petrol for taxi drivers was more than 300 yuan per day, almost two times that of five years ago.
"In the past, when it was good, it could earn five thousand or six thousand yuan a month, and now it costs a lot of money to pay three thousand or four thousand yuan."
Contrary to consumers, oil companies calling for oil refining losses have long looked forward to the price adjustment.
Not only PetroChina Sinopec's two largest group has complained about oil refining losses, but also a private refinery in Dongying, Shandong.
A private oil company official in Shaanxi told reporters that the rise in international crude oil prices pushed up the cost of refining. Taking into account the increase in crude oil during this period, the price adjustment should reach 400-500 yuan / ton to return the refinery.
Experts believe that the new pricing mechanism still needs to be determined to launch.
The rising price of domestic refined oil is caused by international oil prices.
In the case of higher international oil prices, the price adjustment of domestic refined oil is becoming more and more difficult.
Lin Boqiang, director of the energy economics research center of Xiamen University, believes that when the domestic oil price is adjusted, we should do a good job of supporting subsidies for special groups.
If the international oil price reaches 130 US dollars / barrel, domestic oil prices will no longer be raised according to the existing oil pricing mechanism.
In this special period, the state can adopt a tax reduction way and appropriately reduce the consumption tax, so as to lighten the burden of the refinery and encourage its normal production.
This is also a common practice abroad.
Dong Xiucheng, vice president of the school of business administration, China University of Petroleum, said that since this year, international oil prices have been at a high level, and the reform of the oil pricing mechanism is facing a dilemma: on the one hand, once the new oil pricing mechanism, which can reflect the changes in the international market, will become more frequent when the price adjustment mechanism is launched. Therefore, the government's consideration of stabilizing prices has not been launched yet. On the other hand, if the new mechanism is not introduced, the refined oil price adjustment is lagging behind, and every time there is no adjustment in place, the loss of oil companies is aggravated, and the loss of production enthusiasm is intensified, resulting in a shortage of production, resulting in a shortage of supply, and there will still be "oil shortage".
On the whole, Dong Xiucheng thinks the new
pricing mechanism
We still need to decide to launch.
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