Positive Finance Should Be Coordinated With Inflation Control.
International commodity prices have remained high in recent years, and domestic oil prices have also risen sharply.
According to the Ministry of agriculture data, the wholesale price of farm products has gone up since March.
Inside and outside the double disturbance, the industry began to bullish inflation expectations. For this reason, experts believe that the active fiscal policy should be coordinated with inflation control.
Positive finance or price trend
"Active fiscal policy, from its own point of view, needs investment and increased currency issuance.
However, the issue of money is based on actual needs, and does not directly constitute the cause of inflation. Nor can it be denied that it will objectively boost prices.
This year, as a key year in 12th Five-Year, it is necessary to invest in development.
He Daixin, an Associate Research Fellow of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences Financial Strategy Research Institute, said.
"
Fiscal expansion
In order to raise money with the issuing currency, it is inevitable to issue bonds.
There will always be problems in the future. The expansion will depend on the issue of currency, or else what will happen to the deficit? This is a pressure on inflation.
Fu Zhiyu, a professor of Finance and taxation at Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, said.
Deutsche Bank's analysis of China's macroeconomic report in March also pointed out that CPI inflation may be higher than previously expected.
According to the National Bureau of statistics, PPI rose by 0.1% in February, and the increase in PPI annulus rate has been increasing since October last year. The rise in oil and commodity prices is an important reason.
However, Chen Shaoqiang, deputy director of the State Economics Research Institute of the Finance Research Institute of the Ministry of finance, believes that the pmission factors that affect prices may come from the international market and real estate and other asset markets.
Controlling investment and weakening inflationary pressure
"We must guard against irrational investment, and cautiously treat new projects and related industries.
The central government needs to set a total limit to prevent vicious inflation and consider the overall layout of the economy.
Investment, as a means to stimulate economic growth, needs to be used prudently. "
He Daixin said.
Fu Zhiyu believed that if the policy was to be stable, the deficit should not be too large, otherwise it would be wrong.
Rising prices
It is inevitable to add fuel to the flames.
"This year, positive finance is not purely investment driven, and the degree of investment will also be tighten up, and more investment in people's livelihood will increase the income of middle and low income persons. In addition, structural tax cuts will be made. When the state formulating policies, there will be a trade-off between finance and prices. Combined with the steady progress of policies, the impact on prices will not be great.
The investment field this year is not fully promoted, but is carefully chosen. "
Chen Shaoqiang said.
In the middle of March, the National People's Congress approved the report on the implementation of the central and local budgets in 2011 and the draft central and local budgets for 2012. This year, the central budget has allocated 13848 billion yuan to the people's livelihood in terms of education, medical and health, social security, employment, affordable housing, culture and so on, an increase of 19.8% over the previous year.
In terms of Finance and taxation, we should optimize the structure of pfer payment and increase the intensity of general pfer payment.
The general pfer payment increased by 23.15%, while the special pfer payment increased by only 5.2%, much lower than the growth rate of 17.1% in 2011.
"As a means to stimulate economic growth,
Tax reduction
The effect may be more robust in the long run.
Through tax cuts, the implementation of inclusive policies for small and medium-sized enterprises can increase the real disposable income of residents, stimulate domestic demand, revitalize the economy, and help control the scale of investment.
He emphasized.
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