In The First Half Of The Year, The Import And Export Value Of Shoes Increased By 8%.

Customs statistics show that in the first half of this year, China's foreign trade imports and exports amounted to US $1 trillion and 839 billion 840 million, an increase of 8% over the same period last year.

Of which, exports amounted to 954 billion 380 million US dollars, an increase of 9.2%; imports of US $885 billion 460 million, an increase of 6.7%; trade surplus of US $68 billion 920 million, and expansion of 56.4%.

Many experts in the economic circles say that although China's foreign trade development is facing many uncertain factors, the signs of warmer recovery in the second half of the year are already obvious. The expected target of 10% growth in foreign trade is expected to come true.

However, after interviews with some foreign trade enterprises, reporters found that, compared with the past, their export business this year has not been warmer, but is even colder.

Because of the serious weakening of external demand and the rising cost of business, many enterprises have deteriorated and some have been on the brink of bankruptcy.

Yang Liqiang, director of the China Foreign Economic and Trade Research Institute of University of International Business and Economics, said in an interview with reporters that the official's "warming up" should be considered in the context of the global economy becoming "cold", and it needs further observation. At present, it is not enough to affect the trend of "slowing down and stabilizing" in the second half of the year.

Sharp reduction in orders

Small foreign trade enterprises hang on the line.

"Last year, I didn't feel anything. When the Chinese new year passed, the export business suddenly failed, and the order was gone." in July 13th, Jiang Lei, a foreign trader in Wenzhou, Zhejiang, was still in a state of anxiety when interviewed by reporters. "The purchasing power of foreign customers has dropped a lot, and the products have not been sold."

Jiang Lei's company mainly produces razors, and its products are mainly exported to Africa and the Middle East. Because of the high quality and low price, the company has been making orders, and its business is running smoothly.

But in the Spring Festival of 2012, the orders received by Jiang Lei were much less. "So far, orders are not as good as the 2/3 in the first half of last year, so the factory has been idle all of a sudden."

Jiang Lei said that in order to reduce the pressure of the enterprise, he had to cut down his staff. "Business is not enough. I must not let the workers lie with me."

In Jiang Lei's view, the first half of 2012 was the most "cold" period of his export business.

And Chiang Lei has the same feeling, Shandong Weihai Hai Fei according to clothing company trade department manager Cai Huijian also obviously feel the cold.

"The export is getting worse and worse, and the enterprises are almost unable to support it."

In an interview with reporters, Cai Huijian said that in recent years, the export profits of enterprises have been low, and the company has been struggling for a long time. But this year's problem is not only a question of profit, but an order.

Hai Fei Yi Clothing Co., Ltd. is located in the Weihai economic development zone. The garments produced mainly exported to Europe, America, Japan, Korea and other places. At the beginning of this year, the order of the company began to decrease significantly.

"The company's orders are 40% less than the same period last year."

Cai Huijian said, "it's too hard to rush an order now."

Even if the order is grabbed, it does not mean making money.

"The foreign economic situation is not good, clothing is not good to sell, foreign distributors will be sold at a discount, and they can only push the prices of their products down."

Cai Huijian said, "an order must go through the following aspects: store, dealer, clothing design, clothing trade, and finally the processing plant. Every link must deduct some profits, peel layers of layers, and where are the profits from the factory?"

"Many factories are not making money. Everyone is thinking about changing careers. They can't get stuck on this road."

Cai Huijian said.

The proportion of processing trade exports exceeds 1/3, and the recovery of manufacturing industry is difficult.

Although many foreign trade enterprises are struggling to survive, the reason for this year's export data is "warming up". The chairman of the China Leather Industry Association shoe office, who told reporters that the adjustment of China's foreign trade export structure and general foreign trade increased.

"The government has implemented the filing system for export and no longer approved the system, so the number of enterprises producing direct exports has increased.

Some products export better, this part of the data will naturally pull up the overall import and export data.

Wei Yafei said, "but the overall economic situation is not good, and the manufacturing industry is still very difficult."

Wei Yafei's view is quite consistent with Wu Xiaobo, executive vice president of the school of management, Zhejiang University. "The global economy will linger in the doldrums for quite some time.

This is a real test for China's export oriented manufacturing industry.

The decrease in external demand has led directly to the decline in investment desire of export oriented manufacturing enterprises, which will aggravate the downward trend of manufacturing industry.

The situation is not optimistic. "

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Although the export volume of processing trade has been reduced, the share of processing trade still occupies more than 1/3 share.

Under the severe downward pressure of the global economy, the impact of processing trade is the first to bear the brunt.

Yang Liqiang pointed out that under the current situation of shrinking external demand, the survival pressure of processing trade enterprises is bigger than other enterprises, and the problems they face are also more challenging. We can say that compared with the factors such as RMB appreciation, raw material price fluctuation and wage level rising, the shrinking of external demand and the reduction of orders will have a greater and more fatal impact on the processing trade enterprises.

Wei Yafei believes that the decline in foreign trade exports is also related to the traditional characteristics of China's manufacturing labor-intensive industries.

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For example, the shortage of labor resources and the rising cost bring great pressure to enterprises.

"In the past, when some exports were good, some enterprises could get 3% of their profits. Now they can't get to that number."

Wei Yafei said, "a lot of manufacturing industry is labor force, labor costs rise, enterprises have no price advantage."

In recent years, the government has promulgated relevant policies to promote the pformation and upgrading of processing trade enterprises and enhance their competitiveness.

But Wei Yafei thinks this is not easy.

"This is a continuous institutional pformation, including the comprehensive upgrading of all aspects of technology, design, factory management and customer censoring and so on, which requires a pitional period of time. This is not an overnight move."

Experts: raise the amount of tax rebate and establish a credit system

Wei Yafei believes that in order to deal with this situation, the government should give more support in policy.

For example, giving more preferential tax rebates for manufacturing exports.

It is reported that the current tax rebate rate for garment industry is 16%, which is the only hope for foreign trade enterprises to make money. However, some foreign dealers are very aware of this policy, and enterprises must give up part of this profit to them.

If the amount of tax rebates is raised, it will also alleviate the difficult situation of enterprises.

In addition, because China's manufacturing SMEs occupy a considerable proportion, the state has always attached great importance to the financing of SMEs.

However, due to the relatively large operating risks of small businesses, the uncertainty of the global economy and the downward trend of China's macro-economy, banks are reluctant to lend to small businesses because of their worries about bad debts. This is even more difficult for small businesses to survive.

Wei Yafei suggested that the government should increase financial support for small businesses and establish a good faith system.

"Without a good faith system, there can be no good financial environment. If small businesses fail to get loans, they will not be able to upgrade and export products will not be competitive."

Wei Yafei said that to achieve this, financial reform alone is not acceptable.