The "Leather Shoes Cycle" That Can Not Be Ignored, The Trouble Of China'S Low-End Manufacturing Industry.

A few days ago, Adidas admitted that it would close its only processing plant in China and could pfer the factory to a certain country in Southeast Asia.

The news came out with different opinions.

Some people blame some foreign-funded enterprises for being "unfamiliar with the white eye wolf".

Some people sigh that, with the withdrawal of capital from some foreign-funded enterprises, I do not know how many Chinese workers will lose their jobs.

Others worry that if Adidas becomes an "effect" and causes chain reaction, does it mean that China's manufacturing industry is in big trouble?

For Adidas.

Enterprises do not have to shut down factories and need not be blamed.

Multinational enterprises want the maximum and excess profits. The wages of Chinese workers have gradually increased, and the cost of labor has increased. Of course, people must start a new business and get rich in places like Vietnam and Burma.

Moreover, in terms of sportswear, China's Lining, Anta and other brands come from behind to challenge the international brand. Adidas is away from other countries to avoid its edge.

In clothing, shoemaking and other textile industries, not only foreign capital will be pferred, but also China's own enterprises will gradually go out.

This is a rule involving the so-called "leather shoes cycle".

It is said that in the 30-40 century of twentieth Century, the world's leading leather shoe manufacturers were concentrated in the UK.

By the 40-50 century, the production of leather shoes in Italy, Spain and other European countries began to replace Britain.

In the 60-70 era, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Korea and other countries and regions in Asia became the new leader in shoemaking industry.

From then on, from the 80s of last century, China has gradually stepped onto the stage of the global footwear industry, and has been unable to get rid of it.

After entering this century, it has been analyzed that in accordance with the cycle of 10 to 20 years, China's shoe-making industry should be pferred to Southeast Asia or Africa.

But people did not think that, with tens of thousands of Chinese bosses, with the hard work of millions of workers in China, China's footwear industry remains the first record of the world's output and exports, and the industrial advantage is not shaken, and the "leather shoe cycle" has lost its spirit.

However, in the low-end manufacturing industry, the advantages of maintaining capacity are not worth boasting.

If such advantages are at the expense of larger resource consumption, environmental pollution and high intensity and low paid labor, it is also necessary to adjust the structure as soon as possible and upgrade products and industries.

In this sense, in the world, "leather shoes cycle" can form a rule, and has its own reason.

The cycle does not work here. It may be that our growth pattern is indeed a problem.

So, should we say that the current low end manufacturing industry should be stopped or pferred? Of course, it can not be so simple.

First of all, low end, especially labor-intensive manufacturing enterprises, can absorb large amounts of labor.

It is still necessary to maintain a part of the low end manufacturing industry under the condition of great employment pressure and low average labor quality in China.

Second, the world market still has strong demand for Chinese manufacturing.

Under the same low wage conditions, the Chinese may be the most competent.

The owners of Microsoft and apple are well aware of this. The boss of Adidas will have some experience later.

In addition, in any low-end industry, there will be high-end products.

The same is jeans, Beijing "dynamic batch" may only sell 20 yuan a, China World Trade Center may sell 2000 yuan.

The key is whether our enterprises can produce their own brands and design the best ones.

In the long run, the future of China's manufacturing industry lies in the high end.

In value terms, only one hundred million shirts can be exchanged for a large aircraft. Of course, we have to make profitable business and not always lose money.

From the requirements of the national security strategy, we can only grasp our own destiny in the field of the "jungle rule", only if we can master independent technology in aerospace, aviation, shipbuilding, electronics, medicine, biotechnology, precision machining, and new materials, and strive for a comprehensive lead.

From the point of view of social progress and national mentality, it is not very hard to earn small money for the whole world as a wage earner.

On the contrary, if foreigners are driving cars made in China, using Chinese made phones and computers, Chinese people will wear imported leather shoes and T-shirts.