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    How China'S Fur Industry Looks For Highlights In 2008

    2008/5/5 0:00:00 10503

    Fur Industry

    China's fur industry has been affected by a series of export policies in the past 07 years. Many problems that the industry has accumulated in the past is concentrated in 2007. The price of raw leather is dropping, the enterprises are miserable, complaints, impetuosity, anxiety and so on are full of emotions in people's lives. We can not help but pay attention to the survival status and prospects of China's fur industry in 2008.

    One / rabbit skin was touted by the market, and the price of 2007 mink skin plummeted in the world. The rex rabbit skin also showed a decadent scene.

    I saw in the shopping mall that this year's Rex rabbit skin clothing is much cheaper than in 2006, but no matter how hard the Rex industry is, it can not conceal the essence of low-grade leather. Most Rex rabbit skin clothing can not show its proper color. Therefore, using natural Rex rabbit skin is more attractive to consumers than the current dyeing.

    Unlike the rex rabbit skin, the popularity of fur wild style in the past two years has brought huge market to rabbit meat belt.

    A piece of leather from Zaoqiang County of Hebei province sent me an email saying, "I bought some rabbit skin this year and processed it into a mattress. Because my village is a rabbit fur professional village, I bought some rabbit fur.

    This year, the price of hare mattress looks good. The price of mattress will increase this year to stimulate many merchants to add into this industry, and buy a lot of leather this year.

    I think this kind of leather is not easy to dry. The source of raw leather is not easy to find, and the mattress is not well processed. Especially the market is very vague.

    So I feel very blind.

    (the contents are very long and abridged) the author replied to him: "the so-called rabbit skin is Belgian rabbit skin, which is a variety of rabbit, and its fur and hare skin are very similar.

    The amount of rabbit fur with rabbit fur is increasing this year, which is the main driving force for price rise. The use of rabbit skin is increasing. The prospect is good.

    I made some suggestions to him.

    First, look at the Zhangjiakou area of Hebei Province, because Zhangjiakou has a rabbit named "Bei Bei rabbit", which has a rabbit fur color.

    There is also his contact with the newspaper industry in Shandong, because Shandong is a large province of rabbit exporting in China, which accurately controls the source of information.

    To the public, the popularity of clothing is not a blow of the winter wind. Therefore, the amount of rabbit fur in China in the past 08 years will be a good market.

    Two. The raccoon skin is sad and sad. A netizen explained in the column of "market talk" of the fur coat forum of China. "2007 is a year that keeps raccoon dogs unforgettable, because the market has given a deep risk education lesson to farmers.

    No one thought that the price of the raccoon skin in 2007 would be so low that the new breed of raccoon farmers last year suffered heavy losses.

    What causes it?

    Driven by profiteering, the price of raccoon skin has increased in recent years, so that raccoon dogs have gained considerable profits.

    So people flocked to raise raccoon dogs, causing the situation of supply and demand, and plunging prices.

    Gold and diamonds are precious and scarce. If these two things are as large as steel, they are not so valuable now.

    Don't believe in the news of warm winter and export reduction. What matters is the number of products.

    OPEC, the Middle East oil producing country, does China have fur beating peke? Can market prices lower and unite to reduce the output of raccoon skins?

    Impossible, this determines that farmers must suffer from the baptism of the market.

    Long dead, not short!

    Many middlemen saw that the price of raccoon skin was very low this year, and they began to hoard their skins. Most farmers also did not sell because of low prices.

    They all hold the mentality of the raccoon skin price will rise. In fact, they didn't think about it. Didn't they produce the raccoon skin in 2008?

    No breed of raccoon dog is a minority. Most farmers still keep seeds, but only a few species are left behind last year. By 2008, the output of raccoon skin will be very high.

    Because the price of the raccoon skin is low, all kinds of skins will not be introduced without introduction. In 2006, a lot of leather traders were put up. The pressure was basically suppressed, and the current price could not be sold.

    Once the price rebounded, the market will be thrown down, so the price will not soon go well.

    The price of the market needs to shake at the bottom. Only when the funds are eliminated, the middlemen who sell their skins lose money and sell, and they dare not hoard their skins. Most of the farmers do not raise them. When the farmers are desperate for the market, the market of the raccoon dog can turn for the better.

    I am not optimistic about the price of the raccoon skin in 2008.

    This netizen represents a lot of people's pessimistic views, and many others have begun to use "urgent" mood to "force" the author to declare whether they can raise money in the next 08 years.

    Perhaps only when the writer says, "will rise", can this group of people panic to calm down?

    In fact, this netizen has overlooked one point, that is, we use much more than in 2006.

    According to the author's investigation in Shandong Peninsula, the amount of raccoon skin increased by two times over the past 07 years.

    Of course, this data is not very accurate, because the material used in Chinese fur coat is not a pparent account.

    For many breeders, the author's voice is: "we can go to see, the popularity of the street wide fur collar raccoon skin consumption is very large, and this year's women's clothing raccoon fur collar also went to the market, it is really a kind of" raccoon skin cheap, willing to use "feeling.

    So the price will rise in 08 years, breaking through 200 yuan is not a problem.

    In addition, it is important to point out that if farmers want high prices, they will have to cut production and challenge the processing enterprises.

    So next year, we will try not to increase production of raccoon skin.

    To maintain the current total is to make money.

    A netizen sent me an email saying, "Hello, teacher!"

    There is a spontaneous fur trading market in our village. Every year, there are local fur traders coming to our village to buy raccoon skin.

    Affected by the low price this year, the number of leather traders in the early stage is very large, and the number of acquisitions is also large, and the price is between 120-140 yuan.

    This year, I also kept a lot of raccoon skins myself, looking forward to the price rise.

    However, judging from past experience, there will be a slight decline in prices in 7 and August next year as a result of too much skin tension this year.

    I don't know if my analysis is correct.

    What should I do with the raccoon skin in my hands?

    I would like to ask you.

    For this mail, the author replied very succinctly: "if the price performance is good in the early 08 years, the future raccoon skin will really rot."

    Three. The benefits of fox fur are intertwined. In November 12th, the National Bureau of Statistics website published the October PPI price of industrial products. Data show that in October, the factory prices of manufactured goods rose by 3.2% over the same period last year, and the purchasing price of raw materials, fuels and power increased by 4.5%.

    Among them, food prices rose 8.6%, a record high food prices during the year, according to Xinmin network, the factory price of living goods rose 3.5% over the same period.

    Among them, food prices rose 8.6%, clothing category rose 1.3%, general daily use category rose 1.9%, durable consumer goods fell 0.7%.

    In the 07 years, the deepest sense of the grassroots of Chinese civilians may be the price problem.

    When people choose to choose a suitable way of existence, the value of the raccoon skin market is also displayed, so that the blue fox fur has a chance to show from another angle.

    Of course, the loss of blue fox fur also has much to do with it.

    Now many people are hoarding Blue Fox Skins, and I also said that the drive of leather traders is not the only thing. The intervention of processing enterprises on raw leather hoarding will kill the profits of leather merchants, thus driving the market to warm up, and the result is a slow rising trend.

    The situation of snow fox is much better.

    This is not just a matter of output, but last year, the price of gold island fur was very small, and it did not drop much.

    The establishment of new species and new prices is the pride capital of snow fox. At this point, both the silver fox skin and the red fox skin should be intertwined with the snow fox skin.

    A leather dealer from the Linyi Tang tou fur market in Shandong sent an email to the author, describing the view of the fur market: "fox fur price has been declining for several years, the number of livestock has decreased and the price has risen. However, many people have expected that the price of fox fur is tied up by the Buddha, which is generally unable to go. What are the deep-seated problems in it?

    Under the market economy, the relationship between supply and demand is dominant and the cost is secondary.

    (I agree with this point very much that this friend's idea is more than some people clamoring for the government to intervene in reality) the price has been going down, even if the quantity of livestock is decreasing, it is still oversupply.

    (of course, there are also some Fox Skins being replaced by raccoon skins), which reveals the problem of how incompatible between supply and demand and how big the gap is.

    (raccoon mink has begun to show the problem) under such a big gap, it will take several years to achieve the balance between supply and demand so that money can be made.

    In recent years, due to the warm winter, animal welfare, international trade and other problems, fur demand growth is slow, especially in warm winter, or even negative growth, and fur production is several times the growth.

    The fact that it has increased several times can not be clarified. One obvious fact is that in recent years, in the north of Linyi City, fur animal farming is everywhere, and there are large villages in the villages.

    Such a large number of people, it is really feared that they will not lose money.

    I think there are many other things like this in China.

    The author's reply is: "first, the trend of domestic fur popularization is inevitable. The raw leather with low price should be supported as two. After the export tax rebate is reduced, the domestic processing enterprises will attach importance to the domestic market, which is complementary to the first one.

    Three, in the past, it was too long for the blue fox to be hyped, so we could say that the improvement of the blue fox species has been reinvented. This has also caused many people to remember the high profits that were imported from abroad.

    Four. China's mink is expected to further adjust import and export tariffs from January 1, 2008, mainly involving MFN rates, annual provisional rates, agreement tax rates and preferential tax rates.

    In the most favoured nation tax rate, next year will continue to fulfill the WTO tariff reduction commitments, further reduce the import tariffs of 45 commodities, such as fresh strawberry and terephthalic acid, and continue to implement tariff quota management for 3 kinds of fertilizers, such as wheat, corn, rice and rice, sugar, wool, wool and cotton, and 3 kinds of fertilizers such as urea, compound fertilizer and diammonium hydrogen phosphate. Urea, compound fertilizer and diammonium hydrogen phosphate will continue to carry out 1% quota tax rates.

    The high price of grain will definitely affect the cost of livestock and poultry production, and mink is no exception.

    China's mink is waiting to rise in pain.

    The author has searched for a description of the Chinese mink vocabulary. Almost all of them are "China is a big country with mink but not a powerful country".

    Power means influence, while Chinese mink is not entirely reasonable in structure, but it affects the price of mink skin in the world.

    Chinese mink has entered the ranks of powerful nations.

    Over the past few years, the price fluctuation of Chinese mink has caused the price of mink in the Danish auction to plummet, and the stalemate of Chinese mink and the world mink has already been formed.

    We can take a look at the details of the auction: Copenhagen fur center December 2007 13-14 auction results report.

    Since the US dollar exchange rate has continued to decline by about 7% since September, the uncertainty in trade has been increased. With the increase of mink production and the influence of the warm winter climate last year, the sales of mink skin have suffered a great price resistance.

    In the 13 day auction, the price of sapphire male mink dropped by 23% compared with September, while the price of sapphire mother marten fell by 16%.

    The price of silver blue male mink dropped by 21%, Silver Blue mother marten price dropped by 12%, Silver Blue Swan velvet marten price increased by 3%, pearl colored male mink reduced by 19%, pearl pearl mink skin decreased by 9%, dark brown and red brown male marten price dropped by 20%, and dark brown and red pigment female mink skin price dropped by about 17%.

    The 14 auction will continue to auction black, Maher Gen Ni, white marten and black cross mink.

    Black male mink decreased by 19% compared with September, black female mink price decreased by 9%, black velvet skin decreased by 6%; Maher Gen Ni male and female mink prices fell by an average of 18%; white male mink price.

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