Summary Of China'S Chemical Fiber Industry In 2012
The central economic work conference (P), which was closed recently, stressed that resolving the overcapacity contradiction is the focus of adjusting the industrial structure.
In view of the chemical fiber industry, in 2012, the contradiction between sharp decline in industrial profits and excess capacity structure intensified.
On the other hand, the severe textile economic situation has become a strong force mechanism this year. It has become an opportunity to promote the adjustment and upgrading of the industry of < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > chemical fiber < /a >.
When the profits decline, the industry will further promote merger and reorganization, eliminate backward production capacity, and strengthen technological innovation and differentiated production, and the competitiveness of the industry will be significantly improved.
At the end of the year, we analyzed the key words classification of the operation and development of the chemical fiber industry in 2012, hoping to help the industry to grasp the status quo and explore the future.
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< p > < strong > operation < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > profits decline, return to reason < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > yield stable increase < /strong > < /p >
< p > important data: from January to September, chemical fiber production remained relatively fast growth, output of 28 million 351 thousand and 900 tons, an increase of 11.94% over the same period last year, and the growth rate dropped 4.12 percentage points year-on-year.
Among them, viscose staple fiber increased by 24.15%, polypropylene fiber growth rate reached 17.77%, nylon growth rate reached 16.57%, the output of three increased rapidly, polyester production increased to below 10%, and acrylic fiber and vinylon production basically remained unchanged from the same period last year.
It is estimated that the annual output will be 38 million tons, an increase of about 10%, and the growth rate has dropped.
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< p > reason analysis: Although China's chemical fiber industry will reduce the average annual growth rate of "12th Five-Year" to 6%, the adjustment of growth rate and the pformation of development mode all need a process. In addition, with the variety of chemical fiber products, the progress of technology and the expansion of application fields, its demand is increasing every year.
Although profits have dropped sharply this year, the output has not gone down. There are two main reasons: on the one hand, the chemical fiber has experienced more than 10 years of rapid growth and inertia; on the other hand, due to the huge gap between domestic and foreign cotton < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_cj.asp" > price < /a >, some cotton spinning enterprises have to abandon cotton and choose chemical fiber.
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< p > < strong > demand is not strong < /strong > < /p >
< p > important data: according to the National Bureau of statistics monthly economic report data, from January to September, the average production and sales rate of chemical fiber industry dropped to 95.99%, down 1.94 percentage points year-on-year, and the production and sales rate of viscose, nylon, polyester and other major sub industries declined year-on-year.
From January to November this year, the export volume of China's chemical fiber and industrial textile products was 34 billion 470 million US dollars, down 0.9% compared to the same period last year. The export volume of main exports a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_s.asp" > market < /a > outside ASEAN and the United States maintained growth, and the European Union, Hongkong and India had declined to varying degrees.
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< p > reason analysis: market demand is not strong, production and marketing linkage is not smooth.
Since the beginning of this year, the global economic situation has been going downhill, and the debt crisis in countries such as the US and Europe has continued. On the one hand, external demand has been sluggish. On the other hand, the domestic economy has been affected, and domestic demand has also been restrained to a certain extent.
The upstream supply is growing geometrically, and the slowdown in downstream demand leads to the gradual upward pmission of inventory, making the contradiction between demand and supply gradually increasing.
In addition, the appreciation of the renminbi weakened external demand, leading to partial pfer of export orders to lower cost regions such as Vietnam and India.
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< p > < strong > profit decline < /strong > < /p >
< p > important data: from January to September, the total profit of the chemical fiber industry reached 11 billion 635 million yuan, down 48.13% from the same period last year, and the loss of the industry reached 30.05%, and the deficit of the deficit companies also increased 1.4 times, reflecting the polarization of the enterprise's profitability.
The total profit is expected to decrease by 30% to 40%.
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< p > reason analysis: chemical fiber industry profits fell sharply last year, mainly affected by two factors.
First, the profit base of the first two years is too high.
Since March 2009, the chemical fiber industry has taken the lead in getting out of the shadow of the financial crisis, and the market has gone all the way, especially in the first three quarters of 2010 and 2011. The industry is almost in a state of profiteering, with the highest profit margin of 7.16% in 2010.
In 2001~2011, the average profit rate of chemical fiber industry was 3.03%. The profit rate of industry in the first half of this year was 2.21%, which was 0.82 percentage points below the average level. This is also the normal performance of the industry in the recession period.
The two is the huge loss of raw materials and products.
In the first half of the year, especially from mid February to the end of June, the prices of chemical fiber and its raw materials continued to decline, resulting in a serious loss of stocks and raw materials and large quantities of products.
In fact, judging from the immediate price gap between chemical fiber and its main raw materials, the normal processing space of chemical fiber has little change this year, basically maintaining stability.
Therefore, there is no need to worry too much about the sharp decline in the economic efficiency of the chemical fiber industry.
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< p > < strong > Import stability < /strong > < /p >
< p > important data: in January ~9, imported 626 thousand and 600 tons of chemical fiber, a slight decrease of 5.93% compared to the same period last year.
Acrylic fiber is still the largest imported variety, with an import volume of 142 thousand and 100 tons, which is basically the same as that of the same period last year. The import of viscose staple fiber increased by 22.33%, and the increment came from Austria.
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< p > reason analysis: from the variety and quantity of imported chemical fiber, we can see that the domestic demand market still maintains a certain rigid demand for products that can not be completely replaced in China.
Some high-end products and branded products are familiar with consumers, and their product attributes are no longer just industrial products, but become the choice of mass consumption.
The rapid increase in the import of viscose staple fibres, which is all from Austria, can be concluded that the viscose variety is modal.
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< p > < strong > investment return rationality > /strong > /p >
< p > important data: the chemical fiber industry has entered the downlink cycle since the fourth quarter of last year, and the enthusiasm of industry investment has gradually returned to rationality. From January to September, the number of construction projects in the chemical fiber industry was 760, and 479 new projects were started. The actual investment amount was 64 billion 346 million yuan, an increase of 21.51% over the same period last year, down 24.8 percentage points from the same period last year, down 26.36 percentage points from last year's growth rate.
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Analysis of reasons for "P >: the profiteering of chemical fiber industry in 2010 and 2011 attracted many investors' attention, and also led to the rapid growth of chemical fiber industry in the past two years.
However, in this year's macroeconomic downturn and the severe economic situation of the textile industry, many enterprises have chosen to abandon the production or delay the commissioning of the chemical fiber industry.
In addition, the cyclical nature of the industry has also led to a decline in investment enthusiasm this year.
Although the growth rate of investment has dropped sharply this year, some projects are being postponed or put into operation, but the pressure of new capacity is still very large next year.
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< p > < strong > development < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > upgrading is in sight. < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > industrial chain docking < /strong > < /p >
< p > typical events: in March 28th, the joint development of the 2012 new fiber and knitted products jointly organized by China Chemical Fiber Industry Association and China knitted industrial association was held in Beijing.
At the meeting, chemical fiber enterprises and the heads of knitting enterprises face to face talk, which played a role in promoting seamless docking of upstream and downstream industries.
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< p > editorial comment: in recent years, the entire textile industry is increasingly aware of the important role and significance of organic collaboration in all aspects of the industrial chain.
We should strengthen cooperation by establishing alliances, upstream and downstream enterprises to participate in various activities and undertake projects jointly.
On the basis of full exchange, joint research and innovation to guide consumption is the ultimate goal of the meeting.
And in this process of cooperation, we must also learn from each other's weaknesses and optimize the space of resources.
To enhance competitiveness, sometimes we need to find partners.
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< p > < strong > planning new industries < /strong > /p >
< p > typical events: in October, the 2012 high tech fiber material industry innovation forum was held in Beijing.
At the meeting, the manufacturers thought about how to make the high-tech fiber more convenient and efficient to dock with the downstream, and how to realize the development of applied fields.
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Editor's comment: as an important part of the new material field of China's seven strategic emerging industries, the high performance fiber made in China has shortened the gap with developed countries through the rapid development during the "11th Five-Year" period. P
However, during the "12th Five-Year" period, the industry encountered bottlenecks such as insufficient innovation capability and narrow downstream application scope.
Solving these problems has become a new driving force for the development of the industry.
Perhaps, as Duan Xiaoping, President of China Chemical Fiber Association, said, "upper level", "upper grade" and "upper scale" are the way out for high-tech fiber materials enterprises to grow bigger and stronger.
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< p > typical events: on June 26th ~27, the China Chemical Fiber Association held the Forum on "biomass fiber and functional textiles" and the annual conference of China Textile Engineering Society chemical fiber Specialized Committee in Taixing, Jiangsu Province on June 26th.
The 30 year roadmap of China's bio fiber and biochemical raw materials technology and industry development was officially announced.
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< p > editorial comment: the release of this roadmap has refined the biological direction of the chemical fiber industry, indicating that the biological direction of China's chemical fiber industry has entered substantial progress.
When governments all over the world seize the commanding heights of the biological industry, the bio economy has become a new economic growth point after the network economy.
This roadmap can guide the chemical fiber industry towards a truly green, low-carbon and sustainable development direction.
At the same time, the implementation of the road map can not be separated from the support and encouragement of national policies. In order to make this road map not a mere scrap of paper, enterprises should also consciously use green raw materials and use green processes in the production process.
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< p > < strong > pformation and upgrading < /strong > < /p >
< p > typical events: in January, the "chemical fiber industry" 12th Five-Year "development plan" was released.
The plan stresses that during the "12th Five-Year" period, the chemical fiber industry will accelerate the pformation of its development mode, enhance its capability of independent innovation, promote scientific and technological progress, strengthen energy conservation and emission reduction and circular economy, promote structural adjustment and industrial upgrading, and basically achieve the strategic goal of a strong chemical power.
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< p > editorial comment: "the 12th Five-Year development plan of chemical fiber industry" was released, which laid a blueprint for the development of the industry in the next few years.
From this we can see that the development of the industry pays more attention to quality improvement: on the one hand, the technology content and added value of products can be improved by increasing R & D investment, upgrading high-performance fiber and biomass fiber production capacity; on the other hand, it will further refine the constraint indicators such as environmental protection, energy conservation and consumption reduction, and achieve sustainable development.
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< p > typical events: from September 6th to 7, the eighteenth China International Chemical fiber conference was held in Xiaoshan, Hangzhou.
The conference focused on the theme of "how to achieve sustainable development in the high cost era of chemical fiber industry", focusing on the "new trend, new pattern, new field and new standard" of industry development.
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< p > editorial comment: since the beginning of this year, China's chemical fiber industry has shown a trend of overall stability, low market performance and significant decrease in efficiency.
The pressure that needs to be broken from outside is pformed into a change from the inside to the inside.
The advent of the "high cost era" has become a catalyst for the pformation and upgrading of the chemical fiber industry.
In this "crisis", the industry has reviewed the development direction of pformation and upgrading.
The enterprises look at the "severe situation" in a different way, and realize that the change of the development model is the demand of its own sustainable development.
Look back and see the grim situation of this year, the crisis may be a growth opportunity for the industry.
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< p > < strong > standard process < /strong > < /p >
< p > typical events: in September 7th, the International Committee for the promotion of chemical fiber standards was established at the eighteenth China International Chemical fiber Conference Standard forum.
The Commission takes the responsibility of international chemical fiber standard chemical industry as the starting point to promote the standardization of chemical fiber in China.
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< p > editorial comment: in the enterprise circulate such a sentence: first class enterprise standard, second rate enterprise depends on technology, three stream enterprise sell products.
Whose product standard is recognized by the world, who will lead the development trend of the whole industry, so as to get the same right to speak with the international giants.
Moreover, when new technology is not understood by people, standards become the regulations and passes for products to enter the market. This plays a very important role for enterprises to occupy the commanding heights of the market.
Therefore, the establishment of the committee is of milestone significance for China's chemical fiber standards to enter international standards.
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< p > < strong > industrial pfer < /strong > < /p >
< p > typical events: 2012 China's polyester industry chain sustainable development and industrial pfer forum was held in Fuling, Chongqing on November 21st ~22.
The forum has focused on how to break through the bottlenecks of raw materials, technology and brand, so as to realize the sustainable development of chemical fiber industry and how to plan the future production layout of chemical fiber industry.
In November 21st, Zhejiang Longteng technology development company and Chongqing Fuling District People's government signed an agreement to invest in the construction of 1 million tons of melt spinning direct difference spinning polyester fiber project in Fuling. Since then, the chemical fiber industry has begun the prelude to the industrial layout of Chongqing, which is the main Midwest City in China.
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< p > editorial comment: during the "11th Five-Year" period, China's textile industry began to move to the central and western regions. After entering the "12th Five-Year" period, with the support of the relevant policies of the state and the government of the central and western regions, the speed of pfer has further accelerated, and the proportion of the textile industry in the central and western regions has been rapidly improved.
Industrial pfer is the inevitable way to deal with the contradiction between the rapid rise of labor costs and the shortage of textile resources. However, the shift is not only to build new factories in the central and western regions, but also to consider whether the industrial chain and the surrounding logistics and market services system can keep pace with the shift of chemical fiber industry.
More foresight planning, summing up the development experience of the eastern region, and putting it into every new project of pfer, will not take the old road of high energy consumption and high pollution.
Industry can not be pushed back, but industrial pfer is a new opportunity.
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< p > < strong > Fashion nylon > /strong > /p >
< p > typical events: in March, at the Ninth China International Textile yarn (Chun Xia) exhibition, the colorful life and fashion nylon was first launched by the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, the polyamide Specialized Committee and the textile and chemical fiber product development center.
16 nylon enterprises show their differentiated and functional fashion nylon products.
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< p > editorial comment: the success of "Lycra" makes the industry look at the market potential of industrial products.
Setting up the unique temperament of the product and molding the fashionable character of the product are precisely aimed at the excellent performance and potential market demand of the nylon.
Positioning the nylon with fashion is precisely giving the product the image of the public.
With the image and character, an industrial product has the characteristics of terminal products.
This is the first step in brand consumption, and also an important step in the brand building of chemical fiber industry.
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< p > < strong > progress of science and technology < /strong > /p >
< p > typical events: in February 14th, the CPC Central Committee and the State Council held the 2011 Annual National Science and technology award conference in Beijing. The key technology development project of "high quality melt direct spinning super fine polyester filament" was held by the core subsidiary of Hengli Group, Jiangsu Hengli Chemical fiber Limited by Share Ltd. The project was awarded the two prize of national science and technology progress.
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< p > editorial comment: behind the "one silk" picking up the national science and technology awards, the chemical fiber enterprises attach importance to scientific and technological research and development, and are the embodiment of scientific and technological progress by chemical fiber enterprises.
The pformation of science and technology into direct productivity brings the competitiveness of enterprises to long-term development.
Although the initial investment, talent and time are huge, its significance is immeasurable.
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< p > < strong > prevailing trend < /strong > < /p >.
< p > typical events: in March, the consumer goods division of the Ministry of industry and information technology, the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, Donghua University and the national textile and chemical fiber product development center jointly published the 2012/2013 China fiber fashion trend report in Beijing.
The ten most popular fiber varieties released in the report are: special-shaped fine denier moisture absorption and sweat perspiration polyester fiber, hetero shrinkage polyester fiber, PTT, PBT polyester fiber, flame retardant viscose fiber, full dull fine denier polyamide 6 fiber, coloring raw polyester fiber, regenerated filament polyester fiber, polyphenylene sulfide fiber, bamboo pulp fiber, chitosan fiber.
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< p > editorial comment: the release of fiber fashion trends is a major move for China's chemical fiber industry to focus on building domestic fiber brands.
The release of this trend will play a huge role in promoting the brand building of fiber materials and enhancing the overall brand image of the industry chain.
Compared with the "face to face" industrial chain convergence, the more official color of the trend of fiber trend report contains greater influence.
In the chemical fiber industry, looking for more value-added and larger profit margins, also makes fiber production and terminal manufacturing to form a reasonable convergence, which will help improve the overall brand strength of China made.
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< p > < strong > low carbon energy saving < /strong > < /p >
< p > typical events: in March, Sheng Hong chemical fiber, Hengli Chemical fiber, Eagle Xiang Chemical fiber and Xinmin technology four enterprises became the first batch of enterprises recommended by China's chemical fiber association to carry out carbon footprint accounting, and successfully obtained Intertek-CCFA product carbon footprint certificate and green leaf label.
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Editor's comment: for enterprises, in a low carbon and environment-friendly society, we should take the initiative to cope with the emission of greenhouse gases and control them effectively, and conform to the trend of the times. P
The concern for carbon footprint is not only to meet the increasingly stringent climate change policies and environmental protection laws and regulations, but also to meet the requirements of the development of enterprises themselves.
Carbon footprint certification will help enterprises to obtain green credit, reduce financing costs, and will also be advantageous in the future international trade disputes. At the same time, it will also help improve the image of Chinese chemical fiber enterprises.
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< p > < strong > go out < /strong > /p >
< p > typical events: in February, Zhejiang's group reached a full takeover of Neucel, Canada. In April, Zhejiang Hengyi Group invested in Brunei's PMB petrochemical project in Brunei. In June, Zhejiang Tong Kun group discussed the investment holding Canada oilfield company project.
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< p > editorial comment: implementing the strategy of "going out" is of great significance for China to pfer excess production capacity, readjust its industrial structure, acquire advanced technology, and break through trade barriers.
China's chemical fiber has also made a positive contribution to the rational allocation of global resources.
With the deepening of the "going global" strategy, we should also see that "going global" involves not only macroscopical issues such as policy orientation, capital operation, industrial planning, but also the specific facilities of enterprises in the new area, management mode and cultural integration.
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< p > < strong > Future -- < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > slow recovery and accelerating pformation > /strong > /p >
< p > looking forward to the trend of the industry next year, the pressure of releasing new capacity in the chemical fiber industry, but the enthusiasm of commissioning has returned to reason, and downstream demand has begun to improve with the gradual warming of the macro-economy.
From the trend of the four quarter, we can see that the prices of some chemical fiber products have rebounded, and the profit level has improved.
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< p > at the same time, with the cyclical changes in the peak period of investment, the industry is expected to recover slowly and achieve a small rebound in profits.
But the chemical fiber industry is facing the pressure of entering the era of high cost and under the background of the global economy still sluggish, the industry may enter the micro profit era.
However, we should also see that after the sharp decline in chemical fiber profits this year, the recovery of downstream demand will open up more market space for enterprises with stronger competitive power next year.
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< p > in accordance with the deployment of the "12th Five-Year development plan" of the chemical fiber industry, the industry will speed up the pformation and upgrading.
Energy saving, cleaner production, innovative products and brand building are still the focus of next year's work.
The development mode of diversified industries will become more obvious if industry enterprises or extended industrial chains.
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