The Quality Of The Silk Industry In 2013 Will Be Better Than That Of Last Year.

In 2012, Silk industry Overcoming the adverse effects brought by the weakness of world economic development, the industry has achieved steady development, driven by the steady recovery of the export market and the strong demand for domestic market. It is estimated that the gross output value of China's silk industry will grow steadily in 2013, and the quality of the industry will be better than that of 2012.

Silk production increased year by year

Economic indicators gradually stabilized

In January 2012 ~11, according to the National Bureau of statistics, 360 large-scale silk reeling enterprises were reported. The output of silk was 112051 tons, an increase of 8.87% over the same period. 38 of the spun silk enterprises produced 11497 tons of silk yarn, down 28.15% from the same period last year. The production of silk fabrics of 256 large scale weaving enterprises was 817 million 80 thousand meters, an increase of 15.08% over the same period.

January 2012 ~11 months, according to the National Bureau of statistics for 950 silk Spin And Industrial Enterprises above Designated Size, the total industrial output value was 103 billion yuan, an increase of 15.26% over the same period, and the sales value was 99 billion 920 million yuan, an increase of 15.01% over the same period last year. In January ~8, the economic growth of silk industry showed a clear downward trend, but by September ~11 industrial growth rate rose month by month.

The industry's main business income was 99 billion 70 million yuan, an increase of 13.79% over the same period last year, and profit of 4 billion 220 million yuan, an increase of 21.8% compared with the same period last year. The reeling process achieved a profit of 2 billion 570 million yuan, an increase of 32.1% over the same period last year, and a profit of 1 billion 550 million yuan in silk weaving processing, an increase of 12.65% over the same period, and a profit of 97 million yuan in screen printing and dyeing processing, an increase of 31.69% over the same period last year. In September ~11 months, the profit growth rate of the silk industry showed a marked upward trend.

　 Raw silk exports increase real silk. clothing Export fall

Exports of whole products tend to be stable

According to customs statistics, in January ~11, the total export of silk products was 3 billion 70 million US dollars, down 5.04% from the same period last year. The export of silk products decreased by 1.96% compared with that of the same period last year, and the export price was reduced by 1.96%. The export price decreased by 8.46% compared with the same period last year, and the unit price decreased by 6.65% over the same period last year. The export volume of raw silk was 5800.18, an increase of 10.15% over the same period last year, and the amount of silk exports increased by 2.69%. The export volume of silk silk was 197 million 443 thousand and 600 meters, up from the same period last year, and the amount was $15275.16, down from the same period last year, and the unit price decreased.

In January ~11, the export of China's silk fabrics mainly presented the following characteristics:

First, the overall export of silk goods tends to be stable. According to the single month data of export volume for ~11 month in January, except for the large decline in the seasonal factors of the Spring Festival holiday in February, the export volume of ~10 months in March was relatively stable, with a slight fluctuation. In April, the export volume decreased significantly in ~11 months, but it remained at a low level.

Second, the export volume of silk garments slowed down. Affected by the international economic slump and the sluggish consumption, the number of silk garments exported in January ~5 decreased by 35.96% compared with the same period last year. By the end of November, however, the decline in the number of silk garment exports had slowed to 13.57%, with the decline narrowed and its growth rate continued to slow down.

Third, exports in the central and western regions are better than those in the eastern region. From the top ten provinces and cities, the eastern provinces of Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shanghai and other four provinces and cities have seen a marked decline, compared with the same period last year, Guangdong has dropped by 20.62%. Only Shandong and Fujian have achieved growth. The export volume of four provinces and municipalities in the western region of Sichuan, Chongqing, Anhui and Qinghai increased by 2.45%, 29.4%, 45.76% and 62.21% respectively.

Fourth, the main export market is declining across the board. From the perspective of the export volume of the main export market, the export volume of the United States, India, Italy and Japan decreased by 9.32%, 13.43%, 17.17% and 4.75% respectively, compared with the traditional four main markets. The exports to Germany, Korea, Britain, France and other countries also showed negative growth. Only Hongkong and Pakistan showed positive growth, 1.66% and 31.68% respectively.

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　 Cocoon silk market is basically stable.

Prices have risen steadily overall.

In 2012, cocoon silk prices showed a steady upward trend. As of the end of December 2012, the price of dry cocoon and raw silk (grade 3A) was 118 thousand and 100 yuan / ton and 364 thousand yuan / ton respectively, compared with the price at the beginning of the year, it rose by 13.7% and 20.4% respectively.

The rising price of cocoon silk in 2012 was affected by various factors, including:

First, it is stimulated by the rising cost of cocoon production. In 2012, influenced by the price increase of various domestic means of production, coupled with the increase in the cost of rural labor, the cost of cocoon production continued to rise. The average price of spring cocoons in the whole country is basically maintained at 35 yuan / kg, and the average price of autumn cocoons is 38 yuan / kg, and some regions even reach 42 yuan / kilogram, creating a new high price for the autumn cocoon purchase over the years. The strong support of cocoon raw material prices has led to the rising price of raw silk market.

Second, the export market has stabilized and picked up. Judging from the international market, exports to Europe and America have shrunk to the lowest level in recent years due to the long economic crisis in Europe and America. Since the 2 quarter of 2012, with the rise of rigid demand for silk products in the traditional international market, the export orders for enterprises have been increasing.

Third, the domestic market demand is strong. In the summer and autumn of 2012, the demand for domestic silk was better than that of the same period last year, and most silk mills increased by 10%. According to incomplete statistics, sales of silk gifts nearly doubled in January 2012 ~11 months, and sales of silk quilts and silk home textiles increased by more than 20% over the same period. This partly offset the adverse effects of the decline in export orders and directly promoted the price of cocoon silk.

The domestic economic environment is good.

Domestic market needs to be developed urgently

Overall, in 2012, the export trade of silk was restrained by the obvious slowing down of domestic and international economic development. The pressure of the operation of the industry was obviously greater than that of last year, but the overall operation was relatively stable. Looking forward to 2013, the operation of the industry will be affected by the following aspects.

First, there are still many uncertainties in the international economic situation. In 2013, the main feature of the global economy will be the mild recovery of the economy, the continued easing of monetary policy and the decline of systemic risk. But at present, the global economy is still in a period of adjustment after the crisis, and the economic vitality is weakening.

Second, the domestic economic environment is generally good. At present, the domestic economy will continue to shift from high speed growth to moderately stable growth. In 2013, the state will implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy. Expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption and investment will provide broad market space for the development of the real economy.

Third, the pressure of production and operation will not be reduced. The trend of price rise of all kinds of raw materials is difficult to change at a short time and labor costs increase year by year, and the profit margins of enterprises will still be squeezed. At the same time, the price of cocoon silk is running high for a long time, and the pressure of raw material purchasing funds and inventory is relatively large. Liquidity is tight, which is bound to increase the risk of enterprise production and operation, and the capacity of enterprises can not be effectively brought into play.

Fourth, the domestic silk market needs to be explored urgently. For a long time, silk enterprises are mainly export oriented, and there is a weak foundation for domestic marketing network construction and market cultivation. Vigorously developing the domestic silk consumption market and accelerating the transformation and upgrading of enterprises has become an important task facing the industry. Especially in the current export market as a whole, it is urgent for the silk enterprises to stabilize the international market and adjust the product mix in a timely manner according to the consumption characteristics of the domestic market, so as to enhance the domestic consumers' awareness of silk fashion products.

It is estimated that in 2013, the whole country silk The gross output value of industry will grow steadily, the output of main products will be basically flat, the industrial profits will continue to rise, and the export of silk will further stabilize, and the overall trend of "low, medium and stable" will be better, and the quality of the operation of the industry will be better than that of 2012.