The Fed'S Interest Rate Decision Will Be Hard To Beat.
The P will announce the interest rate resolution in the early hours of Thursday, April 30th (April 30th). Of course, the major investment banks made predictions for the meeting.
However, considering that there is no new "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp "economic prediction" /a and press conference, the Fed does not have the urgency to make changes in the background of "personnel shortage". Therefore, most institutions generally ignore the influence of this resolution.
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< p > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > Nomura Securities < /a > (Nomura) indicates that the exchange of FOMC shows that asset purchases are decreasing at the steady pace from the present to the end of the year unless major changes and expectations occur.
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< p > most observers believe that the Fed's speeches and forward-looking guidelines will not change significantly.
Brown Brothers Harriman thinks that the meeting of the Fed is unlikely to be an event. The market generally believes that the first rise in short-term interest rates is at least a year later.
They think the market expects the Fed's speech to change only if the US economy starts to pick up again after the beginning of the year.
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< p > BBH said: "the next" a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" fed "/a" conference will be more important than this week's meeting. Next time there will be new expectations. Yellen will hold a press conference at the June meeting. "
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Hilsenrath, also known as the Federal Reserve news agency, points out that the Federal Reserve policy meeting this week is less important than the last few months of the P meeting.
Hilsenrath said the Fed is expected to cut the size of the monthly purchase debt again by US $10 billion. At the same time, after revising the forward-looking guidance on interest rates in March, it is unlikely that the conference will make any further changes.
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P also said that the Fed's assessment of economic performance is unlikely to change significantly.
The labour force index has been improving. Despite the mixed emotions, the unemployment rate remains at a high level.
Inflation has also been lower than the Fed's 2% target.
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< p > growth indicators are generally moving towards the expectations of officials: as they said in March, economic activity seems to slow down in winter, but officials may also see some signs of recovery in March and early April.
For example, household expenditure seems to have improved.
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< p > related links: < /p >
< p > April 30th - April 30th (April 30th) European market, the United States announced the first quarter of the actual GDP initial value of the annual growth rate of 0.1%, far below the expected growth of 1.2%.
After the release of the data, the US dollar went down and the US dollar index rose to a low of 79.55.
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After the release of P GDP data, the US dollar fell sharply to 102.28 against the yen, a 102.25 day low, and the euro rose to 1.3870 from the US dollar.
Us GDP data suggest that the US economic recovery is clearly behind expectations, which may slow down the tightening of the Fed.
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< p > the US dollar index is also very weak on the technical side. After the exchange rate fell below the Tuesday low, the daily graph has already seen a single day reversal. The market outlook is short or further tested for the previous gap gap of 79.48, and the rebound resistance is at 79.70.
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The Euro Exchange Rate Is At A Long-Term Equilibrium Level. There Is No Need For Strong Intervention.
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