Summary Of Cotton Production In Xinjiang

The visit was conducted in Akesu, Awati, Shihezi, Manasi and Hutubi.

Production situation, scale up situation, the mentality of the main market participants under the new policy and the possible problems in the implementation of the new policy.

Production situation in the new year

As far as we know, this year Xinjiang should increase its production overall, estimated at about 10% to 15%, but it is different in different regions.

Among them, the growth of Southern Xinjiang is relatively good, generally increasing production, while the northern Xinjiang is different, especially in the local cotton fields, and there are varying degrees of reduction in production, while Corps generally increases production.

The main reason is that the total rainfall is insufficient this year. Generally, there is no drip irrigation system in the plots where the land is rented. Although some of them have been laid up, some of the plots are too large to be irrigated in time, which is also affected.

But in the night of September 19th, the temperature of Changji Shihezi area in Northern Xinjiang decreased, and the temperature of second fell. Cotton farmers were worried that there would be early frost. If the early frost came down, it would have an impact on the output.

Two. Picking progress and weighing scales.

Most of the southern and Northern Xinjiang have been picking flowers since September 15th, and the progress of procurement is slightly faster than that of Southern Xinjiang, but the difference is not significant.

Local cotton growers basically sell at the same time, because they can't store large quantities of houses.

Once the cotton is stored, the weight will be lighter and the color may change, so it will not be stored.

It is also precisely because of this reason that cotton growers have high tolerance for prices, and they have to sell at lower prices. There is basically no psychological base price. The situation of reluctant sale in Xinjiang is basically impossible. Unless the price falls below 3 yuan / kg, the cost of selling flowers is not enough to cover small workers, and it can only be allowed to waste in the field or do it by themselves.

The regiment cotton has not been picked up in large quantities, because most of the corps must be picked by machine. It is reported that 95% of the regiments in Shihezi area must be picked up by machine, and the machine must wait for more than 95% of the flowers to mature, and after the cotton leaves fall, the machine can start mining. It is estimated that a large amount of production will take place in early October.

Since September 19th, many cotton ginning plants have begun to scale up, and there are two situations for price.

One is to accept cotton growers to deliver cotton, but the price is temporarily uncertain. It will not be settled for the time being.

There are a lot of such phenomena in Akesu and Shihezi, and the other is the formal offer. In northern Shihezi, Manasi and Hutubi, the basic score is 40% lint. The purchase is based on 6 yuan - 6.3 yuan / kg, with 40% lint as the benchmark, the lint is higher than 40%, no mention is made, the lint is lower than 40%, and the price is to be purchased at a lower price.

In terms of corps, according to the 145 regiment of the eight divisions of the 145 agricultural products, the price of the farmers this year is 7.5 yuan / kg for hand picking cotton and 7 yuan per kilogram. According to many cotton farmers, this price may include direct subsidy.

It is estimated that the processing plant will start buying in large quantities until October, because the machine picked cotton has not been extensively picked yet, and the Corps does not allow the cotton farmers to pick them up for sale.

Three, labor cost has become an important factor restricting the development of Xinjiang's cotton industry.

In the process of talking with cotton growers, farmers complain most about hiring flowers.

Too high, such complaints are not just individual cotton farmers, but all cotton growers will complain.

Labor cost is high. On the one hand, it is difficult to pick up florist and raise price is not easy to find; on the other hand, it is too expensive.

According to the cotton growers, to hire flower workers, first of all, we must give the foreman 20 to 100 yuan / person's fee for the organization of the coolers. Secondly, we need to reimburse the small workers for the cost of the loop, which is 600-800 yuan. Besides, we also need to pack and eat, and no one will send a pure cotton pad. Besides, the wages for the small workers are 2-2.5 yuan / kg, and the cost is too high.

If it is 8 yuan / kilogram, at least 30% gross income has been taken away by the laborer.

In the conversation with cotton growers who do not want to continue to grow cotton next year, labor cost is one of the most important factors.

This year, most of the corps cotton will be used for machine harvesting, mainly because of artificial factors, the cost of manual picking is at least 2-2.5 yuan / kg, and the cost of using machine is about 0.5 yuan / kg. The difference between them is 1.5-2 yuan / kg, which is equivalent to the cost of picking cotton at least 1500 yuan / ton higher than hand picking cotton. It is expected that in late Xinjiang, machine picked cotton will gradually replace manual cotton picking, which will be an irreversible trend.

Four, the attitude of the market players to the new year's direct subsidy policy.

In the course of the investigation, cotton growers find out that the direct subsidy policy has some knowledge, but it is not very clear. The national target price is priced according to the price of lint cotton. "How much can it be subsidized to seed cotton? Is it specific area or output?"

The idea of cotton growers is that it is best to directly subsidize cotton seed in the process of selling directly.

Because farmers do not know how to convert according to the target price of lint cotton, and the delayed payment of subsidies will make cotton farmers very passive, because most cotton growers are loans, and loans should be paid before the year. But if subsidies can not be released before the year, farmers will still have difficulty in obtaining loans.

The processing plant is very concerned about the new policy of direct subsidy, and the colleagues in the industry are discussing the countermeasures together.

In this year's new policy, one of Xinjiang cotton has to be checked in the public library, which has a great impact on the processing plant.

It is believed that this will delay the time and increase the burden of the processing plant, and it is learnt that the measure will also greatly test the operational capacity of the warehouse.

In the past, the processing plants were sampled and inspected in the factory, and then the inspection results came out, then the group was sold in the field, and then they could be sold.

The first step is to be sent to the supervised warehouse, because the processing plants are centralized production at the same time period, which will inevitably cause the processing plants to queue up for storage, and can not wait for the queues to be queued up, and then delay the sampling. After the second steps are put into storage, it is learnt that the inspection organizations in the past years need only 10.1 holidays before they can enter the Xinjiang to start operations. That is to wait until October 9th to start their operations, and the test results must be at least 8 days. The enterprises already in the warehouse also have to face the problem of queuing inspection; third, after the inspection is completed, they often need to be assembled according to the test results, but in the warehouse group, the warehouse will surely be provided with a lot of manpower and material resources, and whether the warehouse can meet or not, there is great uncertainty. But if we do this in the public inspection this year, the processing plant will produce cotton bags.

Because of this, when I asked to sign the mainland delivery contract at the end of October, I did not have a processing factory to take orders.

In addition, the cost of public inspection may increase by about 200-300 yuan.