The Chinese Are Eating The Poor World?

The world's largest populous country recorded a record high grain imports in 2014.

The Chinese are

?

In recent years, China's imports of grain increased sharply. From January to October last year, China imported 72 million 500 thousand tons of grain, almost the same as that of 2013.

As a result, the world's largest populous country recorded a record high grain import in 2014.

The Chinese are eating the poor world?

China can't support itself?

Brown, director of the US world observation Institute, who will feed China, believes that in the process of industrialization, with the increase of population and the change of consumption structure, the demand for grain in the future will increase substantially, due to the problems of "reduction of cultivated land", "shortage of water resources" and "destruction of the environment" and so on.

In the future, China's grain production will decline, and China will face a huge grain gap. For this reason, China will increasingly rely on food imports and impact on world food supply and prices. Even if China has enough foreign exchange reserves, it is impossible for the international market to provide such a huge amount of food supply to 1 billion 300 million Chinese people.

Brown concluded that:

Not only can we not support ourselves, nor the world can feed China, China's grain shortage will buy the world grain market, causing food shortages and price increases worldwide, triggering global political and ecological crisis.

He warned the world: "the shortage of food is accompanied by economic instability, and its threat to security is far greater than that of military invasion."

Brown's view has become part of the "China Threat Theory".

In an interview in Beijing in 2008, Brown stressed that "who will feed China" is still a problem, and its view has not changed.

He further pointed out that China's population will reach 1 billion 600 million in 2030s, and who will feed China in the future, and who will save the global food shortage and turmoil caused by it?

The US media also commented that "China's grain problem will endanger the food safety of the world people". "China's food shortage will be more terrible than military invasion", "China is the biggest threat to the world".

This year's "Central Document No. 1" proposed that we should improve the ability to co-ordinate the utilization of two resources in the two markets at home and abroad, but also stressed that we should continuously enhance the capacity of grain production and grasp the scale and pace of imports of agricultural products.

This is considered to be a response to a series of global concerns.

"Document 1" shows that China's grain market is open, and import competition is fair, but China will also carry out risk control and control of food security and improve its grain production capacity by means of modernization.

Li Guoxiang, a researcher at the Institute of rural development of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said.

He said that the current domestic

Relatively stable, there is little possibility of a significant increase in grain imports in the short term.

Although China's total grain output has achieved "eleven consecutive increases", the Chinese government has always used the "rice bowl firmly in its own hands" to show the determination of grain's basic self-sufficiency, but the increasing import of grain has also worried some people who will feed China?

It is undeniable that the reduction of exports and the increase in imports have become the basic pattern of China's grain market.

In 2014, China's imports of grain increased by nearly 34% over the previous year, a record high.

China's food imports, including soybeans, have exceeded 90 million tons of imports, which is almost the same as that of Australia and France in 2012.

In 2002, China's grain imports were less than 15 million tons.

On the policy side, "moderate imports" became the first part of China's food security strategy in 2013.

Experts here believe that grain imports have been increasing in recent years, mainly because of the relatively weak international competitiveness of Chinese agriculture, the rapid rise of domestic agricultural production costs, and the fact that the prices of bulk agricultural products are generally higher than those of the international market, leading to the increase of grain imports by some enterprises.

Cheng Guoqiang, a researcher on grain trade at the State Council Development Research Center, believes that the decrease in grain self-sufficiency rate may not necessarily lead to food crisis.

He pointed out that although China's grain imports grew rapidly, the coarse cereals as a feed accounted for a large proportion.

This shows that China did not suddenly increase imports because of the large grain gap, mainly because of the international and domestic price gap.

In terms of wholesale price of grain, there is a difference of 400 to 800 yuan per ton between home and abroad.

In fact, the proportion of China's grain imports is not high.

In response to the "China Food threat theory", the Ministry of agriculture's chief economist, Bi Mei family, said that at present, the import of three grains of rice, wheat and corn accounted for only 2.4% of China's domestic output, which was relatively low.

"In the future, it is possible to import some domestic shortage varieties, but grain imports will not increase significantly."

He said that this is consistent with the bottom line of grain security that China put forward "grain basic self sufficiency and rations are absolutely safe".

Li Guoxiang believes that the increase in grain imports is one of the direct manifestations of deep-seated contradictions in China's domestic agricultural development.

In addition to the increasing grain production costs, the development of social services, such as the loss of rural labor force, the low proportion of large-scale planting, the extension of agricultural technology, the agricultural machinery services and the product marketing, lag behind. The overall competitiveness of China's grain products has been reduced from quality and price, resulting in the expansion of imports on the one hand and the indetermination of domestic grain inventories on the one hand.

In the process of one-sided pursuit of grain production, quality is declining. This is the outstanding contradiction to be solved in China's agriculture.

According to public opinion, it is necessary to use less than 1/10 of the world's cultivated land to feed more than 1/5 of the world's population. This special national condition determines that agriculture should have a more important strategic position in China than any other country in the world.

Symbolically, "Central Document No. 1" has locked China's three rural issues for 12 years in a row. This year, it also focuses on "accelerating agricultural modernization" for second years in a row.

The document, known as "the blueprint for China's annual agricultural development", puts forward that "China is strong and agriculture must be strong".

The Chinese government has always stressed that relying on the international market to solve the Chinese eating problem is unreliable and unrealistic.

At present, the annual volume of grain trade worldwide is between 5000 and 600 billion jin, less than half of China's grain demand.

Guo Tiancai, a professor at Henan Agricultural University, believes that China will continue to consolidate its agricultural foundation and consolidate the three pillars of the policy, technology and infrastructure for grain production in the future. In particular, it is necessary to ensure the red line of cultivated land, so that China's food security can be practically guaranteed.

Experts say China is feeding the world.

Li Changping, a researcher at the rural construction research center of Hebei University, said that China's grain production capacity is no problem. The rice yield per mu is more than 1000 Jin per annum. According to the demand of 700 kilograms of grain per person per year, we need to feed more than a billion Chinese people. We have enough land in 500 million acres a year. 1 billion 800 million mu of arable land is enough for Chinese people to live well.

China's grain output increases year by year and imports increase year by year. This is a pair of contradictions.

There is a question: is real output or false increase?

If it is a false increase in production, it is not because of insufficient productivity, but because of institutional mistakes.

Large areas of land pfer, some enterprises get land but do not engage in agriculture.

The vast flow of land to the rich will surely not support the Chinese people.

China's agriculture must be dominated by rich and small farmers. How to turn small farmers into organized modern smallholders is the direction of reform, not the elimination of smallholders.

Recyclable and organic farming methods can promote balanced grain growth. If we learn from western countries, we will be miserable.

China's import of large quantities of grain has great impact on the international market, and the food available in the international market is also limited.

Don't simply think Brown is talking nonsense. His opinion is also a warning.

Our grain production capacity is very strong, but the cost is very high. 9% of the land is used to produce 20% of the world's grain, and 35% of the world's fertilizer is used, which can lead to serious soil degradation.

Wang Xiaoyu, Deputy Secretary General of the Heilongjiang Soybean Association, said that the Western speculation in China's shortage of cultivated land and food demand is to create tension in supply and demand, push up the price of international agricultural products, make China pay high prices, dilute the fruits of reform and opening up, and help international consortia to make profits.

Grain output has increased by ten in China.

As general secretary Xi Jinping said, our rice bowl must be loaded with our own food. We have the ability to do that.

Analyzing the flow of commodities such as soybeans, iron ore and crude oil in the past ten years, we will find that the world is not feeding the world, but China is feeding the world with rapid economic development and huge market.

The reason for the food crisis is not China's "scramble for grain", but the political game between rich and poor countries, which focuses on commodity prices.

The proportion of China's imports of soybeans to soybeans is the largest, and this excessive dependence on foreign countries must be reversed.

Global soybean consumption is 2.694 billion tons, China consumes 75 million 570 thousand tons, but China accounts for only 18% of the world's population. Compared with China's population structure and consumption structure, China's soybean imports have a surplus of about 20000000 tons.

China's grain is also an alarming waste.

Speaking of food waste in China, many people naturally think that most of the waste food is on the dining table. Zheng Chuguang, a member of the CPPCC National Committee and professor of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, has made projections: Chinese consumers only consume at least 200 million people a year's food or rations each year in restaurants and restaurants of medium size or above restaurants. At the same time, the collective canteens of all kinds of schools and units at least above each year lose at least 30 million people a year's food. Chinese individuals and families may waste about 11 billion kilograms of grain each year, equivalent to 15 million people a year's rations.

However, the waste of food at our table is far from waste. The amount of food wasted in our country is also astonishing in the aspects of rice storage, storage, pportation and processing outside the table.

After harvesting, an important link is farmers' grain storage.

In 2013, the total output of the country's grain was about 12000 billion jin, while the farmers accounted for about half of the total annual grain output.

Due to the poor conditions of storage facilities, inadequate drying capacity and lack of technical guidance services, the proportion of losses caused by bug rats is about 8% a year, accounting for over 40 billion jin of grain loss throughout the year.

There are nearly 240 billion jin grain warehouses in China's grain enterprises, which are dangerous storehouses, which have poor grain storage conditions, large losses and losses of over 15 billion jin.

It can be corroborated that the "5 + 31" fire accident in Lindian directly under the grain storage in 2013 was over 4 tons, and the direct economic loss was 3 million 79 thousand yuan.

In terms of pportation, China's grain pportation mode is backward, and specialized pport means are scarce.

Most grain pportation uses traditional grain packing pportation mode, that is basically the use of sacks and plastic woven bags in storage.