A Shares Are Facing Three Big Changes To Choose The Opportunity To Take Low Risk

Last week, the market was adjusted continuously, and the market condition was relatively low.

The stock index climbed to 3543.95 points, the lowest point to 3410.92, and 90.41 points in the whole week.

Last week, the root line fell through the 5 week average line, the 60 week average and the 10 week moving average, and the lowest level reached 20 week average.

All the trading days on Friday showed a small downward trend.

Looking at the whole week, the operation of the market shows three characteristics: the volume is shrinking day by day, the convergence triangle is finishing, and the shadow is falling down.

These three characteristics indicate that the market will be ready at any time.

。

There are only three kinds of changes. The first is the sharp fall of the 60 day line, and then the overturn rebound market at a weekly line level. The second is the volume of Zhongyang, the main board breaks through the 5 day line to suppress, helps the market to recast the rising channel, and the third is the breach of the position, and the rebound ends.

In the environment of market stock capital game, most institutions consider the probability of the first trend to be larger.

Analysts believe that the new capital draw blood, the Fed's interest rate increase, the end of the year tight capital market to make the A share market weak, but these are not enough to A shares constitute a "fatal threat", will only enlarge the volatility of the market.

With the thaw of new funds, some funds will return to the market, coupled with the Fed's interest rate boots.

There may be a sharp counterattack.

The stock market has its own law of operation, and it is expected that short-term fluctuations will not change the long-term trend.

From the trend, if the Shanghai Composite Index has a trend line between 2850 low points in August 26th and 3021 lows in September 29th, it is easy to find that up to now, Shanghai stock index has basically been running on this upward trend line.

On November 30th, the Shanghai stock index had a single pin to the bottom of 3327 points. Besides the short line decline, it was strongly supported by the 60 day line.

As long as the aftermarket does not effectively break the rising trend line, the pattern of the index uplink will remain unchanged.

In terms of quantity, shrinkage is one of the conditions for bottoming. The bottom is made up of shrinkage, panic and finally a symbolic line. On Friday, the two cities traded a total of 632 billion 900 million yuan, including 245 billion 100 million yuan in Shanghai stock market, which was only one step away from 244 billion 400 million yuan in Shanghai stock market in November 3rd.

In November 3rd, there was an upward trend after the volume of land. The number of points on Friday was slightly higher than that in November 3rd, but the amount of energy was almost the same.

According to the bottom line thinking of economic growth 6.5%, the growth rate of infrastructure investment in China in 2016 must reach more than 21.63%, corresponding to the total scale of 16 trillion and 400 billion yuan capital construction investment.

The National Conference on urban work will be held soon, or we will discuss deeply about urban planning, urban infrastructure construction and urban public utilities operation.

Therefore, investors can pay close attention to related concepts such as sponge City, urban rail pit, underground pipe corridors and so on.

Suitable for the layout of the central line.

From the stock market environment, it is a great probability that the market will recover in the spring.

The stock issue and listing will be completed in December 2015. There will be a "gap period" for the new issue next year before and after the Spring Festival.

In the history of A shares, the number of new issue IPO in the first quarter is the lowest throughout the year, and the stock market needs to recuperate.

On the other hand, the capital market in the first quarter is the most relaxed time of the year.

First, the bank has a new lending program, and began to accelerate lending; two, the first quarter is usually the traditional off-season of the industry, and the real economic production needs little for the capital market; three, the stock market entered the January, and at the end of the year, the funds had begun to return to the investment market again.

Based on the above judgment, this week the market is likely to fall after the first rise, investors can consider the opportunity to catch the end of the year, buy in batches below 3400 points, and do not miss this good chance of low suction winter seeding.