The Main Specifications Of China'S Imported Yarn Have Changed.

We are all wondering whether the market will bring a new detonation point after the conclusion of the G20 summit.

Optimistic views even believe that the target price of cotton can reach 18000 yuan / ton.

So after the G20 summit, we have been very tight. From the point of printing and dyeing to weaving and clothing, will there be a marked recovery in orders? But it has not been waited for a long time. The main reason is that the coordination of downstream terminals is not in place.

This year, we all look forward to the third and fourth quarter of the downstream demand, but now the downstream demand does not come, it is equivalent to a suppression of the entire market.

Judging from the operation of the market as a whole, there is little room for the price drop of cotton yarn. The price floating space of the whole cotton yarn market is around 1000 yuan / ton.

And the listing of new cotton inside and outside.

In 2012, the imported yarn was mainly 8~25 combed yarn, and the import volume was relatively large. From 2008 to now, it basically occupied the first place, but there were also some changes in it, that is, 30~47 pure cotton yarn (mainly 30, 32, 40S yarn).

This product grew very fast from 2012 to 2014, but the ratio decreased again in the second half of 2015 and 2016, and the ratio of low count yarn was pulled up again.

According to the current volume of nearly 1 million 300 thousand tons, the import volume of the whole year should be around 1 million 850 thousand tons. This quantity has dropped considerably compared with that of last year. Last year, if the total amount of cotton yarn and part blending was increased by 2 million 345 thousand tons last year, the amount of imported yarn this year will probably shrink considerably.

Judging from the amount of imported yarn in the medium and long term, there will not be much increase in China's dumping period.

China will return to the main line after the end of the dumping, because the production capacity of China's spinning is phasing out year after year, even though some new spinning equipment in Xinjiang and other regions are growing, some traditional coastal areas are growing.

It's still dropping.

Because many enterprises are still struggling, only those who really adhere to the last enterprise can get better benefits.

When the market is relatively bad, there will be some vicious competition phenomenon, so elimination is inevitable.

Finally, let's talk about cotton, sticky short and short.

Cotton.

In recent years, the total output of cotton has been compressed, from the top 10 million tons to about 7 million 500 thousand tons.

Two, viscose staple fiber.

Viscose has been growing, up to now 3 million 100 thousand tons, this amount will continue to increase, because of downstream demand support, the benefits are also improving.

Three, polyester staple fiber.

Polyester staple fiber sales are now more than cotton, usually polyester fiber measurement is divided into primary and regeneration, now these two total consumption is about 5 million 500 thousand tons.

From this point of view, whether it is original or renewable, its production capacity is very abundant, but its capacity utilization rate has not been high, the overall use of the field is slow, so the total demand for polyester staple fiber will rise relatively small.

The rise of cotton prices has led to the trend of price increase in the cotton industry chain, and also led to the price increase of viscose staple fiber.

Judging from the operation of the whole market,

The ideal acceptance price is around 14000 yuan / ton, and the price floating space of the whole cotton yarn market is around 1000 yuan / ton.

Judging from the overall price this year, cotton is very strong, partly because of the promotion of the whole commodity market, and on the other hand, the problems related to the supply structure of cotton itself and the problems in the storage and distribution of cotton reserves have led to large fluctuations in the market.

From the perspective of price fluctuation, the fluctuation of cotton prices in April is mainly due to the rise of commodity cycle.

In addition, the delay in reserve cotton also led to the rush to buy cotton.

The volatility in June is more of a commodity itself.

In this year's market, cotton and PTA show better cotton performance. With the rise of the commodity cycle, there will be a marked increase in cotton, while PTA has been under pressure because its upstream crude oil fundamentals and futures market have been weakening.

The rise of cotton prices has led to the trend of price increase in the cotton industry chain, and also led to the price increase of viscose staple fiber.

Viscose staple fiber industry chain demand smooth pmission, coupled with some market stage coordination, active performance; this market began to rise from the beginning of last year, due to the start of environmental protection inspection in Xinjiang, until last November, after a certain decline.

This year's wave is actually in sync with the rise of the whole commodity cycle, so in June, the cotton market also brought viscose.

Judging from the whole price operation, this year's big yarn market is hard to come up.