In 2017, The Total Output Of Xinjiang Cotton Exceeded 4 Million 500 Thousand.
According to Kashi, Akesu and other agricultural and cottage dealers reflect, since the middle of 3, the corps and local cotton planting has been launched in full swing.
Because loans for supporting farmers to purchase physical and chemical materials have not yet been granted, some cotton farmers have a large number of agricultural funds such as fertilizer, plastic film, seeds and so on. Some farmers plan to repay agricultural funds after loans are issued. Some farmers agree with seed farmers and cotton seed companies to make seed sale in 9-11 months in 2017, and then repay their debts.
Sha ya, Ke Ping, Xinhe and other ginning plants indicated that, from the current survey, the trend of the decline of the fine cotton planting area in 2017 has been formed (the Corps basically remained stable, but the local area increased obviously). On the one hand, it was estimated that 50% of the cultivated land of the long staple cotton was planted on the South Xinjiang in 2016, and the fine cotton was converted to fine cotton. On the other hand, some cotton plants, including walnut, jujube and watermelon, were increased due to the shortage of water resources and the increase of water charges.
In the face of 2016/2017 cotton market, such as "reserve cotton rotation, market storage cotton, Xinjiang cotton and imported cotton", today's industry is more rational than sloppy.
Before the launch of the reserve cotton mill, the industry hoped and applauded continuously, but there was no price concern.
Now, the paction price of the reserve cotton is much larger than that in the early March, which indicates that all the supply and demand relations in the market will be calm and realistically reflected. The market will eventually realize the real value of the commodity in the direction of a broadly balanced interest.
We can also take a look at the recent cotton futures and spot prices.
Xinjiang cotton
The price trend, from the supply of cotton yarn to the entire textile market, is not enough to support any increase in cotton prices.
Whether the market is changing because of the cotton market, or the cotton market is changing because of spinning the market, everything depends on the evolution of supply and demand so as to realize the value of cotton to cotton yarn and cotton spinning products.
In the situation of continuous slowing down of the national and global economic growth rate, maintaining social and economic growth will not be negative or reverse. It has been the direction of human beings, and the reserves of millions of tons of cotton resources have entered the market in the past 6 months. Cotton enterprises and textile enterprises can go all the way to a safe and secure operation.
For the purchase price of seed cotton in 2017/18, farmers' expectation is generally above 7.50 yuan / kg (40% lint), and due to the large area growth, cotton varieties are mainly based on "new land middle" series (early maturing varieties are reduced), and the total output of Xinjiang cotton in 2017 or over 4 million 500 thousand tons.
First 2017-2019 years in Xinjiang
cotton
The target price subsidy standard is still 18600 yuan per ton, the farmer's heart is guaranteed and the ginning plant has the target. In the next 2016/17, the sales progress of the corps and the local ginning plant is ahead of the previous two years, and the futures hedging, arbitrage and other operations are gradually running lightly.
Cotton enterprises
Profits continued to improve.
In Xinjiang, the main body of the purchase of 2017/18 increased only in 2017. Farmers did not have to worry about the difficulty of selling cotton. In 2017, the stock of China's cotton reserves dropped sharply to the end of the end of the year, or fell below the level line, which paved the way for the late lint price rise. Finally, the trend of commodities could still be expected under the herd effect caused by loose monetary liquidity, global short term replenishment drive and over optimistic global investment funds.
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