Hundreds Of Home Textile Enterprises Survey: Low Operating Rate And Low Income, Facing The Pressure Of Survival Pressure.
In 2019, the domestic and international macro environment is complex and changeable. The development of China's cotton textile industry is also facing many new situations, new characteristics and new problems. The demand for change, innovation and development of textile enterprises is very urgent. At the China Cotton Textile Conference held in Wuhan in October 9th, Zhu Beina, President of the China Cotton Textile Industry Association, launched a new "data dialogue" with more than 350 delegates. It carried out on-the-spot investigations through various aspects of the company's business status, policy demands and development issues, and presented the problems of industry concern and the crux of development in the way of real-time data.
According to the polling data, the representatives who participate in the field can be divided into three categories: cotton textile enterprises account for 58%, textile machinery enterprises account for 12%, and other trade enterprises, related units and universities account for 30%.
Through the innovative way of on-site voting, the China Cotton Textile Conference has enhanced the interaction with enterprises, and has also displayed and exchanged important first-hand information at the scene. It has also brought the atmosphere of the conference to a climax, and has been recognized by the delegates. The company's voice reflected in the data also reflects that the industry and enterprises are facing tremendous pressure and challenges on the road of transformation and upgrading through data.
On the current situation of enterprise management
According to the on-site voting data, compared with the same period last year, 85.4% of the enterprises in the first three quarters decreased compared with the same period last year, while 85% of the main business income decreased compared with the same period last year, and 91.6% of the enterprises' profits declined. In terms of inventory, 62.8% of raw material inventories of enterprises decreased year by year, 22.7% of raw material stocks were flat, 70.3% of the company's products inventory increased year by year, and 19.4% of the company's product inventory remained unchanged.
Zhu Beina said that due to factors such as sustainable development, capital flow, cost sharing and employment protection, enterprises still need to continue production under the condition of insufficient downstream demand, which is one of the important reasons for the company's operating conditions lower than last year.
About product competitiveness
On the issue of imported yarn, 56.7% of enterprises thought that imported yarn had a great impact on domestic yarn, while 43.3% thought it was not big. In the past three years or so before 2018, because of its low price, imported yarn had a great impact on the mainland yarn. With the narrowing of the price gap and the enhancement of the competitiveness of the domestic yarn, the adverse impact of imported yarn on the industry has gradually declined. On the issue of Xinjiang yarn, 66.2% of enterprises believe that Xinjiang yarn will have an impact on the mainland in the short term, and 22.3% of the enterprises believe that it has not been affected for a long time. Zhu Beina pointed out that the development of Xinjiang's cotton textile industry depends on the trend of Xinjiang policy.
On the structure of raw materials
According to the question of what kind of yarn products sell better this year, 47.1% of the enterprises believe that the sale of differentiated yarn is relatively good. According to Zhu Beina, there are about 2 million tons of differential yarn in the whole country, which accounts for 10%-12% of the national yarn production. Most of these differential yarns use non cotton fiber materials, especially the potential advantages of non cotton fibers. In addition, 29.7% of the enterprises believe that the sale of high quality yarn is better, and 23.2% of the enterprises think that the sale of medium and low grade yarn is better. The above results depend on whether the firm has a stable target market.
76.9% of the enterprises involved in the application of non cotton fibers, 59.4% of the enterprises thought that the future development of viscose fiber was huge, 52.1% of the enterprises had continuously promoted the proportion of non cotton fibers, and 34.5% plans to increase the proportion of non cotton fibers. In the application of non cotton fiber products, 51.2% of enterprises believe that the biggest difficulty lies in product market development, and 36.8% of enterprises think the most difficult is product development.
At the meeting, Zhang Zixin, Secretary General of the green development alliance of regenerated cellulose fibers, said that green sustainability has become one of the hottest areas in the textile industry chain, and the demand for Sustainable Textile raw materials is also increasing. At the 2019 China International yarn and textile exhibition held in Shanghai, the products of major cotton textile enterprises have produced the concept of regeneration and sustainable development. The brand value of products has also been improved, and at the same time, the risk of enterprises in the entire supply chain has also been reduced. As one of the main raw materials of cotton spinning industry, regenerated cellulose fiber will bring new business opportunities to the whole industry through developing and promoting sustainable regenerated cellulosic fiber products through upstream and downstream collaboration.
On Sino US trade issues
72.5% of enterprises believe that Sino US trade friction will take 3-5 years to alleviate, and 23.2% of enterprises think it will take longer. 79.5% of enterprises believe that the impact of Sino US trade friction will be global, and no one can do anything about it.
Against this background, 47.9% of enterprises believe that the layout of China's cotton textile production capacity will accelerate, and 34.5% of enterprises think it will slow down.
At the meeting, according to Zhao Mingxia, vice president of the Institute of industrial economics of the China Federation of textile industry, the Sino US trade friction began in March 2018 when the United States launched a survey of steel and aluminum in China. After that, tax measures for the bulk of China's commodities were gradually carried out, and tariff 5%-25% was not added. To the textile industry, the US tax increase list covers most of China's chemical fiber, yarn, fabric, carpet, industrial textiles, clothing and household textiles. According to customs data, the total trade volume of textile and clothing exported to the United States every year is about 50 billion US dollars. The United States' direct impact on China's textile and clothing exports to the United States has obviously declined, of which the most rapid and strong substitution of long and short silk is the relatively strong export of yarn to the United States. With the increase of tariffs, it is expected that by the end of this year, the export of upstream textiles will face greater difficulties, and the export pressure of clothing home textiles will become more prominent in 2020. According to China's main export market data, in 2018, China exported 18.2% of the world's total exports to the United States, the largest single export market in China, a decrease of US $10 billion compared with last year, and the export growth rate of the whole industry will drop by 3%-4%. Sino US trade friction is one of the reasons for the slowdown in China's exports, but it is not the only reason. It also includes the slowdown in global economic growth and the adjustment of international textile supply chain. For example, the growth of international trade in some emerging countries is outstanding. In addition, as the external situation changes and the scale of the industry expands, the development of China's textile industry has already entered a period of slowing down of total growth and a period of deep adjustment and transformation. The current development speed is within reasonable expectations, which is the inevitable result of the development and expansion of the textile industry and structural adjustment. In the future, the key areas of direct participation in international market competition will gradually shift from clothing to upstream products such as fabrics, fibers and other industrial chains.
Policy demands
In view of whether the current cotton policy is in line with the law of marketization, 78.4% of the enterprises do not think it is in line with the law of marketization. 54.4% of the enterprises believe that the allocation of cotton quotas is not reasonable. Nevertheless, Zhu Beina believes that cotton regulation policies have been advancing in recent years, but there still exists room for optimization.
For the current cotton industry which is very concerned about the industry, 81.4% of enterprises think that they should enter the market in 2019, and 57% of the enterprises think that the quantity of reserve cotton should be 2 million tons. If we want to turn in, 42.7% of enterprises hope to turn into domestic cotton, and 39% of enterprises hope to enter domestic cotton and imported cotton at the same time. Which kind of cotton to enter depends on the market positioning of the enterprise's products, and the timing and angle of rotation are different. Compared with other cotton such as American cotton, Brazil cotton and India cotton, 73.7% of the enterprises believe that Xinjiang cotton has more advantages, which shows that textile enterprises have greater hope based on domestic cotton. On the issue of target price reform in Xinjiang, 49.4% of enterprises hope that policies can maintain stability, and 46.8% of enterprises hope that policies can be improved to the best quality and complementary direction. In a word, enterprises hope that policies can be maintained and optimized continuously.
On transformation and upgrading of enterprises
96% of enterprises believe that electricity bills are on the high side, and 91.5% of enterprises say that the rapid rise of costs is basically the rapid rise of labor costs. In the process, enterprises are eager to transform and upgrade. In this process, 64.7% of the enterprises face the lack of talents and technology. The biggest difficulty for 33.3% of enterprises is lack of funds. For the technological progress of the industry, night shift unattended is a technological breakthrough that the industry hopes to achieve as soon as possible. 42.7% of the enterprises believe that night duty can be promoted in the textile industry, but in the past five years, the development will be relatively slow. 36.9% of the enterprises believe that it can be promoted rapidly in five years. Although 95.9% of the enterprises believe that the industry is overcapacity, 57.4% of the enterprises believe that this excess capacity has both advantages and disadvantages. Some enterprises believe that without excess, there will be no competition and the industry will not progress.
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