Survey Of China'S Textile And Apparel Foreign Trade In The First Three Quarters

In November 19th, the round table of Chinese and American entrepreneurs was held in Beijing. There were more than 70 representatives from all circles in China and the United States. The participants agreed that China and the United States still have broad cooperation space in the economic and trade field, and the two sides should promote stable development of bilateral economic and trade relations and jointly safeguard the fundamental well-being of the two peoples. Sino US trade relations have great impact on China's trade. So what's the development trend of China's textile and clothing trade this year?

China's textile and clothing trade volume in September 2019 Two hundred and sixty-five point six Billion dollars, down 7.9% In which exports Two hundred and forty-five point two Billion dollars, down 7.6% Import Twenty point four Billion dollars, down 10.6% Trade surplus in that month Two hundred and twenty-four point eight Billion dollars, down 7.3% 。 China's textile and garment trade in 2019 1~9 Two thousand two hundred and five point three Billion dollars, down compared with the same period last year 3.2% 。 Which exports 202 billion US dollars, down 2.8% Import One hundred and eighty-five point two Billion dollars, down 6.8% Cumulative trade surplus One thousand eight hundred and thirty-four point eight Billion dollars, down 2.4% 。 Presenting the following characteristics:

First, the cumulative export decline in the first three quarters of the year.

In September, the impact of the United States on the total tariff increase on textile and clothing products began to show. The appearance of the monthly export growth and decline in the first 8 months was broken. In September, both the renminbi and the US dollar continued the downward trend in August.

While exports are blocked, the downward trend of imports is even more prominent. Imports fell for 5 consecutive months in 5~9 months, and the two digit decline occurred in 8~9 months. Cumulative import decline in the first three quarters 6.8% The speed is faster than the exit.

Since September 1st, the United States has begun to impose a 15% tariff on my $300 billion commodity (Listing 4), which includes most of the clothing and household textiles. In September, my exports to the United States decreased, including clothing and household textiles. 21.8% and 8.5% Total exports to the US decline. 20.1% The United States has also become the most important market in the month when exports fell by 4 percentage points. Part 3 excludes products, but the export volume is small, which is difficult to form effective support for exports.

By the end of October, the United States had excluded 12 of the products of the yarn and fabric that were related to my $200 billion product (Listing 3). According to the US import statistics, 1~9 imports the 12 tax number products from China in total. One point eight eight Billion dollars, accounting for only the total imports of China's textile and apparel in the same period. 0.5% It will not play a substantial role in helping exports recover.

Two, the proportion of general trade mode has increased, and private enterprises' export to the US has maintained growth.

In the first three quarters, the cumulative export volume of general trade rose to 81%, which further promoted the leading role of general trade in exports. General trade exports only declined by 1%, better than the same period of processing trade (down). 14.8% ), border trade (down 14%) and so on.

Private enterprises, as the backbone, form strong support for exports. 1~9 months, private enterprises export only slightly reduced 0.8% The number of export enterprises has maintained an increase of 7%, of which exports to the US have increased slightly. 0.1% The number of export enterprises increased by 3%, far exceeding the performance of state-owned enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises in the same period.

Three, all exports to the traditional market have declined, and the market is accelerating to diversify.

In September, exports to the EU continued to decline, the decline to 16%, resulting in a decline in overall exports. Two point eight A percentage point drag. 1~9 total exports to EU Three hundred and sixty-one point two Billion dollars, down 5.6% The largest drop in key markets. Clothing declined 7.3% The total export volume of needle woven garments in large categories decreased. 4.6% Export unit price fell. 3.9% 。

Britain's export process has been delayed for many times, and my export uncertainty has increased. Exports to Britain declined in the first three quarters. 8.5% 。

According to the EU customs statistics, in 2019 1~8 months, the EU imported textiles and clothing from the whole world. Nine hundred and nineteen point seven Billion dollars, down 1.2% Imports from China declined by US $29 billion 300 million. 1.6% 。 Imports from ASEAN and Bangladesh increased by 3% respectively. 3.9% 。 The share of Chinese products in the EU market is 31.9% , down from the same period in 2018. Zero point one A percentage point.

Since September 1st, 15% tariffs have been imposed on exports of garments and home textiles to the United States, and exports to the US in that month. Forty point seven Billion dollars, down 20%. The total yarn fabric decreased by nearly 30%, the export of needle woven garments decreased by 19%, and the export average price declined. 5.5% 。

1~9 months, I exported $35 billion 400 million to the US, down. 4.4% Among them, textiles declined. 6.1% Clothing decline 3.8% Home textiles growth 4.3% 。

In 2019 1~9, the United States imported textiles and clothing from the world. Nine hundred and forty-four point five Billion growth 3.1% Of which 31 billion 800 million US dollars have been imported from China. 2.6% 。 Imports from ASEAN, India and Bangladesh increased separately. 9.4% , 5.6% and 9.1% 。 The proportion of Chinese products in the US market is 33.7% , down from the same period in 2018. Two point one A percentage point.

After 3 consecutive months of growth, exports to ASEAN declined again in September. Fall month 9.6% Among them, textiles and clothing decreased respectively. 8.2% and 13.7% 。 1~9 total exports to ASEAN Two hundred and seventy-eight point five Millions of dollars 0.3% Among them, large categories of yarn and fabric grew by 3% respectively. 1.7% The export of needle woven garments decreased by 8%.

The Japanese market has shown signs of stabilization in recent days. Although exports to Japan decreased in September, the ring rose for third consecutive months, and exports to Japan in that month. Twenty-one point six Billion dollars, the highest monthly export volume in the year. 1~9 month cumulative decline in exports to Japan 5.2% In the traditional market, the performance is slightly better than that of the European Union. Exports of textiles and clothing decreased by 2% and 6% respectively, and the export volume of needle woven garments of large categories decreased. 7.4% Export average price increase 1.8% 。

According to Japanese customs statistics, imports and exports of textiles and garments in Japan in 2019 1~9 were 29 billion US dollars, a slight increase. 0.2% Imported from China One hundred and sixty point five Billion dollars, down 4.3% ASEAN has grown by 7%. The proportion of China's product market dropped to 55.4% , down from the same period in 2018. Two point six A percentage point.

While obstructing the export of traditional markets, the countries along the belt have become the main driving force of our export. In September, global exports declined, but exports to the "one belt and one way" country increased by 4%. In the first three quarters, the export of "one belt and one road" has been accumulated. Seven hundred and six point seven Billion dollars, only a slight drop. 0.1% This is basically the same. Central Asia, Western Asia and South Asia are major growth areas. The steady and orderly development of bilateral trade has increased the proportion of "one belt and one road" to our exports to 35%, and the market position has gradually increased.

Four, exports of textile and clothing have been reduced and chemical fiber products have maintained a slight increase.

In September, exports of textiles and clothing decreased and the decline was respectively 7.7% and 7.5% 。 Exports of major categories of yarn, fabrics, finished products, needle woven garments and home textiles all declined. 1~9 months, textiles and clothing decreased. 0.06% and 4.9% 。 The export of cotton, silk and wool products (including yarn, fabric and clothing) has been cut down by raw materials, especially the silk products have dropped by 50%. Only chemical fiber products are maintained. 0.4% The weak growth.

Five, the total exports of Zhejiang and Fujian maintained growth, and Hunan grew rapidly.

In September, exports from the top five provinces and cities all declined, except for Fujian, which dropped by more than or close to 10%. In 1~9 months, only five provinces and cities in Zhejiang and Fujian maintained their growth rate, respectively. 0.5% and 4.7% 。 Central Hunan, Hubei, Anhui and other provinces achieved rapid growth, especially in Hunan, where export growth exceeded 50% in seven consecutive months, with an overall increase of 76%.

Six is the continuous and substantial decline in textile imports.

In September, imports of textiles and clothing continued to decline, with textiles falling by 20%, falling for two consecutive months in fifth months, and falling by more than 20% in second consecutive months. Garment import recovery 7.6% Growth.

1~9 months, textile imports declined. 13.1% Of which yarn, fabric and finished products fell. Fifteen point two , 14.3% and 6.7% 。 Total import growth of clothing 7.2% Among them, the import and price of needle woven garments increased by 6% respectively. 4.1% 。

Seven, cotton imports continue to be substantially reduced, and domestic and foreign cotton prices are approaching.

Cotton imports continued to plummet in September, and imports reached a new low in the year. Only imports in that month Eight point three Ten thousand tons of cotton, year-on-year, down respectively 38.5% and 9.8% 。 1~9 month cumulative import One hundred and fifty-one point nine 10000 tons, growth 36.2% 。 The average import price is 1970 US dollars / ton, down. 2.2% 。 Imports from the United States Thirty point nine 10000 tons, down 34.9% After falling to Brazil and Australia.

According to the monthly report of China Cotton Association, in September, most of the cotton in the country was in bloom. Affected by adverse weather, Xinjiang cotton was slow growing, picking and selling slowly. Last year, because of low cotton prices, the enthusiasm of picking and selling in the mainland was not high. The processing enterprises are cautious in entering the market, and the overall purchasing volume is small. Estimated total cotton output in China Five hundred and ninety point five seven 10000 tons, down from the previous period. Eighteen point five 10000 tons, down compared with the same period last year 3.35% 。

The trade friction between China and the United States has eased. Meanwhile, the textile industry has entered the traditional peak season, and the demand for the enterprises has improved relatively. At the end of the month, the national cotton business inventories declined and the gap narrowed. At the end of the month, China's cotton price index (CC Index3128B) was 12608 yuan / ton, down 377 yuan from the end of last month, a decrease of 705 yuan, a monthly average price of 12962 yuan / ton, a decrease of 572 yuan, a decrease of 3351 yuan compared with the same period last year. International cotton prices rose slightly. At the end of the month, the price of both inside and outside cotton approached. China imported cotton price index FC Index M for all months Seventy-one point two five Cents / pound Zero point seven nine Cents / pound. At the end of the month Seventy-two point three one Cents / pound, higher than the end of the first month. One point one three 1% cents / pound, 12561 yuan / ton off duty, which is only 47 yuan / ton less than the domestic stock in the same period, which is reduced by 848 yuan / ton compared with the end of last month.