09 The General Situation Of The Textile Industry And The Prospect Of The 2010 Situation

Since 2009, China's economy has encountered the most serious difficulties since it entered the new century. We also passed the most difficult year since the financial crisis.

In line with Premier Wen's 16 character policy of "quick launch, hard to get out of the game, fair goal and realistic style", the state has promulgated a series of policies, including the implementation of a proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy. It has established the basic policy of ensuring growth, expanding domestic demand, adjusting the structure and benefiting people's livelihood, introducing ten major industrial restructuring and revitalization plans, structural tax reduction, supporting agriculture and benefiting farmers, and 4 trillion investment in basic projects.

It is precisely these policies that ensure that China's economy has maintained a 8.7% growth. China has taken the lead in achieving economic stabilization and recovery in the world.

The operation of cotton textile and dyed weaving industry in the past 09 years is generally speaking: the output, efficiency and investment of the products have been rebounded in an all-round way; the export situation is still not optimistic, and the economic returns have been revival, but the foundation for a comprehensive good turn to good is still unstable.

(1) most products continue to grow, production and sales rebounded month by month.

In the past 09 years, the output of the main products of the textile industry has increased significantly, the output of 2393 tons of yarn has increased by 12.7%, the output of chemical fiber has increased by 27 million 260 thousand tons, the increase is 14.31%, the increase is 12 percentage points, the growth is most prominent, the viscose fiber has increased 14.3%, the growth rate has reached 24.5 percentage points, the polyester fiber has 22 million 40 thousand tons, accounting for 80.8% of the total chemical fiber, the growth rate has also reached 14.5%; the wool yarn is 80.8% tons, the growth rate is increasing; the gross output of the woollen machine fabric is negative, the decline rate is slowing down by a percentage point.

Compared with the negative growth in the first half, the output of most products kept increasing month by month, and the production and marketing rate reached 97.6%.

The proportion of domestic sales increased year by year. In the past 07 years, the proportion of domestic sales of Enterprises above the statistical scale increased from 67% in 2000 to 77%, the proportion of textile domestic sales in 08 years reached 79%, and the proportion of textile domestic sales reached 09 in 09 years.

(two) exports of textile and clothing are still decreasing, but the decline is slowing down.

Textile and garment exports in 2009 amounted to US $171 billion 330 million, a negative growth of 9.65% over the same period last year, and the decline slowed by 1.37 percentage points.

In addition to maintaining only 0.27% in Japan and 3.44% in the US, the rest of the other countries have seen negative growth.

Exports to Hongkong fell by 12.9% and exports to Europe by 14.8%.

The total exports of clothing were 107 billion 50 million US dollars, down by 9.24%; from the annual analysis, the downward trend of exports slowed slightly.

The European Union, the United States, Japan, Hongkong and ASEAN accounted for the top 5 of the total exports, accounting for 65.3% of the total exports.

The export of cotton textiles and cotton garments decreased greatly, and the total export volume was 62 billion 602 million US dollars, a decrease of 12.77%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, of which the export of cotton textiles was 18 billion 14 million US dollars, a decrease of 13.48, a decline of 2.9 percentage points lower than that of the previous month, 68 billion 590 million US dollars of chemical fiber products, a decrease of 5.55%, and a serious decline in exports, reflecting the weak growth of the international market demand under the influence of the financial crisis, and the crisis still affecting the international economy.

(three) economic recovery

In 2009, 1-11 months of statistics, China's textile and garment industry achieved an industrial gross output value of about 3 trillion and 420 billion yuan, an increase of 9.7% compared with the same period last year, and the textile industry's profit reached 133 billion 150 million yuan, an increase of 25.3% over the 08 years, with an average profit margin of 40.39%, an increase of 0.59 percentage points over that of the same period last year.

The profit margins of other industries are rising. The chemical fiber industry has a profit of 11 billion 390 million yuan, an increase of 187.3%, and a profit margin of 3.3%. Compared with the negative profit rate of the same period last year, it has increased substantially, which may be partly due to the sharp rise in the price of cotton and wool.

Cotton textile industry and wool textile demand for chemical fiber increased, prices increased, viscose fiber prices increased by 40%; from the profit structure, 11701 cotton textile enterprises above Designated Size statistics, polarization is more serious, profits are mainly accounted for 1/3 enterprises completed.

1/3 enterprises (4186 households) completed a profit of 33 billion 20 million yuan, accounting for about 94.25% of the total profits of cotton textile industry, while 2/3 enterprises (7050) had a profit of only 708 million yuan, with an average profit of only 0.17%, which was basically in a state of deficit, indicating that most enterprises still faced difficulties.

But from the analysis of the whole industry data, in November, compared with August and February, it turned from negative profit growth to positive growth, which is a trend of gradual improvement.

(four) investment growth, investment in the central region quickening

08 years of financial crisis, the textile industry invested 272 billion 400 million yuan, an increase of 6.75%, a sharp decline of 19 percentage points over the 07 years; the central 4 trillion investment in infrastructure, livelihood industries and technological pformation of enterprises led the development of the industry, 09 years of textile industry investment 310 billion 200 million yuan, an increase of 13.86% over the same period, an increase of 7.1 percentage points, and investment rebounded significantly.

In the past 09 years, 324 items of national technical pformation have been invested, and 44 billion 100 million yuan has been invested, and the national interest rate is 1 billion 330 million yuan.

The cotton textile industry also showed an investment growth situation. The cotton textile industry invested 79 billion 420 million yuan, an increase of 11.25%, an increase of 17.1 percentage points compared with the 5.86% decline in investment in the same period last year.

Increasing investment in the central government to cope with the impact of the financial crisis has achieved initial success. The proportion of investment in the central region has continued to rise, while the proportion in the eastern and western regions has declined. However, the growth rate of investment in the eastern region has changed from a negative growth in May to a positive growth.

In 2009, the total investment in cotton textile industry increased, and the advanced equipment possession rate of the industry continued to increase. The national ring spinning cotton has reached 110 million spindles, and all kinds of compact spinning have reached 4 million 430 thousand ingots, an increase of 19.4% over the same period last year, an increase of 215 sets of blowing carding units, about 5000000 spindles of matching spindles, and an increase of 2152 sets of automatic winder, of which 1270 were imported, and the import volume decreased by 28.3% over the same period last year.

The shuttleless loom has increased more than 2.3 000 units, including 6015 imported units. Although the import volume dropped by 48.28% over the same period last year, the proportion of shuttleless looms increased from 42.10% in the previous year to 42.84% in the number of homemade shuttleless looms.

The rotor spinning machine imported 78 units, down 13.33%.

These latest equipment at home and abroad in twenty-first Century promoted industrial upgrading and technological progress.

Two, 2010 cotton textile industry facing the situation

(1) slow recovery of textile industry exports

At present, the developed economies such as the United States, the European Union and Japan have entered the recovery phase, but the economic recovery in the post crisis era will be weak and slow.

The rising unemployment rate, fiscal deficit and inflation expectations have increased the uncertainty of the growth of the developed economies, which will also restrict China's textile exports.

It is estimated that in 2010, with the further decline of the financial system risk in developed countries and the gradual increase of market confidence, the world economy will improve and the international market will also recover to a certain extent.

(two) domestic demand is still the main driving force for industrial development.

In 2010, China's macro-economy will continue to pick up, and the domestic demand market will become increasingly active. Its supporting role in the textile industry will be particularly prominent, and the market demand for clothing consumer goods will remain stable.

At the same time, the state's 4 trillion expansion of domestic demand will increase investment in the construction of affordable housing and the promotion of automobile consumption in 2010, providing a broader market space for household textiles and industrial textiles.

In 2010, China's textile and clothing domestic demand will continue to grow steadily since 2009, and the growth rate is expected to be further improved than in 2009. It will continue to play an important supporting role in the textile industry's recovery, and the domestic share of the industry will also stabilize at around 80%.

(three) industry development constraints still exist.

The textile industry picked up in 2010, but the foundation for stability is not stable, and there has not been any fundamental improvement.

Some uncertainties are facing:

First, the price of raw materials and labor has risen, and the price of crude oil and cotton has continued to fluctuate at a high level, driving up the price of chemical fiber and textile raw materials. The prices of production factors such as domestic labor force and energy power are also showing an upward trend, and the cost pressure of textile enterprises has increased significantly.

The two is financial credit. Although the domestic monetary policy will remain moderately loose in 2010, the central bank has announced the two increase in the deposit reserve ratio by 0.5 percentage points, and the trend of tightening monetary policy has emerged.

Three is the export environment, the rise of trade protectionism, anti-dumping, countervailing measures and other measures increased significantly, all countries are pointing to China.

In particular, enterprises that rely on low price and quantity competition are at greater risk.

The four is the pressure of RMB appreciation. With the rapid increase of US dollar liquidity, the pressure of RMB appreciation is increasing, which will further increase the difficulty of textile industry's export.

Five, it is difficult to recruit workers. After the Spring Festival, there is a shortage of labor force in the coastal areas. It is an indisputable fact that the intensity of labor in the cotton textile industry is great. The low wage level can not keep the wages in force, forcing the enterprises to raise their wages. This will become an important problem that troubles cotton textile enterprises' normal operation.

　　三、2010年棉紡織行業的發展要點

In the past 09 years, we have overcome many difficulties and maintained the growth of the textile economy.

For the impact of this international financial crisis, we must look at it from the perspective of development.

First of all, the international financial crisis has made a huge impact on the textile industry from outside, but in a sense, it also provides us with a clear understanding and efforts to solve the internal structural problems of the industry.

Whether it is the central government or the local government and enterprises, they feel the urgency of speeding up the adjustment of industrial structure and changing the way of development, which seems to be prominent in the textile industry.

Secondly, the international financial crisis will inevitably cause people to focus on the existing economic test and behavior.

Every big crisis will bring profound adjustments and changes to the world's mode of production, economic structure, political structure and people's way of life and ideology.

The international financial crisis will also bring profound changes to the world textile industry, which will provide a rare historical opportunity for China's textile industry to seize the new commanding heights.

This year, the "two sessions" put forward the issue of further adjusting the structure and changing the way of development, and took this issue as the key to industrial development in 2010 and even 12th Five-Year, as the focus of economic work of Party organizations and governments at all levels.

In the past, in order to meet the consumer demand of the masses, we focused on solving the problem of dressing and accelerating the growth of production capacity such as chemical fiber and cotton spinning. This is necessary in the early stage of development. However, this relatively extensive mode of development has brought about the pressure of raw materials, resources, electricity and the environment, resulting in high energy consumption, poor quality and low productivity.

In the new period of scientific development, it is necessary to find ways to neglect the utilization efficiency of resources and energy, blindly expand the processing capacity of low level, neglect the management of ecological environment, and rely on the export mode of economic development.

2010 is the last year for the implementation of the textile industry "11th Five-Year development". It is also the second year for the implementation of the textile industry readjustment and revitalization plan.

According to the overall layout of China's industrialization and the construction of a well-off society in an all-round way in 2020, the textile industry is determined to achieve the "five big changes" in the next ten years and build a strong textile country.

The specific path to achieve the five major changes is: first, change from relying mainly on the comparative advantage of labor force to relying mainly on innovation driven, improving the contribution rate of science and technology and the contribution rate of brand; two, changing from resource dependence to resource section, developing circular economy and low carbon economy; three, changing from ignoring environment to environment-friendly, vigorously developing clean production and green economy; four, changing from extensive production mode to modern intensive organization mode, developing large enterprises, pnational production and operation mode, improving the level of socialization of industrial clusters; five, improving the market order, paying attention to knowledge protection, strengthening industry self-regulation, and improving market efficiency.

Technological pformation is still an important task for enterprises to adjust and upgrade. Practice has proved that adhering to the path of expanding production with connotation, saving investment, short construction period and quick results is an effective way to revitalize and upgrade the textile industry.

"Textile industry adjustment and revitalization plan" clearly put forward the plan to eliminate backward equipment and capacity.

Recently, the National Development Document No. [2010]7 issued the notice of the State Council on Further Strengthening the elimination of backward production capacity. It proposed that speeding up the elimination of backward production capacity is a major measure to change the mode of economic development, readjust the economic structure, and improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth. It is also an inevitable requirement to take the road of new industrialization with Chinese characteristics and achieve greater industrial strength.

Having goals, tasks, responsibilities and punishments is an important task of all levels of government and industry organizations.

The cotton textile industry has dropped the previously announced elimination of all textile equipment before the founding of the people's Republic of China and the "1" prefix, and the "A" spun yarn machine has also been eliminated.

It also proposes to adopt "equal displacement" and "reduction replacement" to eliminate backward production capacity.

Governments everywhere have the task of decomposition, and the corresponding punishment measures can not be eliminated.

Although China's labor force still exists, but from the current trend, the labor price is increasing and the wage cost is rising. It is necessary to change from the labor cost advantage to the competitive advantage mainly driven by innovation, and the change from simple labor to complex labor is a necessary choice for the development of the enterprise.

1. Promote the pace of industrial upgrading through scientific and technological innovation

Industrial upgrading depends on scientific and technological innovation. Without innovation, there will be no development. Innovation means building up innovative mechanisms in almost all fields, no mechanism innovation, no talent, no new products and new technologies, and no innovation can be achieved without new ideas.

Technological innovation means reducing energy consumption and raw material consumption, reducing employment and improving labor productivity through new technologies and new technologies.

2, increase the added value of tons of fiber products, support the development and application of all kinds of regenerated cellulose fibers, high technology and a large number of functional and differential fibers; vigorously adjust the industrial structure, encourage the development of a variety of fiber blended yarn and fabric products; and focus on the development of industrial textiles.

At the same time, we should pay attention to the quality improvement and brand cultivation.

At present, under the baptism of the financial crisis, the textile industry from the raw material development to the terminal production and operation enterprises almost invariably attaches importance to the new product development work, and fully recognizes that the new product development and technological innovation are the fundamental way out for enterprises to overcome difficulties, seize the opportunity and occupy the commanding heights, thus putting a lot of manpower and material resources into it.

Cotton textile enterprises are in the middle link of the textile industry chain. The new product development singles are often difficult to be accepted by the market.

Therefore, cotton textile enterprises should attach importance to the strategic alliance of new product development with the upstream and downstream enterprises, so as to achieve the effect of information sharing, coordination and linkage, complementary advantages, saving investment, advancing step by step, and amplifying benefits.

At present, the energy consumption of China's 10000 yuan output value is still high, and the discharge and discharge of sewage can not meet the standards.

Cotton textile industry focuses on energy conservation and dyeing and weaving industry in terms of energy conservation and emission reduction.

We should continue to promote environmental sizing, and sum up the promotion of PVA free sizing technology and excellent enterprise experience.

Enterprises must attach great importance to putting the energy conservation and emission reduction work on the agenda and combine technological pformation with scientific and technological means to maximize the economic and social benefits by minimizing the cost of resources and minimizing environmental costs.

Another content of this meeting is to promote energy-saving fans and energy-saving equipment.

The change of a fan impeller will bring huge economic benefits to the enterprise. Many cotton spinning enterprises have already used it, and the effect is very good.

(seven) about the work of the Association

In 2009, the association has done a lot of work with the support of its members (see the work report).

In 2010, we will continue to uphold the purpose of serving our members. We will do better in safeguarding the interests of industries and enterprises, reflecting the voice of the industry, providing technical services for enterprises, and serving the government well.

2010 is the year of the current Council, and the new Council is scheduled to be elected in September.