Viscose Staple Fiber In September, The Trend Has Not Broken Down Million Yuan Mark
After several rounds of raising prices in recent years, viscose staple fiber has finally stood at tens of thousands of eight Highlands, and the market has shown a good momentum of production and marketing, and the inventory of enterprises is gradually decreasing. Some enterprises even have a tight supply situation. In view of the current market fundamentals, viscose staple fiber should also be bullish in September.
First, high cost.
Viscose staple fiber
At a loss, enterprises will have strong appetite for losses.
In recent years, cottonseed in China has been maintaining a low volume and stable price.
At present, only a small amount of seed cotton is picked in Hebei, Shanxi, Hubei, Anhui, Xinjiang and so on. Although cotton enterprises in some areas have acquired new seed cotton sporadically, but due to the large quantity of water and the limited number of listings, it is expected that a large number of new cotton seeds will be postponed to mid September.
Hebei Handan 20 water new hair seed factory price is 1.40 yuan, Shandong Xiajin 12 water wool seed ex factory price is 1.52 yuan, Hubei Xiangfan new hair seed, Hunan 12 water light seed factory price is 1.35 yuan / Jin.
At present the threat of cotton production reduction, cottonseed prices continue to stabilize and strong.
Cotton lint is scarce and local market is rising.
New cotton is delayed because of new cotton listing time.
Short pile
Delays in listing, the supply of domestic cotton lint has broken down, and the market purchasing atmosphere is slightly tense. Some manufacturers are waiting for the opportunity to raise their prices.
Xiajin area good quality cotton lint factory quoted price 9000 yuan / ton, mainly used for refined cotton, viscose staple fiber two cotton lint market mainstream quotation at 8300-8500 yuan / ton, mixed road down price in 7600-7800 yuan / ton, Xinjiang area price is low, two way pile trade price in 7000 yuan / ton, mixed road velvet is only 6700 yuan / ton, the price continues to rise.
Because the purchasing intention of downstream cotton pulp, viscose and other enterprises is not large, the actual shipment of short staple market is not obvious. However, the threat of cotton production reduction has also brought great benefits to the short staple market, and the price has repeatedly been high.
At present, the market quotation of mixed cotton lint on the market is around 7600 yuan / ton, according to the loss of 30%.
Short silk
The cost price of grade cotton pulp raw materials is 9880 yuan / ton, plus the processing cost of 3000 yuan / ton, the total cost price of short silk grade cotton pulp is 12880 yuan / ton. At present, the mainstream market quotation is only about 13000 yuan, less than 200 yuan profit space, and the survival ability of cotton pulp enterprises is badly hit.
Although viscose staple fiber has been quoted for several times, the current 1.5D premium price is 18100-18300 yuan / ton, and the mid-range is 17700-17900 yuan / ton.
However, according to the price of 13000 yuan / ton of cotton pulp, the production loss is 1.14, the raw material cost of viscose staple is 14820 yuan / ton, plus the processing cost of 6000 yuan, the cost of 1.5D viscose staple fiber is 20820 yuan / ton, and the loss is over 2500 yuan. Therefore, from a cost point of view, the viscose staple fiber enterprises continue to raise their prices so that the desire to turn around is very strong.
Two, viscose staple fiber and cotton prices are comparable, polyester staple fiber is also rising in a long way.
Viscose staple fiber and cotton belong to the two major cotton textile raw materials in China. There is a relationship between them.
Generally speaking, the cotton blending ratio of textile enterprises is determined by the production of orders. Textile enterprises have little room to choose, but some enterprises often adjust the proportion of viscose staple and cotton in spinning raw materials according to their own conditions, so as to produce high profit and low risk yarn varieties.
According to the data statistics, the difference between viscose staple fiber and cotton is generally reasonable between 3000-4000 yuan, and the price of the viscose staple fiber is quite low, which is far lower than the conventional loss. The relative cost of viscose staple fiber is much more significant.
Viscose staple fiber is a new favorite for yarn companies that seek profits and profits.
In addition, as crude oil prices bottomed out, PTA prices steadily strengthened, the market macroeconomic continued to be good, polyester staple prices all the way up, the current price of 9650-9750 yuan / ton.
Polyester staple fiber is also one of the raw materials of cotton spinning, and its price increase also stimulates the strength of viscose staple fiber.
Three, people cotton yarn profit space is abundant, sticky short continue to rise enough space.
In recent years, the overall sales situation of the cotton yarn market has generally increased by 300-500 yuan, of which the price of 30S cotton knitted yarn has risen to 25300 yuan / ton, and the price of 40S cotton knitted yarn is 26800 yuan / ton.
From the aspect of contractors, the price of viscose staple fiber is 18000 yuan / ton, for example, according to the spinning loss of 1.02, the raw material cost price of raw cotton yarn 30S is 18360 yuan / ton, plus the average processing cost of 4000 yuan / ton, the total cost price of 30S cotton yarn product is 22360 yuan / ton, and the mainstream quotation of 30S cotton knitted yarn Market in Jiangsu and Zhejiang market is 25300 yuan / ton, the price of woven yarn is 23500 yuan / ton, and the profit space is 1000-3000 yuan / ton.
Even if the price of viscose staple fiber is increased, from the cost point of view, the downstream cotton yarn enterprises can also bear it, which also supports the continuous rise of viscose staple fiber prices.
Four, the peak season has been opened in September, and viscose staple fiber is in short supply.
At present, after several quotations, viscose staple fiber market atmosphere has been opened, Shandong Hailong, Tangshan three friends and other manufacturers backlog stocks have been sold out, reluctant to sell serious psychological.
With the coming of the peak season in September, the sale of the cotton yarn market will also be opened. The sale of all kinds of fabrics will also stimulate the sale of viscose staple fiber.
At present, all viscose staple fiber enterprises are full of horsepower production, and the stimulation of the high season market also gives viscose enterprises a lot of confidence.
According to people familiar with the matter, the viscose staple fiber Conference on 10 may also deliberate on the price increase.
Combined with the above factors, viscose staple fiber is expected to rise in September.
- Related reading
Sales Analysis Of Main Staple Fabrics In China Textile City In September 9, 2010
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