Ren Zhiqiang: Housing Concept Needs To Be Changed
China The price of housing is not the result of speculation, but the result of demand promotion. On the 2010 China real estate big river forum, Ren Zhiqiang, chairman of Huayuan Group, and chairman of Huayuan Real Estate [6.88 -0.72%], once again called "Lei Ren".
The proportion of two housing units is not high.
Ren Zhiqiang said, we all think it is.
Fry the house
People scrambled house prices in China. From data analysis, the proportion of second shelters in 2005 was 8.8%. From 2005 to 2008, we only increased by 0.9%, and the whole proportion was 9.5%. Some of them were used for rent, some were used for accidental residence, and only 19%, and then 5%, only two.
In casual residence, low income families have the lowest rate of casual living, while the proportion of renting residents is the highest, while high income families are the opposite.
This situation shows that not the people who fry the house have high prices in China.
At the same time, overall, the total number of second housing units is not.
Very high
It is not because wealth is owned, it has a certain proportion in different income families.
Then, what factors affect housing prices? Ren Zhiqiang believes that one is the division speed of families, the two is the urbanization rate, the three is the production of houses, and the population problems and land structure problems will also affect housing prices.
The supply of existing housing is in short supply.
Ren Zhiqiang believes that the acceleration of urbanization and the rapid increase of urban population and the rapid division of family speed make the existing housing area unable to meet the demand.
Ren Zhiqiang said that according to a famous American geographer, the rate of urbanization is more than 30%, which is an accelerated growth.
The average rate of urbanization in the world is more than 49%, while the rate of urbanization in China is only 46%, and at least 10%.
The accelerated split of families and the high population of young adults make housing demand grow rapidly.
Ren Zhiqiang said that the number of small families will increase significantly, while the number of households in large families will be greatly reduced, so that the demand for housing will grow dramatically.
It is predicted that by 2030, the total number of Chinese population may reach 1 billion 460 million, and the demographic dividend will not be pformed until 2020. The real estate market may still be ten to twenty years old.
Housing production is the root cause of rising housing prices.
Ren Zhiqiang said, from the urbanized population structure of China, we can see that now the city has six hundred million or seven hundred million people, two hundred million or three hundred million families, and we can only produce less than 5 million houses.
Such a supply and demand relationship means that only 2% of people can buy housing.
And the multiplied growth of housing production just shows that marketization has enabled everyone to have a house to live in, rather than say that marketization makes everyone do not have a house to live in.
Housing needs to be changed
Ren Zhiqiang said, from the housing situation, our country has so far averaged an average of more than 80 square meters, indicating that our pace of development has a fairly long cycle.
The reason is that when we were young, we did not have the ability to end up spending at all. The conversion process from small houses to large houses could relieve the pressure of buying houses, and gradually replacing them did not affect our consumption.
However, the new deal has broken the rules of housing consumption. Ren Zhiqiang said that in the "new ten countries", especially for the two housing restrictions, it broke the process of developing from small to large, from old to new. This is precisely the fact that all countries in the world have gone through such a process.
Ren Zhiqiang pointed out that our current situation is that the proportion of housing ownership has been very high, not without housing, but we have a high proportion of two generations and three generations under the same roof.
Therefore, China's housing problem is partly a question of Chinese people's housing concept.
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