Cotton Price Down Domino &Nbsp; Hurt Cotton Farmers Bitter Cotton Enterprises.
Uncle in his hometown to do small agricultural business, in the past few years, he often heard lamented that business is not good, no more than 10 years ago.
However, uncle made a cotton purchase last year, and made a profit in the big market. The cotton purchased from 3 yuan, 4 yuan and more Jin eventually sold for six or seven yuan a Jin.
His mood suddenly became very clear.
A year passed, and it came again.
Cotton acquisition
Season.
But this year, uncle did not buy Cotton in large quantities. First, cotton prices were low this year, and some cotton farmers were reluctant to sell.
If I hadn't predicted the risk ahead of time, my uncle would have lost money.
Cotton as a commodity related to the national economy and the people's livelihood, its price has always been a concern, but in recent years, the ups and downs of the market, cotton farmers are probably the most injured.
However, the final impact is the cotton industry chain. The ups and downs of cotton prices bring the Domino effect of the whole industry.
Cotton price "roller coaster"
Cotton growers and hot money have the most say in cotton prices in recent years. They have experienced the joy of price rise and suffered the pain of the crash.
But this joy and pain can only take turns in just a few months.
Cotton prices in recent two years are just like the stock market, rising and falling.
Last year's cotton price once became the focus of attention. People used "Crazy" to describe it.
China cotton information network shows that cotton prices last year were the highest in 10 years. Cotton prices experienced 3 typical stages in 2010, that is, gradually rising, rising sharply, and falling down steadily.
Unginned cotton
The unit price rose from a minimum of 3 yuan to more than 5 yuan to a maximum of 5 yuan, and the highest price rose to nearly 8 yuan. However, the soaring prices began to drop sharply in mid November from the middle of September.
In November last year, domestic commodities fell across the board, and cotton fell the most.
In 2011, cotton was next to the roller coaster.
Cotton prices began to plummet shortly after the moderate recovery in the first quarter.
Because of the large quantity of cotton stored in the past year, cotton prices seem to have no room for improvement. At present, the unit price of seed cotton still stands at around 4 yuan.
There are many factors that affect cotton prices, but in such a big fall, besides the factors of speculation, the imbalance between supply and demand is also one of the biggest causes of cotton price fluctuations.
Of course, it is also closely related to the international market.
The cotton farmers have been hurt.
Cotton prices fluctuate.
industry chain
The top cotton farmers were hurt.
When cotton prices are high, cotton farmers blindly expand their planting area, but when cotton prices fall, they are helpless.
According to the China Cotton Association monitoring, in 2011, the total area of cotton planting in China was 80 million 180 thousand mu, an increase of 4.1% compared to the same caliber. It is estimated that the output of cotton in China will reach 7 million 380 thousand tons, an increase of 11% over the same period last year.
But because of the slump in cotton prices, cotton trading is no longer the same as last year.
The rise in the first three quarters of last year made cotton growers very confident, because they seemed to be confident that cotton prices would continue to rise. But this year, they are more of a "flower" in the fog.
As we all know, planting cotton needs to pay a variety of costs, including fertilizer, pesticides, manpower and pportation. Cotton prices have plummeted and reduced their incomes, which has also greatly dampened their enthusiasm for planting cotton.
Like cotton farmers, there are also cotton spinning enterprises in the middle and lower reaches of the industrial chain, especially small and medium-sized enterprises.
Cotton prices will continue to be pmitted to downstream industries such as weaving, printing and dyeing, clothing and home textiles.
According to relevant media reports, in August of this year, Changle, the largest cotton textile base in Fujian Province, had the reputation of "Textile City".
This phenomenon has also appeared in other regions.
Cotton prices fluctuate, so that the acquisition and processing of cotton to stop and stop, inventory is increasing, but it is difficult to sell, textile enterprises at high levels of raw materials, so that the price of products has been rising, so far has not yet been digested, from the March cotton prices gradually declined, the order volume decreased.
In an interview with the media, a senior executive of a textile enterprise said that whether cotton prices are soaring or falling, cotton spinning enterprises have never been able to get any benefits.
Even small and medium sized enterprises that have a good boat turn are also suffering from the unbearable pain brought about by cotton prices.
The downstream garments are booming.
Cotton farmers and cotton companies are sad about cotton, but consumers are questioning the price of clothing: why do the downstream farmers are suffering from rising clothing prices while the upstream cotton farmers are selling cotton at low prices?
At the end of the autumn, it is the peak season for autumn and winter clothing sales. When we enter the shopping malls and clothing stores, we can see that the price of autumn and winter clothing has gone up a lot this year, and there are thousands of yuan at every turn. Compared with the feeling that the past few hundred dollars are expensive, consumers are no longer able to keep up with the pace of price rise.
In the market, it is hard to find a winter dress less than 500 yuan.
It is said that all kinds of brand clothing not only will not cut prices, but may continue to rise.
Prices rose by more than 10% over the same period last year.
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Reporters repeatedly asked why clothing companies are so expensive to buy clothes nowadays, they all get the same answer: no way, cotton prices have gone up. But the price of clothing is rising. Is cotton really the culprit?
Maybe that's part of the reason.
If cotton prices can play a decisive role in clothing prices, then cotton prices also have a sharp fall, why clothing is still showing an upward trend every year?
A friend in the clothing business in Jiangsu told reporters that the increase in clothing prices was mainly due to the increase in production costs and shopping malls, and the impact of cotton prices on clothing prices is a long cycle.
In fact, most of the cotton used for clothing production in autumn and winter this year comes from high priced cotton.
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