"Order Shortage" And "Labor Shortage" Are Superimposed On &Nbsp; Testing Labor-Intensive Enterprises.

Recently, China's export situation is not optimistic. Some industries, especially textiles, are not optimistic.

"Order shortage" encountered

"Order rhythm disorder" exacerbated "labor shortage"

In recent years, due to the situation at home and abroad, recruitment difficulties and labor shortage have not been a rare phenomenon. However, some enterprises are surprised that although the number of overseas orders taken by enterprises has not increased or even declined this year, the difficulty of recruiting workers has not improved. This is in sharp contrast to the past situation of excessive orders, tight employment and fewer orders.

"After 18 years of business, now is the most confused time."

Guo Xianhua, executive deputy general manager of Dongyuan kitchen utensils company in Shunde, Guangdong, started from a husband and wife store.

As a small and medium-sized labor-intensive enterprise with no more than 500 workers, he now faces the plight of lack of people in the busy season. The reason is that he has a direct relationship with the "complete rhythm of the order".

"When European and American economies were normal,

According to the analysis of enterprises, because the main export market status has not changed, the recent crisis in Europe and the United States is likely to aggravate the fluctuation of labor and employment in China and even create a shortage of labor shortage this winter and spring.

Cao Xiaojian, deputy general manager of Jiangsu sainty Limited by Share Ltd, said that since the beginning of this year, Europe and the United States have been constrained by their slow economic recovery, and buyers' purchasing intentions have been very weak. Insufficient orders have forced the considerable number of export enterprises in China to maintain a low level of employment while greatly reducing the adjustment and adaptability of the manufacturing chain.

"With the depletion of inventory, the consumption of consumer goods in the US and Europe is likely to have a gap period in the next spring, and local buyers will not rule out the possibility of adding a large number of urgent and short lists to Chinese enterprises, plus the coming Spring Festival next year, when the urgent shortage of Chinese enterprises is increasing."

He said.

Transfer or pformation to test labor-intensive enterprises

Faced with the superposition of "order shortage" and "labor shortage", some experts and market participants believe that, influenced by many domestic factors, it is difficult for traditional labor-intensive enterprises to respond simply by raising wages and increasing welfare.

Wu Yingxi, deputy director of the business liaison office of the Shandong Provincial Department of Commerce, which has long followed the business and market dynamics, said that the causes of "labor shortage" are complex, and that the employment orientation of the new generation of migrant workers has changed dramatically, which is one of the important factors.

From the perspective of Shandong's large labor force Province, young "post-90s" migrant workers appear to be more likely to be redundant in the cities, unwilling to work in the countryside, preferring to get low wages in the service industry, unwilling to earn overtime pay in the manufacturing industry, preferring to struggle in cities and unwilling to enjoy in the countryside.

The "shortage of orders" also makes China's large number of traditional processing export enterprises' ability to "raise prices" seriously limited.

In the 110th Canton Fair held from October to November, many enterprises reflected that due to the weak international demand, merchants in Europe and America generally did not want to raise their prices substantially, and the cost of raw materials increased. The space for enterprises to raise labor prices was more and more restricted.

At present, the employment of traditional labor intensive enterprises in the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta region has begun to appear "aging" demand.

Many enterprises have changed their employment habits to the "literacy workers" aged 35 to 50 years old, and men and women are not restricted.

Wang Hongli, Vice Minister of production and Protection Department of Shenzhen Federation of trade unions, believes that with the approaching of the aging society, the total amount of labor supply in China will gradually decrease in the future. Expanding the age range of employment can not fundamentally solve the problem. Enterprises should either upgrade or pfer, and there is no other way out.

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Must follow the follow-up effect of labor intensive industry pformation

However, the same way, different industries, the choice may be completely different.

Some market participants believe that China's low-end production capacity in some labor-intensive industries dominated by consumer goods such as shoes, clothing, bags and so on will be pferred overseas; while electronic consumer enterprises may shift to the central and western parts of the country; compared with the large and medium-sized private enterprises, the pfer of foreign enterprises will be more powerful, and the desire for pformation of the former will be more intense.

Cao Xiaojian said that from the perspective of international industrial pfer, due to the high cost of pportation, textile, clothing, shoes and other traditional labor-intensive industries generally set up factories in coastal areas. "From the current situation, the trend of accelerating the pfer of these industries from China to the coastal areas of neighboring countries and regions is more obvious.

In the future, the competitiveness of Chinese local enterprises in these industries will be mainly reflected in the high-end products. "

In addition, because a considerable part of the capacity of these industries is completed by multinational enterprises, these factories are obviously constrained by international capital demand and are more sensitive to the increase of labor costs. Therefore, the speed of pferring to Vietnam and India is also accelerating. Nike's production capacity in Vietnam is more than China's example.

At the same time, some private enterprises have chosen the path of upgrading and pformation.

Take the Guangdong Nanhai Zhao Xin group as an example, the firm resolutely closed its 4 shoe factories and plunge into the new energy industry. The responsible person of the enterprise said that only by "reluctantly giving up" can enterprises find their way out in the dual attack of "order shortage" and "labor shortage".

Looking forward to the future, whether industrial upgrading, enterprise pformation and pfer can really solve the employment and employment situation behind the "labor shortage" and change the "shock wave" are the concerns of many people.

Some experts say that the focus of guiding the industrial pformation and upgrading is placed on the enterprises. There is not much consideration for the employment needs and ideas of the workers. "It is very likely that the workers may not be willing to follow the enterprise after the pfer of the enterprises, and the enterprises are upgrading the workers who are not necessarily" upgrading ".

In addition, the fluctuation of employment may increase further in the future. If we do not consider it in terms of policy, it is very likely that the "surplus" of laborers will be aggravated in coastal areas, and the social pressure brought by them should not be underestimated.