The Fifth Textile Economic Forum Will Pulse The Future Trend Of The Industry.

In December 11th, hosted by the China Textile Industry Federation, the Fifth China was hosted by Wuhan Textile University and China Textile Economic Research Center.

This forum has awarded the 2011 China Textile Economic Thesis Award, and the 31 papers on the regional pfer of China's textile industry and the evaluation of the domestic competitive environment.

China Textile Economic Forum is an economic large-scale academic activity organized by China Federation of textile industry. It has been successfully held for the 5 time.

It is reported that the forum will be held in Beijing next year.

New changes in China's economic form in the late industrialization era

The global economic crisis, which started in 2008, has led to a historical pformation of China's economy.

The development factors that China's economy relies on are gradually weakening, and China's economy has gradually changed from "middle and late industrialization" to "late industrialization".

At present, China's economic construction is in the historical stage of pformation from "middle and late industrialization" to "late industrialization".

This is the consensus reached by experts attending this forum.

In the theme report of "12th Five-Year" China's economic and social development trend and the innovation and development of textile industry, Wang Wei pointed out that the past 30 years, China's economy has made rapid development, and the global economic crisis that started in 2008 has led to the pition of China's economy to a historical pition.

The development factors and support force of the past development of China's economy are gradually weakening, and China's economy has gradually shifted from "late industrialization" to "late industrialization".

"China's economic development pattern is undergoing a series of new changes."

Subsequently, Wang Wei made a detailed analysis of China's economy in the pformation stage.

First of all, China's economic development momentum is weakening.

Although the eastern economy still occupies half of China's total economic growth, the economic development speed of the eastern coastal areas such as Shanghai and Guangdong has obviously lagged behind the western region since 2010.

Secondly, the development mode of manufacturing industry mainly changed in the past.

According to the law of international economic development, in the later stage of industrialization, China's economic development will shift from manufacturing to manufacturing and service industries.

Again, investment and export "two carriages" power slowed down.

In the third and fourth quarter of 2011, the growth rate of China's foreign trade declined sharply. At the same time, the contradiction between supply and demand caused by large-scale investment was constantly emerging, and China's economy began to rely on the domestic demand market.

In addition, the extensive development mode in the past is facing pformation.

China's economic development in the past, relying on low cost advantages, ignoring environmental costs and overlooking the total volume of development, is facing bottlenecks in the development of labor costs and resource and environmental constraints. China's economic growth is urgently needed to develop in the direction of structural adjustment and industrial upgrading.

China's textile industry has a long way to go

In 2012, the political election and government succession of major countries will occur simultaneously, and there will be more uncertainties in the global economic governance structure.

In addition to the overall macroeconomic impact, China's textile industry is facing many specific constraints.

Under the background of big economic pformation, China's economy will face more uncertainties in 2012.

"In 2012, China's economy will face more economic and political uncertainties."

Wang Wei said.

The impact of the current economic crisis continues to evolve deeper and deeper, accompanied by a slow recovery in the global economy and a longer recovery process.

With the uncertainty of the global economy, the political elections and government succession of major countries in the world came into being in 2012. This determines that there will be many unpredictable factors in the governance structure of the global economy next year.

Li Zuojun also believes that China's economic development will face more uncertainties in 2012.

First of all, he said, next year, China's economy is facing a tight liquidity problem.

In order to stimulate economic growth, the 4 trillion investment plan launched by the central government will come back in the second half of this year and next year, and many investment returns have not yet appeared.

Secondly, China's trade exports face new challenges as the RMB enters the fast lane of appreciation.

Although there is a short-term phenomenon of the appreciation of the US dollar against the renminbi, there will be no major change in the appreciation of the RMB against the US dollar, which will have a huge impact on China's economy, especially on trade exports.

Finally, next year, Chinese finance faces the risk of rapid withdrawal of hot money.

"Historically, all the economic crises in Asian countries are related to the rapid withdrawal of international hot money."

Li Zuojun said, "at present, the international liquidity in China's financial market is in a rush, and there is a risk of rapid withdrawal."

China's macroeconomic environment has a direct impact on the development and operation of the manufacturing industry. For China's textile economy, there are still more specific factors for the development of the industry.

Wang Wei pointed out that as one of the industries with the highest degree of marketization, China's textile industry is facing greater pressure of pformation and upgrading.

The development of textile industry depends on the three resource elements of raw materials, labor and capital.

More importantly, the textile industry is facing more pressing environmental pressures.

On the one hand, China will formulate more stringent energy conservation and emission reduction standards in the future, and the environmental costs of textile industry will continue to increase. On the other hand, China's textile exports will be large. With the improvement of environmental protection requirements of the international community, Chinese textile will suffer more green restrictions.

"China's textile industry must take the road of sustainable development with resource conservation and environmental friendliness."

Li Zuojun said.

Facing opportunities and challenges to develop modern industrial system

In the future development strategy of building a moderately prosperous society, the textile industry has always played a supporting role.

The realization of the four strategic objectives of science, technology, talent, brand and sustainable development is the core and basis of industrial upgrading and structural adjustment, and is also the inevitable requirement for the construction of modern textile industry system.

Du Yuzhou pointed out in the thematic report of "the textile industry - China's pillar industry for building a moderately prosperous society in all respects". The Sixteen Party members decided to concentrate on building a better development strategy for a better level of social welfare in the first 20 years of twenty-first Century.

Textile industry, as an important livelihood industry, will always play a traditional pillar role in this period.

He said that China's textile industry will face two opportunities and challenges in the future.

First, the new opportunities to expand domestic demand and the challenge of higher demands for domestic demand.

The two is the new opportunities for the deepening of the scientific and technological revolution and the challenge of fighting for the commanding heights of the industry.

China's textile industry should be soberly aware of the new opportunities for the adjustment of the world economic structure and strive to adapt itself to the new position of the global division of labor.

"In the post financial crisis era, people are sober up from the concept of debt consumption, and countries will inevitably experience the challenge of structural adjustment of the world's real economy."

Du Yuzhou said.

Under such circumstances, the new development of globalization will not only go out of China's textile industry, but also deepen the reform of its own system and mechanism, and industrial upgrading is the inevitable trend of the driving force of China's textile and garment industry.

Deepening reform and opening up is still a driving force for the textile industry to grow from strong to strong, which is conducive to giving full play to its comparative advantages, and actively opening up to the outside world, exploiting two kinds of resources at home and abroad, and developing two international and domestic markets.

The overall requirement of China's "12th Five-Year plan" for the development of consumer goods industry is upgrading and upgrading.

Textile industry should adapt to the changing market demand and develop the comparative advantage of China's industry in the global economy in accordance with the new trend of scientific and technological progress, and develop a modern industrial system with structural optimization, advanced technology, cleanliness and safety, high added value and strong employability.

Du Yuzhou pointed out that China has entered the stage of the average level of per capita national income in the new era, and the absolute superiority of the textile industry cost has been weakening. We must take the innovation capability as the core, improve the comparative advantage, and actively create new advantages to participate in international economic cooperation and competition.

Textile industry innovation is currently in fierce competition and against the current situation. External pressure and endogenous driving force will jointly promote the upgrading of the textile industry.

Du Yuzhou also emphasized that the main achievements of the new scientific and technological revolution are to popularize traditional industries, which is conducive to accelerating the upgrading and upgrading of traditional industries, enabling industrial innovation to gain momentum from the source, adapting to the upgrading of consumption structure, and creating new consumer demand and new development space.

The new technological revolution has changed the mode of production, the way of life, the way of consumption and values, and constantly generated new development space for industrial innovation, so as to enhance the ability of innovation to become the core of industrial upgrading.