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    The Basic Direction Of The Reform Has Been Decided. The Cotton Temporary Storage System Will Be Closed.

    2014/1/6 10:32:00 93

    CottonTemporary Storage SystemReformDirect Subsidy

    < p > cotton temporary storage and storage system that has lasted for three years will be closed in 2014.

    It is reported that in the 2014/2015 cotton season, the state will direct subsidies to cotton farmers. First of all, Xinjiang will be a direct subsidy pilot and will not be subsidized in other parts of the country.

    The cotton market has been released.

    Market prices will gradually replace the previous "state purchase and storage price, throw reserve price, market price, import price four prices jointly dominate the market" situation.

    < /p >


    < p > the message has been confirmed by the Secretary General of the Dezhou Cotton Association of Shandong, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/" > Ma Jun Kai "/a".

    He said that the national a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_f.asp" > cotton policy < /a > after several rounds of research, although not publicly stated, but the internal news from Beijing, the basic direction of the above reform has been determined.

    "The time for the state to launch the new cotton policy should be before March of this year.

    Since April is the new cotton planting season, the new deal must be released ahead of the sowing season.

    < /p >


    < p > however, this information has not been confirmed by the relevant ministries and commissions of the state and the China reserve cotton Management Corporation (hereinafter referred to as the "central storage cotton").

    The head of the comprehensive Department of the Central Cotton Storage Department told the Economic Observer newspaper in January 2nd that the official documents issued by the relevant ministries and commissions of the country have not yet been issued, and that the specific circumstances of policy changes are not yet clear.

    < /p >


    < p > the insiders of Xinjiang cotton enterprises have also received relevant news that the state will subsidize Xinjiang cotton farmers, stop purchasing and storing, and liberate the cotton market.

    The general manager of Xinjiang Kuitun Junggar Cotton Industry Co., Ltd. < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/" > Dong Ming Ming < /a > 2, told the Economic Observer newspaper that it was heard that the direct subsidy of Xinjiang cotton farmers would be launched in late February and early March.

    The news is that the cotton field subsidy per mu is about 200 yuan. He thinks Xinjiang has a larger planting area and the mainland is relatively fragmented.

    So we will first consider subsidized Xinjiang.

    < /p >


    < p > < strong > New Deal direction < /strong > /p >


    < p > Xinjiang Shihezi cotton grower Ma Suxin contracted 1400 acres of cotton fields. He said that if the state subsidized cotton farmers to 200 yuan per mu, it would be equivalent to eliminating the cost of employees.

    If the total price is up to cotton, it will be about 7 cents per kilogram.

    In April of this year, he will continue to grow cotton when the new planting season comes.

    < /p >


    < p > but the cotton farmer Qi Pu of Yang Zhuang Town in Wucheng, Dezhou, Shandong is totally different from Ma Suxin. In October 2013, he planted nearly four of his family's 6 acres of cotton fields with wheat and corn, leaving only a few old cotton varieties.

    Because since 2010, planting cotton has made him feel time consuming, Fei Gongqian and not making money, so it is better to save money by planting wheat and corn.

    With no support policy from the state, cotton planting was abandoned.

    < /p >


    < p > Qi Zongpu calculated an account. Planting cotton, the market price last year was about 4 yuan per catty, which is the price of losing money. Cotton price can be flat at 5 yuan per catty. If we want to have a profit, the farmers' psychological expectation should be around 6 yuan per catty.

    Moreover, planting cotton for 5-6 months can become cash, while planting corn and wheat, although making money is much less than planting cotton, but saving labor and saving labor, we can use "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/business/ "> machine farming" /a "and harvest, and the rest time can go out to earn money for work and come back when harvest.

    < /p >


    < p > Qi Zongpu said that the cotton planting in Xia Zhuang town where he was located was reduced by 2/3 compared to 2010.

    Not only that, around Hebei, Henan and other provinces, cotton planting area also showed a downward trend.

    In the northwest of Shandong Province, only about 1/5 of cotton farmers are left.

    < /p >


    < p > Ma Junkai said that the direction of the new cotton policy of the state will start a direct subsidy for cotton farmers, first of all considering the Xinjiang area.

    The mainland will not subsidize for the next few years or temporarily.

    In Shandong, Henan, Hebei and other provinces, cotton is planted when it is willing to grow.

    After the liberalization of market prices, the state still has the system of collecting and storing, but it is not necessarily implemented.

    When the price of cotton is lower than that, the state only stores and stores cotton.

    Other circumstances are implemented according to the market price.

    < /p >


    < p > Ma Junkai analysis, from the national perspective, Xinjiang cotton accounts for 50%-60% of the country's total output.

    As long as the output of Xinjiang is guaranteed and a part of the outer cotton is imported, the supply of raw materials will be enough. The farmers in the mainland may gradually abandon the planting of cotton instead of grain.

    This is what the country wants to see.

    We must ensure grain cultivation first.

    < /p >


    < p > cotton merchants Ningbo vice president of the future import and Export Co., Ltd. < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/ >" Li Qun first < /a > to the Economic Observer newspaper said that the future direction of the cotton industry is sure to be reformed.

    First of all, the cotton purchase and storage system is a temporary system which should have been stopped long ago.

    Since the implementation of the national cotton temporary purchase and storage policy, the domestic cotton price has been even more than 4000-5000 yuan per ton.

    This is a very serious consequence.

    The general direction or the market should decide the allocation of resources.

    Second, national food security should be placed in a more important position than cotton.

    Cotton production for several years, people will not have no clothes to wear.

    Third, for cotton farmers' subsidies, according to international practice, agricultural subsidies are limited in quantity. For example, the grain subsidy is added to the maximum amount of 180 yuan per mu, which is the upper limit.

    This year's cotton policy has not yet been formally promulgated. How to reform is the most reasonable basis.

    < /p >


    < p > < strong > industry chain with time needed > /strong > /p >


    < p > "cotton market is completely liberalized, which is more desirable for cotton textile enterprises. Let cotton prices be close to the market, the cost of textile enterprises will be lower, the price of raw materials will not be so high, and cotton textile enterprises will not be so dissatisfied.

    In terms of the environment, the advantages of domestic textile enterprises can also be more obvious.

    Domestic prices are close to foreign prices, and industrial chain advantages can be revealed.

    Previously, high cotton prices concealed many domestic industry chain advantages.

    Shandong Wucheng De Yuan Cotton Textile Co., Ltd., responsible person, < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/" > Yang Hongwen < /a >, said to the economic observer.

    < /p >


    < p > but Yang Hongwen also has some concerns that if the subsidy is made in Xinjiang and the mainland does not subsidize or partial subsidies, the cotton planting area in the mainland will definitely continue to decrease.

    The cotton processing enterprises in the mainland will merge, restructure or even go bankrupt. Textile enterprises may have some difficulties in purchasing cotton raw materials.

    < /p >


    < p > Yang Hongwen's other worry is that the cotton market will be liberalized. If the market is too fast and the price will drop sharply, the cotton textile enterprises will suffer too much, because many cotton textile enterprises have a large stock, preferably a slow integration process, which is conducive to the adjustment of the industrial structure of the textile enterprises.

    < /p >


    < p > Yang Hongwen's current inventory in Shandong Wucheng teyuan company. The output of cotton yarn finished products has not been sold for 1 and a half months, and cotton cloth has not been sold for about 20 days.

    These products are products produced at high prices of raw materials.

    However, the cotton textile enterprises surrounding Wucheng have more high inventory enterprises and relatively large stocks.

    They do not want the price to go down too fast.

    < /p >


    < p > "I hope it is a slow integration process, giving a href=" http://www.91se91.com/business/ "> cotton textile enterprise < /a > an adjustment time.

    Yang Hongwen held such hope.

    < /p >


    < p > recently, Dong Li Ming was busy bringing people into storage of machinery and products. They planned to leave their staff home for the new year after January 10th.

    "If the direct subsidy is implemented in Xinjiang this year, the price of cotton will be released, and the state will stop buying and storing temporarily. If the market price is purchased, the cost of the company will drop somewhat.

    The market price of cotton is estimated to fall below 8 yuan per kilogram.

    The purchase price of cotton has reached 9 yuan per kilogram in 2013.

    Coupled with the delay in the storage and purchase of the state in Xinjiang, his capital occupation reached a maximum of 100 million yuan.

    Only keep the processing fee. "

    Dong Liming said.

    < /p >


    Yin Guangyu, general manager of Shandong Wucheng cotton and hemp Group Co., Ltd., in 2013, was very sad to say that "P > cotton processing is the main business." 2014 is not so good.

    Many local cotton processing enterprises have changed, and some have even changed to battery cars, and some have changed to cotton processing machinery.

    Cotton processing enterprises almost all lose money, the cost is high, and cotton is difficult to collect.

    Dezhou Wucheng Xiajin can not get cotton, at least 20% reduction in cotton purchase.

    They managed to acquire imported cotton and Xinjiang cotton last year, or buy some cotton from Hebei, Jiangxi, Hubei and Gansu provinces, which is relatively expensive.

    < /p >


    < p > Ma Junkai said that after the implementation of the national a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_q.asp" > cotton industry new deal < /a >, the cotton planting area in Dezhou area in 2013 was about 1 million 100 thousand mu, and in 2014 there might be about 700 thousand acres of cotton planted.

    By 2015, there will probably be 30-40 mu.

    Cotton processing and textile enterprises, which lack technological content, will also go bankrupt. This year, they may fail 1/3, and they will probably fail more in the next 5-10 years.

    < /p >


    < p > > deputy general manager of Wei Qiao textile, "a href=" http://www.91se91.com/pioneer/ "Cai min /a", said to the Economic Observer newspaper that the new cotton trade policy launched by the state will definitely affect the whole industry of the cotton industry, which is a major policy adjustment of the industry. For the enterprises, it is necessary to respond positively, as the market changes.

    < /p >


    < p > cotton traders have been judging the trend of the national cotton policy.

    Li Qunxian said that according to the judgement of Ningbo's future, cotton traders did not make money this year because of prices and quotas.

    This year, the state is expected to open a new deal in cotton industry, including stopping the purchase and storage, making direct subsidies to Xinjiang cotton farmers and liberalized the market. At the same time, it is possible that the quota will not be issued this year, or the total quota will be less.

    The central reserve cotton will seize the last chance of dumping this year, and the estimated price will be maintained at around 18000 yuan per ton.

    < /p >


    < p >, so Li Qunxian's Ningbo future company did not enter cotton this year, but started the < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/business/" > cotton yarn business < /a >.

    They imported a large amount of cotton yarn in November last year, and estimated that they could earn about 1500 yuan per ton.

    < /p >

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