The Prosperity Of The Textile Market Is Still Not High.

< p > here the world is < a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" target= "_blank" > clothing < /a > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/" target= "http://www.91se91.com/".

< /p >

< p > in the first half of 2014, the textile raw material market showed a "V" shape.

According to the business data, the textile index was 990 points by the end of June 30th, a decrease of 7.82% from 1074 points (2013-02-19) of the cycle, up 6.45% from the 930 lowest point on 2012 07, 01.

(Note: cycle refers to 2011-12-01 to date).

Compared with 1023 points in January 1, 2014, the total fell by 33 points, or about 3.22%.

< /p >

< p > January, textile enterprises were beset by shortage of orders, raw materials, labor cost and so on. The demand side did not improve significantly, and continued to decline in 2013.

At the time when it was supposed to hit a 3 year low, there was a "counterattack" in mid May.

Mainly by the PTA, acrylonitrile, viscose staple fiber and other chemical fiber factory maintenance price increases the entire market.

< /p >

< p > from the half price list of textile and bulk commodities in the business community, we can see that in addition to the PTA industry chain and the acrylonitrile industrial chain market, the remaining textile raw materials are floating all over the world, thus we can see that the prosperity of the entire textile market is still not high.

< /p >

< p > < strong > equipment maintenance acrylonitrile led "dark horse" < /strong > /p >

< p > according to the statistics of the rise and fall of textile commodity prices in the first half of 2014 (1.1-6.30), the largest increase was acrylonitrile, with a half annual increase of 8.73%, an increase of 11.45% over the same period, while acrylic fiber ranked the second place in the cost drive, and 6.21% in the half year.

The centralized maintenance of acrylonitrile plants failed to start in time. The tight supply of goods on the market stimulated the rapid rise of market prices.

However, as manufacturers resume production, and downstream demand has no obvious signs of improvement, the market outlook is not optimistic.

< /p >

< p > < strong > temporary withdrawal and withdrawal policy dropped 11% over the half year, < /strong > < /p >

The price of P > cotton fell most in the whole textile and fall list, more than 11%.

In April this year, the state abolished the temporary purchase and storage policy and implemented the target price policy. Now the supporting rules for the new cotton policy have not yet come to the ground, and the market is expected to have strong expectations.

The order of downstream enterprises is very cautious, mainly based on the purchase of cotton reserves and imported cotton.

At the same time, imports of cotton decreased. In 1-5 months, China imported 1 million 200 thousand tons of cotton, down 45.1% from the same period last year.

The cotton farmers' enthusiasm for cotton planting in the mainland further declined. In 2014, the national cotton sowing area was 63 million 241 thousand mu, a decrease of 9 million 15 thousand mu compared with that of the previous year, a decrease of 12.5%.

At present, the financial pressure of cotton enterprises is still in the market, the market sentiment is low, and the cut down production is still rising. The market is waiting for the "direct subsidy" rules to be promulgated.

Before the launch of new cotton in September, the national cotton reserves will continue to operate in the domestic market, and cotton prices will fluctuate around the 17250 yuan / ton of throwing and storing prices.

< /p >

< p > < strong > PTA after the low innovation, the 35 day increase was over 20%, /strong > < /p >.

Since the beginning of May, the PTA factory has lost its production and maintenance since its extreme loss. The load has been reduced from 87% to 62%. At the same time, the three largest PTA suppliers have changed the way of settlement of the contracted goods, and the contracted supply of contracted goods for the downstream polyester enterprises has been in short supply. The price in the market has been rapidly rebounded from the lowest price in 3 years, and the increase has been over 20% in the short 35 days. P

The price of raw materials PX continues to soar, and the time limit for production of PTA enterprises will be prolonged under the circumstances of increased costs. The tight supply pattern will not be completely reversed in the short term, and the short-term market will remain strong.

However, the demand of downstream textile enterprises is still insufficient. The polyester factories are weak and the cost pfer ability is weak.

< /p >

< p > > therefore, Xia Ting, a textile industry analyst, believes that the textile market outlook is still not optimistic, because of many unfavorable factors such as insufficient market demand, high price difference between inside and outside cotton, import yarn impact, excess capacity of chemical fiber and shortage of enterprise funds.

At present, the PTA industry chain basically faces good factors unchanged. In the first half of 7, the strong market will still pull up the entire textile market.

But with the weakening of cost support, the aggravation of supply and demand contradiction and the traditional textile off-season, the market will weaken in late July.

Supported by the traditional "golden nine silver ten" consumption season, it stabilized in 9 and October.

Fourth quarter to the beginning of the year, with the downstream enterprises shutting down, raw materials inventory is high, the market will fall.

It is expected that in July, the textile index of the business community rose 10 points again. It began to drop to 980 in late July. In 9 and October, it will oscillate around 970-980 points, and the fourth quarter of the fourth quarter will continue to drop to 940.

< /p >