The Market Index And The Plates Are Not Getting Better.

This week, the stock market was in a dilemma. The market index and the various sectors did not continue to rise unilaterally in the first few weeks, because there were some negative factors or reasons for shorting.

First, the SFC announced the new rules for new financing households, and the proportion of its own funds should not be less than 100%.

This provision is reasonable and conducive to market stability, but the market is interpreted as a negative factor in capital market. Secondly, the first batch of stock issued by new stock is still using the old method of freezing funds in advance. Many retail investors have cut off their positions this week to prepare for the subscription of new shares next week. Thirdly, the recent case of penalty manipulation Stock Price issued by the SFC has a certain shock effect on the private sector and other edge ball behavior. Similar behavior has been monitored and suppressed, the market activity has declined, and volume is difficult to enlarge.

Fourthly, the probability of raising interest rates by the Federal Reserve will increase significantly next month. The market has an inexplicable panic. From a bad perspective, it can understand the interest rate increase in the United States next month, so that many dare not build large positions. Fifth, since October, there has been a certain increase in both the subject stocks and the brokerage bank shares, the profit taking plate needs to be digested, and the technology needs to be adjusted.

The stock market will enter next week.

During the prospectus stage, this week is also the date of stock index delivery. However, when the central bank lowered the effect of "standing loan convenience" and reloan interest rate, the stock market and both sides were evenly matched, temporarily balanced and stable.

Until these huge sums of money have been issued,

It will slowly rise again, and many will eventually dominate.

Although these factors have a negative effect on the four quarter rally, these factors can not overtake the overall pattern of a long majority since the fourth quarter.

The big pattern is in the era of low interest rates, and the new share price increases after the sale of new shares.

In the near future, there is a very popular and common saying, not buying.

What is it? Some people believe that the central government's new round of rescue of the real estate market, the inventory control policy and the second child policy will attract funds to the real estate market.

I believe that the new round of central inventory control measures can not restore the old era of universal speculation, real estate prices from the majority of cities in the country, there is no room for continuous rise, nor in line with the central government's real estate policy intentions.

More than 90 key cities in the country stock 680 million square meters of commercial housing, inventory sales for 16 months.

In the north, upper, wide and deep cities, house prices have indeed risen in the near future. However, under the classified regulation and non cancellation of the difference control policy, the substantial increase in house prices will be opposed by the majority of the people of all strata, and not in accordance with the central regulation policy.

Therefore, it is impossible for China to resume the era of universal speculation again.

China's excess savings and idle funds, in addition to some of the fixed rate of return financial markets such as bonds, a considerable portion will gradually flow into the two tier stock market or primary market.

Although it is difficult to judge what will happen tomorrow, the day after tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, we can not resist the temptation. We have credit paper money, not gold money, and no reserve appreciation function. We can only manage our money, invest and share stocks in order to touch our gambling game and Practice and test our intelligence quotient.

This is the main reason why the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets still have a steady rise despite their negative themes.