Can China'S Economic Growth Be Stable?

Enterprises involved in international trade should be resisted by market means.

Risks such as financial derivatives.

From the reality of the pressure of capital outflow in China, it is necessary to further open the domestic market and appropriately increase the relevant policies to attract capital inflows.

Judging from the composition of Trump's pitional government, the economic intention is obvious.

Some people are the giants of the economic world. They will be more sophisticated.

The future impact on China is mainly in two aspects, the first is trade and the second is investment.

The problem now is not that the GDP growth rate is too low. The key is that we are worried that we will continue to have a downward trend and have little confidence in the future investment prospects.

If the GDP growth in 2017 will remain stable, the overall growth rate will be maintained in the range of fluctuations.

It should help stabilize the exchange rate.

In addition, exchange rate is the reaction of price, and price depends on supply and demand.

From the point of view of the bank's foreign exchange settlement, it is now a net sale of foreign exchange, that is, the market demand for foreign exchange is relatively strong.

If the policy can be adjusted to make the market supply and demand more balanced, the RMB will not be greatly devalued.

I believe 2017 will probably do a little better than 2016.

Moreover, the depreciation rate of RMB against the US dollar in 2016 is already small. Now it should be said that it is at a reasonable equilibrium level.

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The key is to see how to change the market's expectations of continued devaluation through supply and demand and the adjustment of economic operation.

I believe that enterprises involved in international trade should resist the risks of exchange rate through market means, such as financial derivatives.

From the reality of the pressure of capital outflow in China, it is necessary to further open the domestic market and appropriately increase the relevant policies to attract capital inflows.

We should further strengthen the opening up of foreign direct investment in service industries, and promote the orderly opening of the service industry, especially in the key areas such as finance, telecommunications and pportation.

Secondly, moderate expansion.

And opening up the money market to foreign investment, gradually expanding the opening of the securities investment field, expanding the quota of qualified foreign institutional investors in a timely manner, and streamlining the approval process.

Third, we should further improve the management system of foreign debt and cross-border capital flow under the framework of macro Prudential Management, and appropriately relax corporate borrowing and foreign debt restrictions.

Considering that the market participants' willingness to settle foreign exchange is relatively stable, the scale of foreign exchange settlement is shrinking further. It is necessary to encourage export enterprises to actively settle foreign exchanges through various channels in the future, so as to stimulate the enthusiasm of foreign exchange settlement.

At the same time, the management of capital outflow should be tightened appropriately.

Such as personal investment in foreign industries, real estate investment and securities investment should be cautiously promoted.

We must continue to strengthen macro Prudential Management and strictly limit speculative demand for foreign exchange purchase.

I believe that the future purchase of the threshold and tightening of bank credit will make the hot city market demand into the wait-and-see period, coupled with the cardinal effect, the hot urban property pactions year-on-year growth rate may be a significant decline.

In some cities where the price trend is slowing down and the implementation of individual policies is bigger, the housing prices may decrease.

In conclusion, in the light of the current economic situation, the next step is to increase investment in infrastructure, while implementing a multidimensional and steady growth policy to form new investment demand.

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