Analysis Of The Reasons Why Akesu'S Long Staple Cotton Processing Factory Is Rather Cold In The Near Future
The near future
Long-staple cotton
Easy to fall and difficult to rise, the acquisition process of enterprises should be vigilant.
At the moment
cotton
Picking is close to 60%, and some good quality long staple cotton is on sale.
As of October 9th, the mainland 137 class long staple cotton came out of the warehouse at a price of 21000-21200 yuan / ton, up 200-300 yuan / ton compared with the end of September, and for long staple cotton.
market
Form support.
But in recent years, the attitude of the long staple cotton processing factory in Akesu is rather cold, and the enthusiasm of purchasing is not high.
The person in charge of a factory said that they only bought about 100 thousand jin a day, and rarely exceeded 200 thousand jin.
Other enterprises started to weigh only about 20%, and most of them stayed on the sidelines.
A market participant analyzed the reasons:
1, the area of Xinjiang's long staple cotton is much larger this year. According to some enterprises in Xinjiang, the area of Awati county is only 1 million 160 thousand mu this year, accounting for 52.7% of the Akesu area. The Akesu long staple cotton is definitely more than 2 million 200 thousand mu this year.
In addition, the output per unit area of seed cotton has increased considerably this year.
From the recent cotton farmers picking situation, the unit yield is generally 310-320 kg / mu, an increase of 100 kg / mu compared with last year.
2, the demand for long staple cotton is not increasing this year. According to the feedback from textile enterprises in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Hebei, in recent two years, most of the enterprises do not make money or lose money because of the rising cost of cotton.
More than 50% of the enterprises have adjusted the structure of raw materials, and some enterprises have changed from producing pure cotton yarns to blended yarns, especially some high yarn enterprises.
For example, the production of combed 80S yarns in a spinning mill in Jiangsu accounted for 60% of the total amount of long staple cotton used before, and now dropped to 10%.
The head of the plant said that the use of long staple cotton in China was 6.5-7.0 million tons in the past year. It is estimated that this year's growth will not increase in 7.2-7.5 million tons.
3. Recently, the risk of falling down of Xinjiang's fine staple cotton is mainly due to the high cost and late risk.
Up to now, the cost of newly processed Xinjiang cotton has reached 15700-16000 yuan / ton, and downstream textile enterprises do not recognize it. Recently, a few cotton ginning mills have reduced the purchase price of seed cotton to reduce costs.
Market analysis of long staple cotton prices rising reasons: first, during the national day, fine cotton prices rose faster.
Second, due to weather reasons, the listing of long staple cotton has been postponed slightly this year. Some of the ginning plants have a strong wait-and-see mentality.
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