Fall, Fall, Fall! Textile Business Is So Bad. If People Drink Water And Know How To Warm Themselves, This Is The Real Textile Market.
Since May, all kinds of raw materials, dyestuff The news of dyeing, environmental protection, shut-down, production and production stopped. In view of the uncertain factors of dyeing, the order of the textile enterprises is more cautious. Raw materials and other production and operating costs continue to rise, in theory, will be paid by terminal consumers. However, because of fierce competition in the market, overcapacity, consumers do not buy, inventory backlog and other problems, some downstream factories do not dare to shift production costs hastily. Faced with such difficulties, the most direct strategy for downstream factories is open source and throttling.
The peak season of textile market may be just a false impression. A group of scientific data shows everything.
Evaluation of the overall prosperity index for May 2018
(the graph has been declining since January)
The "China Keqiao textile index" in May 2018, the total prosperity index closed at 1358.35 points, down 3.11%, down 5.22% compared with the beginning of the year, down 6.48% compared with the same period last year. (the chart above shows the general trend chart)
First, circulation is decreasing, and the circulation index is smaller than that.
In May 2018, the total market circulation index closed at 1150.82 points, down 0.59%. In May, due to the contraction of downstream demand, the product marketing in the traditional market showed a decreasing trend in the spring, and the spot sales and order delivery in summer were smaller than that in the traditional market. The sales volume of the public products was down compared with that of the public, and the sales and marketing contracts were shrinking.
1, the circulation benefit index fell.
In May, the market circulation efficiency index closed at 1664.65 points, down 1.88%. The market is down, the north and South merchants subscribed for a shorter contract, and the spot products in spring were lower than before. In the summer, the order of the popular fabrics was partially reduced, and the demand for the domestic market of the textile city was shrinking, because the turnover volume of the fabrics decreased, which led to a decline in the circulation efficiency index in May.
2, market circulation capital turnover rate index fell
In May, market The turnover rate of circulating funds closed at 2554.93 points, down 3.53%. In the circulation market, the spot product turnover in spring decreased, and the spot sale and order delivery in the summer were partially retracted. In some small and medium-sized businesses, the spot volume and order delivery volume of the public products decreased, and the demand for domestic demand decreased, and the volume decreased. In spring and summer, the volume of running products, small batch, multi varieties, middle volume spanactions and large volume spanactions showed a certain downward trend, thus stimulating the market circulation capital turnover speed index down.
3, the turnover index is smaller than the index.
In May, the market turnover index closed at 1109.08 points, down 0.27%. Because the downstream demand of popular products is shrinking, the circulation of mass products in the circulation market has dropped in the spring, the delivery volume of local fabrics in the summer has decreased locally, the demand for domestic products has been shrinking, and the turnover of public products has declined. Under the premise that sales volume is down, the turnover in May has fallen.
4, the circulation confidence index is rising slightly.
In May, the confidence index of the circulation market closed at 982.61 points, rising by 0.06%. (1) the index of the profitability of varieties was smaller than that of the index: in May, the market value index of the variety market closed at 973.48 points, down 0.14%. Because of the decline in the domestic demand market, the volume of spot products in the spring decreased, and the volume of spot sales in the spring decreased. In the summer, the volume of products sold in the public market was insufficient, and the price of the traditional products in the popular market decreased, which caused the circulation market to identify the index of variety profitability. (2) the index of circulation operation outlook is smaller than that: in May, the market value index of the trading market closed at 1010.24 points, rising by 0.38%. In the traditional market, the spot sales of innovative fabrics in recent years have been rebounded, and the order of creative products in the autumn has taken place. The order of new style products has been rebounded, and the demand for domestic demand has been rebounded.
Two, the company's orders shrink, the production boom continues to fall.
In May 2018, the total business climate index closed at 1502.56 points, down 4.89%. In May, the production and sale of some textile and dyeing enterprises continued to shrink, and the starting rate of textile printing and dyeing enterprises was still limited. The production boom index fell. With the completion of the dye industry in Northern Jiangsu, the market once again welcomed the rising tide of prices. In May 14th, Zhejiang Longsheng issued a notice of price adjustment, announcing that the price of some dyestuff products should be adjusted. In recent years, the price rise of chemical raw materials can be seen as vigorous. For example, POM rose 1906 yuan / ton; TDI broke 30 thousand yuan; MDI rose 1500 yuan / ton; dye rose 77%.
In May, upstream dyes once again welcomed the rising tide of prices. Under the constant stop production and double increase of sewage charges, the raw materials necessary for chemical, chemical fiber, textile, printing and dyeing industries will rise in price. With the continuous improvement of environmental protection efforts, printing and dyeing enterprises production costs continue to increase, printing and dyeing enterprises will appropriately raise fees. In view of the uncertain factors of dyeing, the order of the textile enterprises is more cautious. Raw materials and other production and operating costs continue to rise, in theory, will be paid by terminal consumers. However, because of fierce competition in the market, overcapacity, consumers do not buy, inventory backlog and other problems, some downstream factories do not dare to shift production costs hastily. Faced with such difficulties, the downstream factory's most direct response. strategy Undoubtedly, it is open source and throttling.
1, the company's orders shrink, the production scale index continues to fall.
In May, the production scale index closed at 2121 points, a decrease of 5.34% compared with the annulus, and the demand for weaving enterprises decreased. The orders of popular fabrics continued to decline, and the output of jet weaving and knitted fabrics decreased. Cotton, linen, other chemical fibers, blended materials and natural fiber grey fabrics, chemical fiber grey fabrics, blended fiber grey fabrics, and polyester cotton, polyester, viscose, polyester, nylon and cotton fabrics were on an uneven trend of decline, and prices fell.
2, the output of public products declined, and the sales index continued to fall.
In May, the corporate sales revenue index closed at 2060.56 points, down 6.24%. As the output of mass products in textile and garment enterprises continues to decline, orders for running volume products continue to shrink, domestic demand orders shrink, and sales revenue continues to decline. In the spring of May, the output of public product enterprises was shrinking, the volume of products sold in the summer was insufficient, and the sales and sales decreased.
3, corporate confidence index is rising.
The confidence index in production boom closed at 920.55 points, rising 1.96%. Among them, the manufacturing enterprises' market demand index has closed at 940.37 points, rising by 3.84%. Because of innovation products, domestic demand, foreign trade orders increased. For production enterprises, the number of orders for creative products in the summer increased, and the output of innovative products in the home textile industry increased in the autumn. The spot trading increased locally, and the delivery of orders increased. This led to a rise in the index of market demand for this phase of production.
Three, the next total prosperity index forecast
In June of 2018, the textile industry in Keqiao District of Shaoxing city showed an overall trend of ring back contraction. Due to insufficient domestic demand, the adjustment and conversion of textile products continued to expand. In the summer, mass product marketing will show a downward trend, and the order of the autumn varieties will not show enough, which will lead to a slight decline in the June prosperity index.
Issued by: Ministry of Commerce of People's Republic of China
Establishment: China Light Textile City Construction Management Committee
"China Keqiao textile index" Preparation Office
afterword
Behind the slogan "world textile sees China and Chinese textile is in Keqiao", there is a deep industrial gene. As the largest textile enterprise in China, there are nearly 10000 kinds of textile enterprises in Keqiao, with an annual output of more than 300 tons of chemical fiber, 16 billion 200 million meters of printing and dyeing cloth, more than 100 million garments (sets), and an annual export of over 10 billion dollars of textile fabrics. Its textile industry accounts for 10% of the total economic output.
Keqiao textile index is enough to explain the trend of the whole market. It is understood that Fujian Shishi knitting market In May, it entered the off-season, and several big cattle enterprises in Shandong began to take a break this year. Many orders in printing and dyeing factories in Shaoxing are seriously inadequate. How are businesses doing? dyestuff Under the environment of soaring prices and rising prices everywhere, Xiaoshao dyeing and printing enterprises are rather cautious and dare not increase their prices rashly. In fact, the courage to raise the biggest price is enough business! In the specific time of the environmental storm, the production and production stop production is short, the supply and demand are out of balance in a short time, and the small factory can not meet the demand, resulting in the frustration of selling the warehouse and increasing the price.
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