Who Will Be The Biggest Harvester In The Golden Age Of Textile Industry?
< p > entering 2014, although the spring breeze of economic system reform is coming to the surface, but the a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > textile < /a > the enterprise has the external factors and the pressure of its own pformation, and is not optimistic about the economic situation and its own development expectations.
Therefore, at the ninth annual meeting of the China spinning Roundtable forum held recently, when some economists confidently claimed that the textile industry will usher in a new golden period of development in the adjustment and pformation, the industry can not help asking themselves: who is the prepared person, who is the "right person", who can laugh last and finally get the pot of gold?
This forum is like a telescope, allowing participants to view the future fullness in the real sense of bone. It is like a kaleidoscope, depicting the colorful new prospects of the industry for everyone. Fortunately, it is like a magnifying glass, let us see that the industry must break the old and build new, adjust the inertia and bottlenecks.
Now let's share with you some of the brilliant ideas and exclusive analysis.
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< p > < strong > macro situation judgement: comprehensively deepen the reform and bring the textile industry into a new historical development period < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > Jia Kang: comprehend three "core concepts" < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > giving full play to the vitality of mixed ownership < /strong > < /p >
There are three very important core concepts in the decision of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on a number of major issues in deepening the reform in the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee (P). The three core concepts form a complete logical link.
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< p > the first core concept is the first time to clearly put forward the idea of modern state governance.
The word "governance" is different from the previous management regulation: the emphasis of management regulation is from top to bottom, while governance emphasizes the interaction of multiple subjects and forms a set of institutional arrangements and mechanism links with the greatest tolerance.
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The second core concept of < p > is the emergence of modern market system many times in the decision.
This is the first reference to make the market play a decisive role in the allocation of resources.
I believe that modern state governance must match the modern market system.
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The third core concept of < p > is to establish a modern financial system.
In the third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee, we proposed that we should improve legislation, clarify responsibilities, reform tax system, stabilize tax burden, pparent budget, improve efficiency, establish a modern financial system, and give full play to the two initiatives of the central government and local governments.
We should improve the budgetary management system, improve the tax system, and establish a system that suits the responsibilities and responsibilities of expenditures.
From these requirements, it is obvious that it contains rich contents, and it also involves a series of problems in tackling difficulties and supporting coordination in a series of reforms. It serves the modernization of national governance, and enables unified market to play a decisive role in optimizing the allocation of resources, promoting social equity and building a system of long-term governance for parents.
In a word, it serves and supports the overall situation of reform. It is the institutional dividend that we must grasp in achieving the strategic goal of modernization and the Chinese dream.
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< p > government must take finance as the foundation and important support for national governance. Under the constraint of modern financial system, the government should neither be offside nor absent, make its functions rationalized and do what it should do, so that the modern market system can get the best operation and make the modern state governance exert its potential and vitality.
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Under the logical link of < p >, we can see that the Third Plenary Session clearly put forward the concept of mixed ownership for the first time in the new policy of deepening economic restructuring in the third plenary session.
Of course, the mixed ownership economy is not what we have created. Some western economists, such as American economist Samuelson, have long suggested that many countries' economies are mixed economies, which include both public ownership and private ownership, both government departments and private sectors.
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< p > this mixed ownership development will become an important form of realization of China's basic economic system, because they are more dynamic, more creative, and more able to achieve unity of responsibility and power. Therefore, this means that by introducing non-public and non-state-owned capital, the state-owned capital can be effectively reformed, so that state-owned capital can grasp the great direction of the national economy and not lose it, while guaranteeing the lifeblood of the national economy, it can also stimulate the vitality of state-owned capital.
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< p > < strong > Yao Jingyuan: the four pressures are suspended in the current < /strong > < /p >.
< p > < strong > comprehensive reform, five in one, < /strong > /p >
< p > China's economy is now in the critical stage of pformation, mainly in three aspects: the "shifting period" of growth rate, the "throes" of structural adjustment, and the "digestion period" of some side effects of economic policies in the past.
Therefore, we are faced with many difficulties.
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< p > one is the downward trend of the economy, and the slowdown of growth will bring about many problems, such as increasing employment pressure, reducing financial revenue and corporate profits.
The two is overcapacity. The CPC Central Committee and the State Council clearly stated that we should pform and upgrade a batch, digest a batch, eliminate a batch, and pfer a batch.
But there is a price to solve the problem of overcapacity. The price is to lose certain economic growth.
And the downward pressure of the economy is also a pressure, and the state must stabilize the growth rate of the economy.
So for China's economy, this is a difficult problem.
The three is the deterioration of the ecological environment. The root cause of environmental deterioration is our growth pattern. Therefore, we urgently need to change the way of growth.
The four is the risk of local debt. Many local governments hope that the land premium will repay the debt.
At the same time, some governments borrow money to do image projects, performance projects and no benefit projects, and their willingness to repay is not strong enough.
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< p > to solve these problems, we must deepen the reform in an all-round way.
Comprehensive reform is the five in one of politics, economy, culture, society and ecology. The reform of the five in one is focused on economic restructuring, and the key to economic restructuring is to play a decisive role in the allocation of resources by the market.
Therefore, in the future, any system of mechanisms that will play a decisive role in the allocation of resources in the market will be strengthened, and those who obstruct and bind the market to play a decisive role in the allocation of resources will be the object of reform.
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Under the background of comprehensive deepening reform, China's textile industry will usher in a new historical period of development. < p >
Play a decisive role in the allocation of resources to the market, and those industries that rely on administrative monopoly and special resources will face severe tests. The textile industry has been developing in the market economy in the past, and the development environment of the textile industry will be further optimized in the future.
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< p > < strong > industry status judgment: the critical period of the new and old growth mode pformation has arrived. < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > Zhang Yansheng: it is imperative to "five pformations" < /strong > < /p >.
< p > < strong > "five deficiency" bottlenecks need to be solved < /strong > < /p >
There is a saying in < p > "decision": we must deepen the reform in a comprehensive way at a new historical starting point.
For textile people, what kind of new historical starting point do we stand on?
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< p > 2005, the RMB exchange rate system reform and the appreciation of the RMB have risen to the present level. In the same year, the global textile < a target= "_blank" href= "http://www.91se91.com/" > clothing < /a > quota system was abolished. However, the Chinese textile industry is subject to 242 sections, and still faces trade sanctions and conflicts. The goods can not go ashore when they arrive at the port.
In 2012, factor costs rose, global demand shrank and production capacity was seriously overloaded, cotton prices hung upside down, RMB appreciation accelerated and labor costs increased, friction intensified, and industrial reunification and industrial external pfer generated by re industrialization in Europe and the United States.
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< p > however, in 2012, the growth rate of R & D expenditure in textile industry accounted for GDP ratio was the best in the past 10 years. The new employment in urban and rural areas was the best in the past 10 years. The performance of the textile workers in the past 10 years tells us who will take the initiative in the early structural adjustment.
Therefore, from this perspective, we suddenly find that the textile workers in the past few years have indeed stood in the new era of productivity growth in the form of adjustment and pformation.
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< p > now the textile industry is in a critical period of pformation of the old and new growth mode.
2012 is the critical point of the new and old development mode. Over the past 30 years, the low cost driving mode, the simple imitation mode, the large-scale production mode, the extensive high carbon mode and the manufacturing leading industry mode are turning to the optimized combination mode of the elements, innovation driven mode, high quality, small batch, customization and e-commerce mode, low carbon mode, and the mode of R & D and market leading industry to solve the bottleneck problems such as technology, talent, order, financing and standardization order, and the textile industry will usher in a new "golden 30 years".
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At present, the pformation and development of textile industry urgently need to solve the bottleneck problem. P
These bottlenecks are called "five deficiencies".
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< p > lack of technology.
For this problem, I think we must first open up innovation and solve our technology shortage through global cooperation.
The second is the introduction of advanced technology concepts, management concepts, development concepts, advanced innovation processes, and advanced innovation practices in the United States, Japan and Europe.
The third is localization, in order to meet the textile pformation and development needs for technology.
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< p > second lack of talents.
Textile industry is a labor-intensive industry, and how to improve labor productivity.
We find that vocational education and technical training have become more urgent than any other period.
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< p > third missing orders.
The purchasing network of multinationals has been sold and sold globally in the past, and has begun to turn to order around us, and products are sold domestically in China.
At this time, we are faced with the problem of how to make channels, how to make networks and how to make brands.
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< p > Fourth lack of funds.
How can we enter the textile industry on the basis of reasonable financial cost? How can we solve the problem of direct financing and indirect financing? How can we provide medium and long term financing products, markets and channels for the development and innovation of textile industry in backward areas?
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< p > fifth lack of standardization.
In the first 35 years, "pition, pformation, and crossing the river by feeling the stones".
The next stage, whether enterprises, industries or the whole country, must move towards the rule of law, fair competition and pparency.
What vision will the textile industry develop in the next 35 years?
The textile people should explore and practice step by step with action.
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< p > < strong > Gao Yong: "four difficulties" are quite variable. < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > steady increase is not easy. < /strong > /p >
< p > 2013, the overall development of China's textile industry is relatively stable, showing a steady growth trend.
But we learned from the survey that last year was a very difficult year for enterprises. The main reasons for the analysis were four aspects: < /p >
< p > 1. China's textile industry has entered a stage of sustained low growth.
From last year's income and profit growth of China's textile business owners, the situation seems to be better, but the growth rate of major products such as yarn, cloth, chemical fiber and clothing has slowed down obviously.
In the planned economy period, the growth of industry must be much higher than the growth of GDP in the whole country, so as to support the growth of GDP throughout the country.
Although the development of the third industry exceeds second industries, the growth rate of the textile industry last year can not fully meet the needs of the textile industry.
At the same time, the growth rate of investment last year has also been greatly reduced, which has also become one of the difficult factors in the operation of the industry.
In addition, the impact of raw materials on the development of the whole industry is more and more obvious.
Cotton's national acquisition policy has been going on. The continuous domestic cotton price difference has a huge impact on the textile industry, resulting in greater impact on the cotton textile industry than other industries.
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< p > two is the adjustment of enterprise structure.
The current situation has led to the concentration of orders, profits, including capacity.
Especially in the cotton textile industry, knitting industry, clothing industry is more obvious.
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< p > three is the increasingly serious situation of energy saving and emission reduction in the whole industry.
At present, energy conservation and emission reduction work can be roughly summed up in three aspects: first, energy conservation, two emission reduction, and three recycling and reuse of waste textiles.
In terms of energy conservation, we have many new experiences, but there is still a big gap compared with the international advanced level.
Therefore, the China Textile Federation has carried out a lot of training and consulting activities in recent years.
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< p > four is the textile industry terminal, e-commerce, online retail, the scale is bigger and bigger, resulting in a significant change in the sales way of some garment enterprises.
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Generally speaking, in 2013, the textile industry showed a steady growth pattern.
In 2014, the situation of the whole textile industry is still dominated by "stability", although it will still "increase steadily", but it is "steady and changing".
One is the change of raw materials, the two is the accumulation of chemical fiber industrial structure in the past few years.
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< p > on the domestic demand market, I think there are also some variables. For clothing and home textiles consumer goods, if the level of consumption in rural areas is not raised, domestic demand will be hard to adjust.
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< p > < strong > the key direction of the reform is to identify the fulcrum and explore the new comparative advantage of the textile industry < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > Sun Ruizhe: both scale and efficiency < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > insist on sustainable development < /strong > < /p >
< p > look at the development of the textile industry, we can see a very clear thread, which is summed up as three key words: leading industry, mainstream industry and sustainable industry.
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< p > first, the textile industry is the leading industry of any country after the industrial revolution, at the initial stage of industrialization, and at this stage, it is also a leading industry to promote the improvement of people's living standard.
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< p > secondly, the textile industry is also the mainstream industry in the era of industrialization and post industrialization, and it is a pillar industry of economy and employment.
In the context of globalization, although the division of labor among different countries is being adjusted, the developed countries have not lost the textile industry.
We can see that the fiber industry and industrial textiles in the United States still dominate the world. German textile machinery still occupies nearly 1/3. of the world's textile machinery market, and the printing and dyeing industry in South Korea is not lost.
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< p > again, the textile industry should be said to be the sustainable industry of developing countries in the information age, and also the basic industry of our social and economic pformation.
There are voices in the society that the manufacturing industry like textile industry should be marginalized to a certain extent in the information age. China should focus its attention on hi-tech and information industries.
In this regard, I think: manufacturing industry should not be discriminated against, and no business is created.
Industry should not be ignored. Where does the finished product come from?
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< p > the development of industry must be based on comparative advantage.
China's textile industry has the comparative advantage of labor factor cost in the past 30 years.
So what is the comparative advantage of the next textile industry?
I think there are two aspects: scale and efficiency and sustainable development.
First of all, both scale and efficiency, without scale as basis, we can not talk about the strong industry, especially in the face of such a large market capacity, must be based on scale.
However, the next step of scale and efficiency is to take the upgrading of labor productivity as the core link of the pformation and upgrading of the whole industry.
Promote the improvement of efficiency through the promotion of labor productivity.
In terms of sustainable development, there are environmental friendliness in the production process, energy conservation and emission reduction. At the same time, there are also ways to form consumer stickiness and brand loyalty in our consumption process.
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< p > < strong > Jia Kang: in the global perspective < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > comprehensive reform and development < /strong > < /p >
< p > under the background of deepening the reform of the economic system, combined with the textile industry, the most practical clue is tackling difficulties and breaking through the comprehensive reform of interests and solidifying barriers.
The development of textile industry actually needs more interaction with the outside world.
We note that the United States, the world's largest power, is our main trading partner. At present, there is a saying that "the manufacturing industry is back to the United States".
This return is not simply a return, but an upgraded version.
Some analysts say that the elements of China's textile industry should flow into the United States, which means that China's textile industry will have a new round of upgrading in the United States. These are all factors related to the development and external interaction of China's textile industry.
Therefore, in order to get better development of China's textile industry, we should bring it into a global perspective and develop in an all-round way.
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< p > < strong > Stefan Klaus: control cost increase efficiency < /strong > < /p >
< p > < strong > consciously pursue environmental friendliness < /strong > < /p >.
< p > for enterprises, how to stand firm in the adjustment and stand out in the competition?
I think it should be technological innovation.
It is necessary for us to control the labor cost and improve the productivity.
It is the most important to improve efficiency, we should improve the efficiency of workers, production procedures, factory layout, operation time.
In addition, it is to prevent waste. In fact, energy conservation is not a burden, but a trend in the development of the industry.
This makes it necessary for enterprises to update and pform themselves so as to make themselves more friendly to the environment.
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< p > < strong > industry noise < /strong > /p >
< p > < strong > Duan Xiaoping, President of China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, < /strong > /p >
< p > 2013, the operation of the industry showed three characteristics: "difficult, stable and chaotic".
It is difficult to increase production capacity, while the rate of operation continues to decline. Low growth rate and high storage are gradually becoming a norm.
Steady, from the figures released by the National Bureau of statistics, the overall benefit of the industry has increased.
Chaos, we can not see the direction, do not know where to go, of course, this is also easy to happen in the process of economic pformation.
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< p > for the problem of excess capacity, we still have a lot of production space according to the forecast of global chemical fiber total in 2020.
From the 2010 and 2011 chemical fiber industry reports, we can see that profits beyond the traditional chemical fiber industry should be exceeded.
This shows that there has been a series of fluctuations between supply and demand in the market. This fluctuation requires us to think about how to deepen the reform.
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< p > < strong > Chen Zhihua, President of China printing and dyeing industry association, < /strong > /p >
< p > in 2013, the printing and dyeing industry still handed out relatively good pcripts.
Judging from the specific circumstances of the industry, such achievements are related to several major changes.
The technology level and product level of the whole industry have been greatly improved. Some digital technologies have begun to receive the attention of enterprises. The industry access has been further promoted; the proportion of advanced equipment in the industry has been improved in combination with the elimination of backward production capacity, and the work of energy saving, emission reduction, cleaner production and ecological safety has also been improved.
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< p > industry is currently dominated by processing.
In 2013, the main business revenue amounted to about 360000000000 yuan, but in fact, a large part of it belongs to the industrial added value. If we want to reduce the output value of the unit value, we should extend the industrial chain and change the marketing mode from the industry itself.
It is necessary to strengthen raw material procurement, R & D and sales links, and increase the proportion of direct business as much as possible. This is the key point for further development of the industry, and also a direction for the association to mobilize enterprises to pform.
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< p > < strong > > a href= "http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp" > China Industrial Textiles Industry Association < /a > President Li Lingshen < /strong > /p >
In 2013, P encountered some difficulties in terms of its own development.
First, the efficiency of industry investment declined in 2013. In the process of high-end products, investment costs increased sharply, making investment efficiency far less than the level of 10 years ago.
Two, the low end capacity agglomeration causes market confusion.
Three, there are few brands that are familiar with each other.
Four, market control is weak and there is no right to speak in the downstream.
The five is the difficulty of interdepartmental connection.
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P, Germany's clothing, home textiles and industrial use account for 30%, 20% and 50% respectively. The whole industry is very developed. There are many places for us to learn in building materials, military and biomedical fields.
This year, the forum of industrial textiles in China is still dominated by medicine. Now the blood vessel experiment only stays on animals, and it may take 10 years or 20 years for people to use it.
Therefore, the future market of industrial textiles is very broad, but there are also many difficulties in the process.
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< p > < strong > < a > href= > http://www.91se91.com/news/index_c.asp > > Chinese clothing association < /a > vice president Wang Zhuo < /strong > /p >
< p > from the perspective of market consumption, the gradual slowing down of the growth rate of market consumption is now a foregone conclusion and may continue for a long time.
In terms of price, the retail price growth in 2013 was less than 1%, indicating that the price of clothing might become more reasonable in the future.
On the export side, it is a trend of increasing volume and volume. This should be a good thing.
The future development of the industry is entering a critical period of innovation and pformation, especially for domestic brands, which emphasize terminal and emphasize product innovation.
Originally, our export price is low, and it is competitive in the whole world. Now the change of production factors requires us to have unique competitiveness in technology, production, including marketing mode, and form a processing brand.
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< p > at present, we are entering the critical period of deepening reform, and the most important content is the internationalization of enterprise brand.
This is not only a question of market internationalization, it includes internationalization of capital operation, internationalization of market operation, internationalization of supply chain production, product development, internationalization of design and internationalization of talents.
So, our large enterprises, occupying the market in various parts of the country, are not enough to support future capital market demands. Besides developing internal strength, increasing product competitiveness and increasing connotative growth, there is another very important aspect in the future development, that is, we must take the road of internationalization.
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